790 Oak St · Galesburg, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Remarkably well maintained two bedroom home on a double lot. Huge living/dining room with bright 4 season room with French Doors. Newer eat-in kitchen with all appliances. Spacious fenced yard. Ovrsize 2.5 det garage with large covered patio on side. Move in ready!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Formal dining room
- Ample cabinetry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached paved garage with space for 2 cars
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family home; Built in 1923; One or more additional levels (basement and upper level present)
- Construction: Shingle roof; Full unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (main level bedrooms noted in room details)
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Vinyl in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $195 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.4% in Galesburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#367 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Galesburg CUSD 205 (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #488 of 620 in IL (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Galesburg Senior High School (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,762 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Knox County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $66k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.31%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,484
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 790 Oak St | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,052 (0%) | 0mo | $94,000 | $89 | 100 |
| 1780 Baird Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,107 (+5%) | 4mo | $74,000 | $67 | 70 |
| 569 E 5th St | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-1%) | 2mo | $108,000 | $104 | 63 |
| 1397 Haynor St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (-7%) | 3mo | $71,000 | $72 | 59 |
| 857 E 4th St | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 912 (-13%) | 3mo | $92,000 | $101 | 53 |
| 1122 Huber Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-4%) | 4mo | $53,000 | $53 | 53 |
| 376 Pine St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,162 (+10%) | 4mo | $64,900 | $56 | 53 |
| 2134 Newcomer Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 982 (-7%) | 2mo | $124,900 | $127 | 51 |
| 872 E 4th St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+11%) | 8mo | $14,900 | $13 | 44 |
| 95 Phillips St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 964 (-8%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $57 | 41 |
| 859 Mulberry St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+13%) | 7mo | $35,000 | $29 | 31 |
| 471 E 1st St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+14%) | 5mo | $7,500 | $6 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,136
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $14,165
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61401
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,021/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $195
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1156 E Losey St Galesburg, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,000 | $0.67 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Under Contract 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Under Contract 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Under Contract 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Under Contract 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Under Contract 33 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Under Contract 32 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical Under Contract
-
2026-05-08status Active
-
2026-05-01historical Under Contract
-
2026-04-27$90,000 Active
-
2013-03-21soldstatus $66,000
-
2013-03-20soldstatus $66,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Remarkably well maintained two bedroom home on a double lot. Huge living/dining room with bright 4 season room with French Doors. Newer eat-in kitchen with all appliances. Spacious fenced yard. Ovrsize 2.5 det garage with large covered patio on side. Move in ready!
-
2012-03-27$72,000 265-char remark
Show marketing remark (265 chars)
Remarkably well maintained two bedroom home on a double lot. Huge living/dining room with bright 4 season room with French Doors. Newer eat-in kitchen with all appliances. Spacious fenced yard. Ovrsize 2.5 det garage with large covered patio on side. Move in ready!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,021 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- +$511/yr (+$43/mo · 50.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,021
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$960
- − Management
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $950
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,118/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Galesburg CUSD 205
- NCES district ID
- 1716080
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,901
- Composite
- 14.46/100
- National rank
- #9427
- State rank
- #488 of 620 in IL
Livability — Galesburg
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #7601
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Galesburg, IL
- City population
- 32,318
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,684
Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,224 people
- By 2030
- 46,333 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 42,424 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 38,929 · -19.3%
- By 2075
- 31,523 · -34.6%
- By 2100
- 24,092 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Knox
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.4% · R 53.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+3.3 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -95.48%
- Current HPI
- 157.276
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+25.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Listed $90,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 2013-03-20 Sold (MLS) $66,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-27 Listed $72,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-5.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,021 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…