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3027 Marwood Dr
C+ Composite 60.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

3027 Marwood Dr · Jackson, MS 39212
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,586 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1958 10,018 sqft lot $54/sqft · 28% above area Est $69k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming and well-maintained 3 bed, 1 bath single-story home located in the desirable Oak Forest subdivision of Jackson. This classic ranch-style residence offers a comfortable and functional floor plan, perfect for those seeking a quiet neighborhood setting. The home features a bright living area, a practical kitchen layout, and spacious bedrooms. A dedicated 6x6 laundry closet between the living and family rooms makes washing convenient. Ideally situated with convenient access to local amenities, this property is a fantastic opportunity for anyone seeking a peaceful home.

Key facts

  • Laundry closet
  • Local amenities
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

LAUNDRY CLOSETOAK FOREST SUBDIVISIONQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD SETTINGLOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (unpaved); 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Move-in ready; Entry level: Main; Living area according to public records
  • Construction: Built with vinyl and brick veneer; Slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Year built from public records
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Level lot; Many trees; Wooded

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (11x14); Bedroom on main level (11x13); Bedroom on main level (11x11)
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Oak Forest Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 318 students, 100% FRL); Cardozo Middle School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #168 of 179 statewide, top 94%, 625 students, 100% FRL); Wingfield High School (math 7% / reading 12%, grade F, #179 of 197 statewide, top 92%, 608 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
11.96%
Cash-on-cash
20.23%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,447
List price
$84,900
Delta
22.25%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2971 Kentwood Dr 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,532 (-3%) 3mo $59,900 $39 75
1423 Woody Dr 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,404 (-12%) 2mo $24,900 $18 74
1636 Smallwood St 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,432 (-10%) 1mo $17,000 $12 74
953 Woody Dr 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,595 (+1%) 3mo $5,900 $4 66
1027 Autumn St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,694 (+7%) 1mo $84,900 $50 65
2813 Marydale Dr 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,500 (-5%) 2mo $34,999 $23 65
3156 Woodview Dr 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,409 (-11%) 4mo $65,000 $46 62
920 Woody Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,468 (-7%) 2mo $59,000 $40 59
1416 Wooddell Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,357 (-14%) 4mo $35,000 $26 53
3114 Suncrest Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,432 (-10%) 3mo $64,900 $45 47
404 Mcdowell Park Cir 0.56mi 3/1.5 1,358 (-14%) 4mo $99,000 $73 45
2646 Revere St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,360 (-14%) 0mo $30,000 $22 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$13,380
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$51,287
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39212

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,263 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,399/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$401

Break-even live

Break-even rent $756
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1200 $975 $0.81 43d 1 0.14mi
3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,150 $0.72 23d 1 0.16mi
2904 Marwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1554 $1,250 $0.80 23d 1 0.20mi
1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,150 $1.09 23d 1 0.21mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.31mi
3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 13d 1 0.31mi
2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,400 $0.78 23d 1 0.34mi
3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1421 $1,100 $0.77 43d 1 0.35mi
3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1280 $1,236 $0.97 43d 1 0.38mi
3308 Ramona St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,150 $1.04 21d 1 0.43mi
2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1606 $1,600 $1.00 43d 1 0.45mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2137 $1,425 $0.67 13d 1 0.49mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2137 $1,425 $0.67 43d 1 0.49mi
3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1474 $1,306 $0.89 13d 1 0.50mi
427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1308 $1,200 $0.92 13d 1 0.53mi
1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1300 $950 $0.73 43d 1 0.57mi
2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.58mi
1010 Deryll St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1143 $1,050 $0.92 13d 1 0.60mi
1018 Deryll St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1056 $900 $0.85 23d 1 0.61mi
1054 Deryll St Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1132 $1,050 $0.93 13d 1 0.67mi
2732 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1566 $1,050 $0.67 23d 1 0.72mi
3341 Suncrest Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 1.0 1292 $1,225 $0.95 43d 1 0.74mi
2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1666 $1,575 $0.95 13d 1 0.76mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1509 $1,075 $0.71 13d 1 0.79mi
2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1509 $1,075 $0.71 23d 1 0.79mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 13d 1 0.79mi
1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1343 $1,000 $0.74 43d 1 0.79mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 23d 1 0.80mi
1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,200 $1.07 13d 1 0.80mi
3147 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1850 $1,306 $0.71 43d 1 0.85mi
3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,100 $0.92 13d 1 0.89mi
3511 Sykes Park Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1225 $1,426 $1.16 13d 1 1.06mi
103 Sykes Park Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 43d 1 1.11mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 23d 1 1.16mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 13d 1 1.16mi
360 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1624 $1,575 $0.97 13d 1 1.21mi
1533 Raymond Rd Jackson, MS 2.0 1.0 1135 $1,010 $0.89 43d 1 1.23mi
843 Reaves St Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,084 $0.77 43d 1 1.32mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,250 $1.05 13d 1 1.33mi
316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,250 $1.05 43d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,900 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,900 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,900 Active 29 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $84,900 Active 596-char remark
  18. 2021-01-21
    soldstatus
  19. 2020-12-31
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,399 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,399 · $117/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,160
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,399
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,213
− Management
−$1,213
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$3,685
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$884
After-tax cash flow
$3,926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,659
Household income
$50,722
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.01%
Current HPI
174.4025
Rent YoY
▲ 4.23%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $84,900 MLSU
  • 2021-01-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-12-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,399 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…