🏗️ New Construction
The Ryman Plan · Dalton, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.6/30.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$221,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Ryman offers an efficient layout in a cottage-style home with a welcoming entry area. In the center of the home, you'll find a family room filled with natural light and a kitchen with generous counter space. The owner's suite and laundry room are in the back of the home, and the plan features two additional bedrooms and a full bath. A bedroom can also be configured as a dining room or an office.
Key facts
- Welcoming entry area
- Laundry room
- Natural light
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $222k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-523 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (21.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (31.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (31.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#172 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Whitfield County (rural): math 37% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #62 of 174 in GA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Pleasant Grove Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #380 of 1,228 statewide, top 33%, 448 students, 75% FRL); New Hope Middle School (math 45% / reading 48%, grade D+, #94 of 470 statewide, top 20%, 452 students, 61% FRL); Northwest Whitfield County High School (math 29% / reading 34%, grade F, #122 of 424 statewide, top 30%, 1,219 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 467 active listings in the ZIP; 374 units permitted in Whitfield County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Whitfield County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.97%
- DSCR
- 0.60
- GRM
- 13.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,000
- List price
- $221,900
- Delta
- -11.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Andros Loop | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (0%) | 1mo | $258,400 | $222 | 92 |
| 122 Andros Loop | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+12%) | 4mo | $252,000 | $194 | 72 |
| 1494 Heather Way Way | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (0%) | 2mo | $229,000 | $197 | 69 |
| 191 Andros Dr Dr | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,057 (-9%) | 10mo | $237,000 | $224 | 67 |
| 227 Periwinkle Way Way | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,227 (+5%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $208 | 58 |
| 200 Quillian Road Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,172 (+1%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $222 | 57 |
| 153 Cochran Drive Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+12%) | 6mo | $248,000 | $190 | 56 |
| 397 Woodlawn Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,275 (+10%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $204 | 56 |
| 1433 Heather Way | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (+6%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $202 | 51 |
| 236 Camden Way Way #51 | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,310 (+12%) | 2mo | $286,000 | $218 | 51 |
| 3445 Striplin Trail Trl | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (+7%) | 8mo | $235,400 | $190 | 50 |
| 133 Camden Way | 0.52mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,310 (+12%) | 1mo | $327,000 | $250 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-73,809
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -37.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.53×
- Total profit
- $-107,084
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 10 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 5.0 mo (20%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $217,900 ($188/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 178 d
- This list price
- 60% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +14.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30721
- Active inventory
- 467
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,525 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $-523
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-350 | -5% $-437 | +0% $-523 | +5% $-610 | +10% $-696 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-644 | -5% $-583 | +0% $-523 | +5% $-463 | +10% $-403 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-397 | -0.5pp $-460 | base $-523 | +0.5pp $-588 | +1.0pp $-654 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $221,900 Active 262 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $221,900 Active 261 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $221,900 Active 260 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $221,900 Active 259 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $221,900 Active 258 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $221,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $221,900 Active 254 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $221,900 Active 253 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $221,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $221,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $221,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-07-23price $221,900 Active 246 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $219,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $219,900 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $219,900 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $219,900 Active 241 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $219,900 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $219,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $219,900 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $219,900 Active 236 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $219,900 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $219,900 Active 234 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $219,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $219,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $219,900 Active 231 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $219,900 Active 230 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $219,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $219,900 Active 228 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $219,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $219,900 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $219,900 Active 225 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $219,900 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $219,900 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $219,900 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $219,900 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $219,900 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $219,900 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $219,900 Active 218 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $219,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $219,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $219,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $219,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $219,900 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,900 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $219,900 Active 201 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,297
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,750
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,464
- − Management
- −$1,464
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$10,908
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,618
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,660/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This Ryman Plan home in Dalton, GA is in good condition with a fresh paint job and modern appliances. It's move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental Replace window treatments — Improves aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitfield County
- NCES district ID
- 1305700
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,296
- Composite
- 30.24/100
- National rank
- #6290
- State rank
- #62 of 174 in GA
Livability — Dalton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #10778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Whitfield County · 107,770 people
- City population
- 80,309
- Metro
- Dalton, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,060
- Household income
- $62,094
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Whitfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,770 people
- By 2030
- 108,737 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 110,260 · +2.3%
- By 2050
- 111,205 · +3.2%
- By 2075
- 113,014 · +4.9%
- By 2100
- 112,775 · +4.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 47% Two or more races 10% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 37%
Political lean MEDSL · Whitfield
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.5) · D 27.5% · R 72.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.5pp toward R · 2008: -40.0pp · 2024: -44.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.5 2020: R+40.7 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+45.1 2008: R+40.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -220.10%
- Current HPI
- 314.9341
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dalton, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-5.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $229,900 Zillow
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $236,900 Zillow
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $246,900 Zillow
- 2025-11-19 Listed $241,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…