3618 34th Avenue Dr W Unit N/A · Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Welcome to Cortez Villas, a desirable 55+ community in the heart of West Bradenton! This charming one-level condo offers 1,030 square feet of comfortable living space with 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Tucked away in a quiet, private setting within the community, this unit features a lovely backyard area that offers peaceful green space and added privacy — the perfect spot to relax and unwind with your morning coffee or enjoy Florida’s beautiful weather year-round. Inside, the home is exceptionally clean and well-maintained. This home provides a fantastic opportunity for the next owner to update and personalize to their own style and prefer
Key facts
- Lovely backyard area
- Natural light
- Peaceful green space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Total monthly HOA/condo fees: $476 (total annual fees: $5,712); Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Cortez Villas Condo 9 Association (monthly condo fee: $476); Association approval required; Association fees include cable TV, pool, internet, grounds maintenance, sewer, trash, water; Community features: clubhouse, deed restrictions, pool; Pets allowed (cats and dogs); Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Driveway; Parking pad
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Residential condominium; One story; Faces west; Condo on first floor (Unit in Condo 9)
- Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of Condo 9
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Robert H. Prine Elementary School (math 46% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,560 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 744 students, 75% FRL); W. D. Sugg Middle School (math 34% / reading 28%, grade F, #462 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 1,010 students, 72% FRL); Bayshore High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 1,435 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 51% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Manatee average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,976/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1736% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.16%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-14,634
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-18,492
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34205
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 321
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,976 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$476
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $187
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $277 | -5% $232 | +0% $187 | +5% $142 | +10% $97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $31 | -5% $109 | +0% $187 | +5% $265 | +10% $343 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $252 | -0.5pp $220 | base $187 | +0.5pp $153 | +1.0pp $119 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3806 Southern Pkwy W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,176 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3603 Oxford Dr W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4107 41st St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $3,700 | $2.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3512 32nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4460 Fairways Blvd #606 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $2,000 | $1.59 | 17d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 4325 40th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,675 | $2.16 | 12d | 9 | 0.50mi |
| 4570 Pinebrook Cir #304 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $3,100 | $2.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3401 50th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,699 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4240 Ironwood Cir #404 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,495 | $2.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4040 Ironwood Cir Unit 406F Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,675 | $1.66 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4040 Ironwood Cir Unit 404F Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 108 Pinehurst Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,500 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3909 45th Ter W #106 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 4460 Ironwood Cir Unit 501A Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 840 | $2,595 | $3.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4110 Ironwood Cir #104 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4460 Ironwood Cir Unit 406 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4460 Ironwood Cir Unit 406 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4210 Ironwood Cir Unit 103J Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3715 45th Ter W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,695 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3825 45th Ter W #104 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $1,550 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4457 45th Ave W #211 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,950 | $2.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3603 45th Ter W #101 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2901 26th St W #807 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,525 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4655 46th Street Ct W #103 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $600 | $0.53 | 5d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 283 Sherwood Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 303 Springdale Dr #303 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,999 | $1.53 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4550 47th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,800 | $1.94 | 3d | 27 | 0.98mi |
| 3807 16th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $2,100 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4109 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2306 30th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,700 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3737 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 213 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3963 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit F-414 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4121 Heron Way #108 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,340 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4129 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit C501 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3635 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit J410 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4112 Cape Vista Dr Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $3,495 | $2.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 346 Springdale Dr Unit 346 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,900 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4449 46th Ave W Unit 4449 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $3,200 | $2.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4801 47th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $1,810 | $1.78 | 3d | 32 | 1.07mi |
| 1503 32nd St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,400 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $476 · $5,712/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-04-29price $130,000
-
2026-02-20$140,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,715
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,897
- − Management
- −$1,897
- − HOA
- −$5,712
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $545
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$131
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This one-level condo is in good condition with some minor repairs needed. It offers a good opportunity for the next owner to update and personalize the interior to their own style and preferences.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Living room carpet — The carpet in the living room shows some wear and tear.
- Minor Interior wall paint — The interior walls show some wear and tear, indicating the need for touch-up paint.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more modern and appealing to potential buyers.
- Resale Replace living room carpet — A new carpet can improve the overall appearance and comfort of the living space.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Living room carpet · The carpet in the living room shows some wear and tear. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Interior wall paint · The interior walls show some wear and tear, indicating the need for touch-up paint. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the interior look more modern and appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Replace living room carpet — A new carpet can improve the overall appearance and comfort of the living space. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bradenton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #1528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bradenton, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 227,091
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,946
- Household income
- $52,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1736.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -310.18%
- Current HPI
- 369.8239
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.43%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-7.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $130,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-20 Listed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…