3298 Hwy 1131 · Pine Forest, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home sits on a generous 2.31 acres in Vidor ISD. The property includes a 30x60 concrete slab with cover, a 400 sq ft storage building, a carport, a covered front porch and a large covered back porch. Per Seller, mobile home was custom built with 3/4" plywood subfloor and 16" studs on center. Kitchen features ample cabinet space along with a dining area and breakfast bar. Main bedroom features an on-suite bathroom with large soaking tub, separate shower, double sinks, and 2 walk-in closets. Well and aerobic septic. This one will go fast, schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Carport
- 30x60 concrete slab
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Home design: Mobile home on land; Residential property
- Exterior features: Approximately 2.31-acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Storage building on the property
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (3.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 5.3% in Pine Forest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#659 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Vidor ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #422 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 241 active listings in the ZIP; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.77%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-11,861
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $6,643
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77662
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,501 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,192/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $209
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18status $155,000 Pending 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $155,000 608-char remark
-
2026-05-03$159,900 Active 608-char remark
-
2021-06-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,192 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,836 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,645/yr (+$137/mo · 138.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,006
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,192
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$33
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,512/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vidor ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844160
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,169
- Composite
- 33.95/100
- National rank
- #5331
- State rank
- #422 of 826 in TX
Livability — Pine Forest
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #659
- US rank
- #12393
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Orange County · 87,112 people
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,041
- Household income
- $72,243
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 401.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,065 people
- By 2030
- 89,591 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 91,982 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 93,023 · +5.6%
- By 2075
- 94,871 · +7.7%
- By 2100
- 88,155 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.46%
- Current HPI
- 141.0844
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-3.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Pending — BBOR
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $155,000 BBOR
- 2026-05-03 Listed $159,900 BBOR
- 2021-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,192 · +17.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…