411 Prairie Ave · Kinsley, KS 67547

$75,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,154 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1956 3,700 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.8/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.8/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Key facts

• Cozy kitchen
• Vaulted ceiling
• Gas fireplace

Tags

• MID-CENTURY CHARMER
• COZY KITCHEN
• SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM
• VAULTED CEILING
• GAS FIREPLACE
• BUILT-IN SHELVING

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Zoning: NC.1 / R-1; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 74 (0.08 acre)

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Residential property
• Construction: Brick construction
• Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Fenced yard

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Window coverings; Gas log fireplace

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#183 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Kinsley-Offerle (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #172 of 280 in KS (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
• Edwards County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.34% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.68%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.68%
• DSCR: 1.70
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 19.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.02×
• Total profit: $21,379
• Equity at exit: $28,251

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.7%
• Equity multiple: 3.78×
• Total profit: $58,412
• Equity at exit: $39,683

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kansas: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 67547

• Home prices YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 18
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,003 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$211
• Net cashflow: $274

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-17
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-14
   listed $75,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,040
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$1,125
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$963
• − Management: −$963
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $2,231
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$535
• After-tax cash flow: $2,757/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Kinsley-Offerle
• NCES district ID: 2008100
• Math proficiency: 30% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $43,157
• Composite: 28.38/100
• National rank: #12126
• State rank: #172 of 280 in KS

Livability — Kinsley

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #183
• US rank: #8396

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Kinsley, KS
• Population (ZIP): 1,658

Population outlook (Edwards County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,909 people
• By 2030: 2,871 · -1.3%
• By 2040: 2,800 · -3.7%
• By 2050: 2,738 · -5.9%
• By 2075: 2,702 · -7.1%
• By 2100: 2,512 · -13.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 13%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 3% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 83% English-only · Spanish 16%

Political lean MEDSL · Edwards

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+65.3) · D 16.8% · R 82.1% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -48.8pp · 2024: -65.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+65.3 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+63.1 2012: R+55.5 2008: R+48.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.67%
• Current HPI: 178.0256
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-17 Pending — Hays MLS
• 2026-05-14 Listed $75,000 Hays MLS