Triplex
405 S 14th St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Let it Cash Flow! This three unit collects over $3000 in rent monthly. Total 5 bedrooms, 3 baths, 3 kitchens. New water heaters have been installed and property has been recently upgraded. Don't miss out on letting your money multiply with this money-making edifice! Hablamos Español y te ayudamos conseguir financiamiento.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 37 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total number of units: 3; Finished above-grade area reported as 1,980 (assessor)
- Financial info: Land assessed at $8,600; Improvements assessed at $22,700; Total tax assessed value $31,300 (tax year 2025); Annual property tax approximately $1,664 (breakdown: city $383, county $287, school $982)
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
- Home design: Detached multi-family building with three total units; Fee simple ownership; Year built information sourced from assessor
- Construction: Frame construction; Foundation described as other
- Exterior features: Detached structure; No tidal water on the lot; Other above- and below-grade structures present
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three-unit property comprised of two one-bedroom units and one two-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Total finished above-grade living area approximately 1,980 (per assessor); Assessor is source for interior area measurements
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $433/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,608/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1166% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $215k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.25%
- DSCR
- 1.99
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,080
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- 75.96%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1254 Derry St | 0.26mi | 5/— | 2,756 (+8%) | 2mo | $200,900 | $73 | 73 |
| 431 Hummel St | 0.14mi | 5/— | 2,176 (-15%) | 0mo | $169,995 | $78 | 68 |
| 1252 Derry St | 0.26mi | 5/— | 2,800 (+10%) | 4mo | $200,900 | $72 | 68 |
| 512 S 13th St | 0.15mi | 6/— (+1) | 2,280 (-11%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $57 | 65 |
| 109 Washington St | 0.69mi | 4/— (-1) | 2,548 (-0%) | 6mo | $439,000 | $172 | 57 |
| 1426 State St | 0.71mi | 5/— | 2,390 (-6%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $69 | 49 |
| 1421 Vernon St | 0.19mi | 5/2.0 | 2,182 (-15%) | 24mo | $129,000 | $59 | 45 |
| 1414 State St | 0.71mi | 5/— | 2,354 (-8%) | 15mo | $224,900 | $96 | 42 |
| 129 N 13th St | 0.61mi | 4/— (-1) | 2,322 (-9%) | 12mo | $158,000 | $68 | 41 |
| 562 Race St | 0.66mi | 4/— (-1) | 2,726 (+7%) | 16mo | $308,000 | $113 | 40 |
| 1410 State St | 0.71mi | 4/— (-1) | 2,354 (-8%) | 19mo | $185,000 | $79 | 33 |
| 60 Balm St | 0.56mi | 6/— (+1) | 2,890 (+13%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $61 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $47,371
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.42×
- Total profit
- $169,728
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17104
- Home prices YoY
- -6.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 17.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,608 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,646/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$758
- Net cashflow
- $1,298
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,440 | -5% $1,369 | +0% $1,298 | +5% $1,227 | +10% $1,156 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,013 | -5% $1,155 | +0% $1,298 | +5% $1,441 | +10% $1,583 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,424 | -0.5pp $1,362 | base $1,298 | +0.5pp $1,233 | +1.0pp $1,167 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 1 | 1 | $3,609 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,203 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,203 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,203 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,608 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1414 Berryhill St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,700 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1610 Hunter St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $1,450 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 227 Hummel St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2696 | $1,600 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 14 S 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2136 | $1,695 | $0.79 | 15d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 66 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $2,195 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $3,000 | $2.09 | 15d | 10 | 0.67mi |
| 111 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1708 State St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2320 | $1,745 | $0.75 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2315 Magnolia Dr Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3300 | $3,000 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2368 Canby St Harrisburg, PA | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2142 | $2,300 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1330 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2280 | $1,895 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $250,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $250,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$250,000 Active 529-char remark
-
2026-05-11historical $250,000 529-char remark
-
2025-11-22historical
-
2025-11-14$250,000 Active
-
2025-11-09historical
-
2025-06-20soldstatus $215,000
-
2025-06-19soldstatus $215,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Let it Cash Flow! This three unit collects over $3000 in rent monthly. Total 5 bedrooms, 3 baths, 3 kitchens. New water heaters have been installed and property has been recently upgraded. Don't miss out on letting your money multiply with this money-making edifice! Hablamos Español y te ayudamos conseguir financiamiento.
-
2025-06-02status Pending
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Let it Cash Flow! This three unit collects over $3000 in rent monthly. Total 5 bedrooms, 3 baths, 3 kitchens. New water heaters have been installed and property has been recently upgraded. Don't miss out on letting your money multiply with this money-making edifice! Hablamos Español y te ayudamos conseguir financiamiento.
-
2025-05-01$230,000 Active
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Let it Cash Flow! This three unit collects over $3000 in rent monthly. Total 5 bedrooms, 3 baths, 3 kitchens. New water heaters have been installed and property has been recently upgraded. Don't miss out on letting your money multiply with this money-making edifice! Hablamos Español y te ayudamos conseguir financiamiento.
-
2025-01-23soldstatus $165,000
-
2025-01-22soldstatus $165,000 Closed
-
2024-12-29Active Under Contract
-
2024-12-29$165,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,646 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,798 · $233/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,152/yr (+$96/mo · 70.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$1,646
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,464
- − Management
- −$3,464
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable income
- $12,196
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,927
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,649/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,541
- Household income
- $46,510
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1166.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% Hispanic / Latino 29% White 19% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.83%
- Current HPI
- 340.2808
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+51.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Coming Soon $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $250,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-09 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
- 2025-06-19 Sold (MLS) $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-02 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-05-01 Listed $230,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-22 Sold (MLS) $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-12-29 Listed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-12-29 Listed $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,646 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…