3710 Weber Rd Unit C203 · Gatlinburg, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +1.5/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller!!!! Nestled in Cobbly Nob, in the heart of Gatlinburg, TN, lies this charming 1 Bedroom/1 Bathroom condo, offering a million-dollar mountain view right from your personal balcony. Fully furnished and exuding a rustic charm, this condo is the perfect place to call home or to use as an overnight rental. In 2024, the property generated $26K in revenue, and for 2025, the total performance was $22K. The fully equipped kitchen is a chef's dream, complete with all the essentials and ample storage space. Gather your family around the dining room table or cozy up in front of the wood-burning fireplace in the living room. Wake up to breathtaking mountain views every morning as you sip your coffee on your balcony. Accessible without any stairs, this condo is conveniently located on the main level and offers plenty of storage including an owner's closet for storing supplies, decorations and more. The Deer Ridge Mountain Resort subdivision offers a range of amenities, including an onsite outdoor tennis court, heated indoor pool, Jacuzzi, steam room, picnic and grill areas, playground with basketball court, onsite coin laundry facility, and a relaxing common area with stunning mountain views. Cobbly Nob Village also offers additional amenities, including 3 outdoor pools, pickleball court, 24 hour armed security guards, road maintenance along with snow plowing for the entire subdivision, and owners get to also enjoy Bent Creek Golf Course. This incredible property is conveniently located near popular attractions such as Dollywood, Pigeon Forge, Sevierville, Downtown Gatlinburg, and the Great Smoky Mountain National Park, and is currently being managed as a successful overnight rental.
Key facts
- Owner's closet
- Personal balcony
- Mountain view
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-427 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $47k (56.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (56.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#27 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- Sevier County (rural): math 31% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #62 of 139 in TN (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Pittman Center Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #231 of 952 statewide, top 26%, 318 students, 0% FRL); Seymour Junior High (math 40% / reading 30%, grade F, #65 of 333 statewide, top 20%, 766 students, 0% FRL); Sevier County High School (math 20% / reading 38%, grade F, #92 of 332 statewide, top 28%, 1,248 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 1075 active listings in the ZIP; 1,594 units permitted in Sevier County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sevier County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $109k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 55% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 57% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -16.78%
- DSCR
- 0.25
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $193,190
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -38.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3710 Weber Rd Unit 102-A | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (0%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $304 | 94 |
| 3710 Weber Road Rd Unit A-202 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (0%) | 21mo | $151,000 | $270 | 82 |
| 3710 Weber Rd Unit 106-E | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (0%) | 27mo | $150,000 | $268 | 80 |
| 3710 Weber Rd Unit 106-E | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (0%) | 27mo | $150,000 | $268 | 80 |
| 3710 Weber Rd Unit 102-E | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (0%) | 29mo | $139,000 | $248 | 80 |
| 3710 Weber Rd Unit 102E | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (0%) | 29mo | $139,000 | $248 | 80 |
| 3710 Weber Rd Unit D102 | 0.01mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (0%) | 35mo | $195,000 | $348 | 79 |
| 536 Deer Path Ln | 0.42mi | 1/1.0 | 624 (+11%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $393 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -48.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.45×
- Total profit
- $-44,372
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- -86.9%
- Equity multiple
- -1.35×
- Total profit
- $-71,719
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 1 under contract
- Median asking
- $261,500 ($551/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 62 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -37.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 37738
- Home prices YoY
- -28.5%
- Active inventory
- 1075
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$736
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $-427
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-351 | -5% $-389 | +0% $-427 | +5% $-464 | +10% $-502 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-533 | -5% $-480 | +0% $-427 | +5% $-374 | +10% $-321 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-372 | -0.5pp $-399 | base $-427 | +0.5pp $-455 | +1.0pp $-484 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Building area recorded at 560 (per tax records)
- HOA & community
- HOA with monthly feeCoin laundry, playground, saunaHOA fee covers building exterior, association insurance, trash, sewer, grounds maintenance and water
Exterior
- Parking
- Main level, common parking
- Utilities
- Public sewer
- Home design
- Attached property
- Construction
- Vinyl siding, block and frame construction
- Exterior features
- BalconyLevel lotMountain and wooded views
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Flooring
- Laminate flooringCarpet
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral coolingCeiling fan(s)
- Interior features
- Wood-burning fireplace4 total rooms
HOA detail $736/mo · $8,832/yr
- Likely covers
- snow removalpoolsecurity
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24pricedays on market $109,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $119,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $119,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $119,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $119,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $119,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $119,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $119,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $119,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $119,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-11pricedays on market $119,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $125,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $125,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $125,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $125,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $125,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $125,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $125,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $125,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $125,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $125,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $125,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $125,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $125,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $125,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $125,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $125,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $125,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $125,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $125,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $125,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $125,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $125,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $125,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $125,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $125,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $125,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $125,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $125,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $125,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $125,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $125,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $125,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-30pricedays on market $125,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $139,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $139,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $139,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $139,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $139,900 Active 61 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − HOA
- −$8,832
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$6,732
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,616
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This charming 1-bedroom/1-bathroom condo in Gatlinburg, TN, offers a million-dollar mountain view and is fully furnished. It's in good condition with a good ROI, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Update flooring to hardwood — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood in living areas — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sevier County
- NCES district ID
- 4703780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,730
- Composite
- 25.12/100
- National rank
- #7527
- State rank
- #62 of 139 in TN
Livability — Gatlinburg
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #27
- US rank
- #5524
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sevier · 107,903 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,269
- Household income
- $63,133
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Sevier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,903 people
- By 2030
- 113,633 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 123,969 · +14.9%
- By 2050
- 132,123 · +22.4%
- By 2075
- 148,524 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 153,436 · +42.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Serbian 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sevier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.1) · D 18.9% · R 80.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -48.1pp · 2024: -61.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.1 2020: R+57.6 2016: R+61.7 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+48.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.02%
- Current HPI
- 296.203
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+169.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-30 Price Changed $139,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2026-05-22 Listed $149,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — Knoxville MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $149,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $149,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Listed $164,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-09-16 Listing Removed — Knoxville MLS
- 2025-07-23 Price Changed $164,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-06-08 Price Changed $179,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2025-04-15 Listed $199,900 Knoxville MLS
- 2019-04-17 Sold (MLS) $58,000 GSMAR
- 2018-03-22 Listed $51,900 GSMAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…