3027 Marwood Dr · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming and well-maintained 3 bed, 1 bath single-story home located in the desirable Oak Forest subdivision of Jackson. This classic ranch-style residence offers a comfortable and functional floor plan, perfect for those seeking a quiet neighborhood setting. The home features a bright living area, a practical kitchen layout, and spacious bedrooms. A dedicated 6x6 laundry closet between the living and family rooms makes washing convenient. Ideally situated with convenient access to local amenities, this property is a fantastic opportunity for anyone seeking a peaceful home.
Key facts
- Laundry closet
- Local amenities
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (unpaved); 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas available; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Move-in ready; Entry level: Main; Living area according to public records
- Construction: Built with vinyl and brick veneer; Slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Year built from public records
- Exterior features: Private yard; Level lot; Many trees; Wooded
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level (11x14); Bedroom on main level (11x13); Bedroom on main level (11x11)
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $401 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oak Forest Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #337 of 375 statewide, top 94%, 318 students, 100% FRL); Cardozo Middle School (math 5% / reading 10%, grade F, #168 of 179 statewide, top 94%, 625 students, 100% FRL); Wingfield High School (math 7% / reading 12%, grade F, #179 of 197 statewide, top 92%, 608 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.23%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $69,447
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- 22.25%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2971 Kentwood Dr | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,532 (-3%) | 3mo | $59,900 | $39 | 75 |
| 1423 Woody Dr | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (-12%) | 2mo | $24,900 | $18 | 74 |
| 1636 Smallwood St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,432 (-10%) | 1mo | $17,000 | $12 | 74 |
| 953 Woody Dr | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,595 (+1%) | 3mo | $5,900 | $4 | 66 |
| 1027 Autumn St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (+7%) | 1mo | $84,900 | $50 | 65 |
| 2813 Marydale Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (-5%) | 2mo | $34,999 | $23 | 65 |
| 3156 Woodview Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,409 (-11%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $46 | 62 |
| 920 Woody Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,468 (-7%) | 2mo | $59,000 | $40 | 59 |
| 1416 Wooddell Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,357 (-14%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $26 | 53 |
| 3114 Suncrest Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,432 (-10%) | 3mo | $64,900 | $45 | 47 |
| 404 Mcdowell Park Cir | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,358 (-14%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $73 | 45 |
| 2646 Revere St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,360 (-14%) | 0mo | $30,000 | $22 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $13,380
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $51,287
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39212
- Home prices YoY
- -11.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,263 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,399/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $401
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3049 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $975 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,150 | $0.72 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2904 Marwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $1,250 | $0.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1219 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1058 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3030 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3122 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $1,100 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3162 Oak Forest Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,236 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3308 Ramona St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,150 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,425 | $0.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2137 | $1,425 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,306 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 427 McDowell Park Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1308 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1223 Marydale Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $950 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2873 Teresa Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1010 Deryll St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1018 Deryll St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $900 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1054 Deryll St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1132 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2732 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $1,050 | $0.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3341 Suncrest Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1292 | $1,225 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $1,575 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,075 | $0.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2694 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,075 | $0.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1343 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1126 Barbara Ann Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1343 | $1,000 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1513 Maria Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3147 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,306 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3152 Bilgray Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3511 Sykes Park Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,426 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 103 Sykes Park Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 360 Cooper Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $1,575 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1533 Raymond Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $1,010 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 843 Reaves St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $1,084 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 316 Woody Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$84,900 Active 596-char remark
-
2021-01-21soldstatus
-
2020-12-31soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,399 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,399
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,213
- − Management
- −$1,213
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $3,685
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$884
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,926/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,659
- Household income
- $50,722
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1314.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.01%
- Current HPI
- 174.4025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $84,900 MLSU
- 2021-01-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-12-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,399 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…