27 SE Gorda Way · River Park, FL 34952

$15,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured · 176 Days on market

Built 1980 ↓ 40% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Spanish Lakes 1 and in the Pet Section. Good home with Laminate flooring, nice kitchen with appliances, 2 bedrooms plus 2 baths. You won't want to miss this one. Priced to sell! Land Lease is $751.53 month which includes the HOA fees.

Key facts

• Parking
• Community pool
• Built 1980

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Community with association; Association amenities: clubhouse, golf course, pool; Association fees include common real estate tax; Senior community; Pets allowed with number and size limits

Exterior

• Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Sewer and water available
• Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Faces east
• Construction: Modular construction; Manufactured roof
• Exterior features: Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Laminate flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Stacked bedroom layout; Unfurnished
• Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $15k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $15k).
• Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 115.2% vs local median 6.4% in River Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#451 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety D-.
• St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Savanna Ridge Elementary School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 452 students, 75% FRL); Port St. Lucie High School (math 21% / reading 43%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 1,748 students, 67% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 646 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $13,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 12.36% ✓
• Cap rate: 115.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 388.92%
• DSCR: 18.30
• GRM: 0.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $68,640
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
31 Huarte Way	0.29mi	2/2.0	1,188 (-5%)	3mo	$45,000	$38	76
8636 Florence Dr	0.72mi	2/2.0	1,266 (+1%)	2mo	$130,000	$103	63
23 Oro Grande Way	0.26mi	2/2.0	1,088 (-13%)	6mo	$45,000	$41	61
25 Rio Verde Way	0.37mi	2/2.0	1,200 (-4%)	22mo	$64,900	$54	58
5 Yolanda Ln	0.72mi	2/2.0	1,280 (+3%)	5mo	$39,000	$30	58
7 Reforma Ln	0.32mi	2/2.0	1,150 (-8%)	20mo	$37,000	$32	56
501 La Buona Vita Dr	0.71mi	2/2.0	1,289 (+3%)	9mo	$132,000	$102	54
560 Natalie Dr	0.69mi	2/2.0	1,248 (0%)	18mo	$162,800	$130	52
38 Alta Loma	0.46mi	2/2.0	1,433 (+15%)	5mo	$180,000	$126	50
8 S Alhambra Ln	0.31mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,400 (+12%)	14mo	$100,000	$71	48
23 San Pablo Ln	0.74mi	2/2.0	1,200 (-4%)	13mo	$37,000	$31	48
8591 Mary Ann Ln	0.72mi	2/2.0	1,354 (+8%)	7mo	$75,000	$55	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 20.60×
• Total profit: $82,301
• Equity at exit: $2,237

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 42.76×
• Total profit: $175,413
• Equity at exit: $1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34952

• Home prices YoY: -29.6%
• Rents YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 646
• Price-to-rent: 0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,854 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$79
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$19 /mo · $225/yr
• Insurance: −$6
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$389
• Net cashflow: $1,361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $131

Max offer price $15,000

Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,372	-5% $1,366	+0% $1,361	+5% $1,356	+10% $1,351
Rent	-10% $1,215	-5% $1,288	+0% $1,361	+5% $1,434	+10% $1,508
Rate	-1.0pp $1,369	-0.5pp $1,365	base $1,361	+0.5pp $1,357	+1.0pp $1,353

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $3,750
• Closing costs: $450
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 14 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	995	$1,764	$1.77	15d	15	0.54mi
7700 Pine Lakes Blvd Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1022	$1,878	$1.84	15d	16	1.09mi
124 E Arbor Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL	3.0	1.0	964	$2,550	$2.65	15d	1	1.24mi
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1417	$1,700	$1.20	24d	1	1.33mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1013	$2,055	$2.03	15d	7	1.33mi
13 Lake Vista Trl #205 Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0	1.5	800	$1,375	$1.72	24d	1	1.33mi
730 SE White Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1386	$10,000	$7.22	24d	1	1.35mi
14 Lake Vista Trl #101 Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1170	$2,200	$1.88	24d	1	1.35mi
11 Lake Vista Trl #206 Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1080	$1,400	$1.30	24d	1	1.41mi
8 Lake Vista Trl #205 Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0	1.5	800	$1,500	$1.88	24d	1	1.43mi
26 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1170	$1,500	$1.28	24d	1	1.45mi
28 Lake Vista Trl #205 Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0	1.5	800	$1,600	$2.00	24d	1	1.48mi
3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL	2.0	2.0	1121	$2,300	$2.05	24d	1	1.49mi
30 Lake Vista Trl #205 Port Saint Lucie, FL	1.0	1.5	800	$1,300	$1.62	24d	1	1.50mi

Listing history 23 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $15,000 Active 176 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $15,000 Active 173 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $15,000 Active 172 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $15,000 Active 171 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $15,000 Active 170 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $15,000 Active 168 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $15,000 Active 167 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $15,000 Active 165 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $15,000 Active 164 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $15,000 Active 163 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $15,000 Active 162 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $15,000 Active 159 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $15,000 Active 158 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $15,000 Active 157 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $15,000 Active 156 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $15,000 Active 155 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $15,000 Active 154 DOM
18. 2026-03-02
    price $15,000
19. 2026-02-03
    status Active
20. 2026-01-20
    status Pending
21. 2025-12-12
    listed $19,900 Active
22. 2005-06-27
    historical
23. 2005-06-25
    listed $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,252
• − Mortgage interest: −$840
• − Property taxes: −$225
• − Insurance: −$75
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,780
• − Management: −$1,780
• − Depreciation: −$436
• Taxable income: $17,115
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,108
• After-tax cash flow: $12,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: St. Lucie
• NCES district ID: 1201770
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $44,737
• Composite: 37.28/100
• National rank: #4449
• State rank: #51 of 73 in FL

Livability — River Park

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #451
• US rank: #8159

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
• City population: 221,051
• Metro: Port St. Lucie, FL
• Population (ZIP): 42,655
• Household income: $61,628
• Rent vs Own: 25.8% rent · 74.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 338,016 people
• By 2030: 355,687 · +5.2%
• By 2040: 385,521 · +14.1%
• By 2050: 406,106 · +20.1%
• By 2075: 441,054 · +30.5%
• By 2100: 436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -155.80%
• Current HPI: 371.0573
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.92%
• Metro: Port St. Lucie, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-40.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-02 Price Changed $15,000 Beaches MLS
• 2026-02-03 Relisted — Beaches MLS
• 2026-01-20 Pending — Beaches MLS
• 2025-12-12 Listed $19,900 Beaches MLS
• 2005-06-27 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
• 2005-06-25 Listed $25,000 Beaches MLS