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9505 Perry Ave
D- Composite 38.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

9505 Perry Ave · Amarillo, TX 79119
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,693 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 2014

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fresh facelift on this Hillside Terrace beauty. Fence and roof recently replaced. Fresh paint & carpet. Gorgeous wood floors. Open kitchen to den looking onto outdoor living. Cozy fireplace with gas logs in den. Granite counter tops and new grey subway tile backsplash. Master suite has spacious bath with his and her closets. Crisp and clean. .. move in ready!

Key facts

  • Open floorplan
  • Large covered patio
  • Granite countertops

Tags

HILLSIDE TERRACE NEIGHBORHOODOPEN FLOORPLANLARGE COVERED PATIOGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESBREAKFAST BAR

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No community features listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached rear-facing garage with automatic opener (2 spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick / brick veneer construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built in 2026
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; North-facing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Disposal
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas central heating; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Disposal; Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Gas water heater; Gas-log fireplace in the living room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-170 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (10.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (15.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Canyon ISD (town): math 60% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #78 of 826 in TX (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Hillside El (math 65% / reading 60%, grade B, #311 of 4,322 statewide, top 7%, 348 students, 33% FRL); West Plains J H (math 59% / reading 58%, grade B, #185 of 1,662 statewide, top 12%, 615 students, 33% FRL); West Plains H S (910 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 477 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $233,423 (15.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.55%
Cash-on-cash
-2.66%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.9%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-47,528
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-20,824
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79119

Home prices YoY
-19.1%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
477
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,334 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$458 /mo · $5,493/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$-170

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,550
Max offer price $244,899
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7506 John Thomas St Amarillo, TX 4.0 2.0 1732 $3,200 $1.85 13d 1 0.34mi
7602 Beck Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,350 $1.47 21d 1 0.35mi
7517 John Thomas St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1642 $2,400 $1.46 44d 1 0.38mi
7206 Nick St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1939 $2,200 $1.13 13d 1 0.42mi
7514 Beck Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,350 $1.47 21d 1 0.45mi
7600 Beck Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,350 $1.47 21d 1 0.45mi
7516 Beck Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,350 $1.47 21d 1 0.45mi
7615 Arlo Dr Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1702 $2,500 $1.47 21d 1 0.46mi
Mosley St Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1636 $2,000 $1.22 44d 1 0.48mi
6801 Mosley St Amarillo, TX 2.0 2.0 1497 $1,725 $1.15 44d 1 0.53mi
7628 S Soncy Rd Amarillo, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1105 $1,750 $1.58 13d 3 0.57mi
Time Sq Amarillo, TX 3.0 2.0 1898 $2,450 $1.29 21d 1 0.85mi
9181 Town Square Blvd #1241 Amarillo, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 998 $1,678 $1.68 44d 25 0.96mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $275,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $275,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    price $275,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $281,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $281,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $281,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $281,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $281,000 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $281,000 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $281,000 Active 4 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $281,000 Active 3 DOM
  19. 2026-05-28
    listed $281,000 Active
  20. 2020-06-15
    soldstatus 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Fresh facelift on this Hillside Terrace beauty. Fence and roof recently replaced. Fresh paint & carpet. Gorgeous wood floors. Open kitchen to den looking onto outdoor living. Cozy fireplace with gas logs in den. Granite counter tops and new grey subway tile backsplash. Master suite has spacious bath with his and her closets. Crisp and clean. .. move in ready!

  21. 2020-06-15
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Fresh facelift on this Hillside Terrace beauty. Fence and roof recently replaced. Fresh paint & carpet. Gorgeous wood floors. Open kitchen to den looking onto outdoor living. Cozy fireplace with gas logs in den. Granite counter tops and new grey subway tile backsplash. Master suite has spacious bath with his and her closets. Crisp and clean. .. move in ready!

  22. 2020-04-02
    listed $210,000 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Fresh facelift on this Hillside Terrace beauty. Fence and roof recently replaced. Fresh paint & carpet. Gorgeous wood floors. Open kitchen to den looking onto outdoor living. Cozy fireplace with gas logs in den. Granite counter tops and new grey subway tile backsplash. Master suite has spacious bath with his and her closets. Crisp and clean. .. move in ready!

  23. 2016-05-20
    soldstatus
  24. 2014-11-11
    soldstatus 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    New construction 3 bedroom 2 bath Garden Home in desired Hillside Terrace. Open Floorplan. Kitchen has stainless steel appliances and a bar that can seat several. Great design for entertaining. Isolated master has huge master bath with his and hers sinks and closets. Large covered patio.

  25. 2014-07-25
    listed $179,900 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    New construction 3 bedroom 2 bath Garden Home in desired Hillside Terrace. Open Floorplan. Kitchen has stainless steel appliances and a bar that can seat several. Great design for entertaining. Isolated master has huge master bath with his and hers sinks and closets. Large covered patio.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,493 · $458/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,493 · $458/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,011
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$5,493
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,241
− Management
−$2,241
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$6,743
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,618
After-tax cash flow
$-426/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Canyon ISD
NCES district ID
4812810
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$65,177
Composite
50.07/100
National rank
#1912
State rank
#78 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
County
Randall County · 137,351 people
City population
185,802
Metro
Amarillo, TX
Population (ZIP)
24,907
Household income
$114,432
Rent vs Own
32.6% rent · 67.4% own
Severe rent burden
272.0

Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,140 people
By 2030
163,107 · +7.2%
By 2040
184,999 · +21.6%
By 2050
206,948 · +36.0%
By 2075
260,204 · +71.0%
By 2100
294,980 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randall

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.08%
Current HPI
165.3226
Rent YoY
▲ 6.21%
Metro
Amarillo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+56.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $281,000 AARMLS
  • 2020-06-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-06-15 Sold (MLS) AARMLS
  • 2020-04-02 Listed $210,000 AARMLS
  • 2016-05-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-11-11 Sold (MLS) AARMLS
  • 2014-07-25 Listed $179,900 AARMLS

Property tax history

+24.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,493 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…