102 Crescent Dr · Macon, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute 2 bed, 1 bath bungalow full of charm and updates! Enjoy newer flooring, doors, windows, and fresh paint throughout. Relax on the covered front and back patios overlooking a level backyard with a garden shed. The spacious eat-in kitchen features a large island with bar seating, perfect for entertaining. A convenient utility room doubles as a walk-in pantry for added storage. Located close to downtown, this home is a great option for a starter or investment property. Call or text Sonja at 660-651-4107 or the Tiger Team at 660-385-7297 to schedule your showing!
Key facts
- Newer flooring
- Level backyard
- Covered front patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($873 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#151 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Macon County R-I (town): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #54 of 324 in MO (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (19 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macon County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.00%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,866
- List price
- $79,500
- Delta
- 62.69%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,256
- Equity at exit
- $11,854
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $19,194
- Equity at exit
- $6,874
Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63552
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $873 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$417
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $201/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$183
- Net cashflow
- $223
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $268 | -5% $245 | +0% $223 | +5% $200 | +10% $178 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $188 | +0% $223 | +5% $257 | +10% $292 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $263 | -0.5pp $243 | base $223 | +0.5pp $202 | +1.0pp $181 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,875
- Closing costs
- $2,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-10$79,500 Active 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Cute 2 bed, 1 bath bungalow full of charm and updates! Enjoy newer flooring, doors, windows, and fresh paint throughout. Relax on the covered front and back patios overlooking a level backyard with a garden shed. The spacious eat-in kitchen features a large island with bar seating, perfect for entertaining. A convenient utility room doubles as a walk-in pantry for added storage. Located close to downtown, this home is a great option for a starter or investment property. Call or text Sonja at 660-651-4107 or the Tiger Team at 660-385-7297 to schedule your showing!
-
2025-09-26soldstatus
-
2025-07-16$84,900 Active
-
2024-11-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $201 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $771 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$570/yr (+$48/mo · 283.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,471
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,453
- − Property taxes
- −$201
- − Insurance
- −$398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$838
- − Management
- −$838
- − Depreciation
- −$2,313
- Taxable income
- $1,431
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$344
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Macon County R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2919410
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,850
- Composite
- 41.21/100
- National rank
- #3539
- State rank
- #54 of 324 in MO
Livability — Macon
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #8551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,383
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,692 people
- By 2030
- 14,209 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 13,197 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 12,160 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 9,745 · -33.7%
- By 2100
- 7,314 · -50.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Greek 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.5) · D 18.9% · R 80.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -61.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.5 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+56.4 2012: R+33.4 2008: R+24.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.49%
- Current HPI
- 175.8958
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-6.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $79,500 NECAR
- 2025-09-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-07-16 Listed $84,900 NECAR
- 2024-11-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $201 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…