4130 Causey St · Greensboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- ARV discount +5.3/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTORS! Full renovation project in the heart of Greensboro. Corner lot with terrific fenced in backyard. 2 bedroom, 1 Bathroom. Home currently has electric baseboard heat, no AC. Electric meter needs to be reconnected with Duke. Public water/public sewer. Seller put new shingles 2026. Bring your vision to the blank canvas! Easy access to shops and restaurants on Wendover Avenue/ HWY 70, Greensboro Loop & I-40
Key facts
- Fenced in backyard
- New shingles
- Easy access to shops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Single-story house; Stick/site-built residential property; Built in 1951; Existing structure
- Construction: Asbestos exterior construction material; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Public water; Publicly maintained road; Lot approximately 0.22 acres; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater (appliance noted)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hunter Elementary (math 31% / reading 29%, grade F, #965 of 1,410 statewide, top 69%, 522 students, 99% FRL); Jackson Middle (math 12% / reading 28%, grade F, #429 of 475 statewide, top 91%, 402 students, 99% FRL); Ben L. Smith High School (math 32% / reading 36%, grade F, #434 of 535 statewide, top 81%, 1,371 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Guilford County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $75k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.51%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $104,832
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3800 Causey St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 782 (+7%) | 18mo | $144,000 | $184 | 49 |
| 1822 Halcyon St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 797 (+10%) | 21mo | $115,000 | $144 | 43 |
| 1010 Cranbrook St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 837 (+15%) | 13mo | $110,000 | $131 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,738
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $20,744
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27407
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,149 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $490/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $244
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $306 | -5% $275 | +0% $244 | +5% $213 | +10% $182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $153 | -5% $199 | +0% $244 | +5% $290 | +10% $335 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $300 | -0.5pp $272 | base $244 | +0.5pp $216 | +1.0pp $187 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4203-21 Hewitt St Greensboro, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 830 | $1,165 | $1.40 | 15d | 20 | 0.14mi |
| 1007 Pineland St Greensboro, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,062 | $1.18 | 15d | 5 | 0.21mi |
| 3940 Overland Hts Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3900 Overland Hts Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $1,025 | $1.39 | 15d | 13 | 0.76mi |
| 1918 Peale Ter Unit D Greensboro, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $850 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2002 Cedar Fork Dr Greensboro, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 742 | $1,300 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3755 Oakwood Dr Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 850 | $888 | $1.04 | 25d | 2 | 1.23mi |
| 4215 Bernau Ave Greensboro, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 819 | $1,299 | $1.59 | 15d | 24 | 1.29mi |
| 1606 Pinecroft Rd Greensboro, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,088 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2904 W Florida St Greensboro, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 746 | $1,095 | $1.47 | 22d | 3 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-04-04$110,000 Active
-
2026-03-18soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $490 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $902 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$412/yr (+$34/mo · 84.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,787
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$490
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,103
- − Management
- −$1,103
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,179
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$283
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greensboro, NC
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 329,421
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,697
- Household income
- $59,427
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2360.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 32% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 4% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.48%
- Current HPI
- 223.3145
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.50%
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+46.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Listed $110,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $490 · -70.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…