🏷️ Likely Rental
333 Robert St · Fort Atkinson, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Showings begin March 30, 2026 . 24-hour notice required due to tenant occupancy. This well-maintained duplex is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors. The lower unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, along with a spacious kitchen with room for a dining table and a comfortable living room. The upper unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, a kitchen with space for dining, and a bright living room. Basement is partially finished and includes a full bathroom. The property includes a detached one-car garage and a concrete parking area located in the back of the house with possible space for up to four cars. This home is great option for a first-time buyer looking to live in one unit and rent out the other, or for an investor seeking consistent monthly income.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1948
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $183k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.4% in Fort Atkinson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#111 in WI, #2,826 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
- Fort Atkinson School District (town): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #161 of 342 in WI (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $113k; list at $195k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.28%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $280,717
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -30.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717 Harriette St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,861 | 0mo | $326,000 | $175 | 74 |
| 514 Madison Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,597 | 0mo | $347,900 | $218 | 74 |
| 612 Roosevelt St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 2,150 | 1mo | $365,000 | $170 | 70 |
| 517 Adams St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,236 | 0mo | $295,000 | $239 | 69 |
| 423 Roosevelt St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,998 | 0mo | $363,500 | $182 | 68 |
| 108 E Sherman Ave | 0.46mi | 4/1.0 | 1,400 | 1mo | $225,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 707 N Main St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,108 | 1mo | $276,000 | $249 | 60 |
| 42 Wilson Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,547 | 1mo | $300,000 | $194 | 57 |
| 321 Clarence St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,500 | 1mo | $275,000 | $183 | 57 |
| 1320 Montclair Pl | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,534 | 1mo | $410,000 | $162 | 48 |
| 1327 Montclair Pl | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,084 | 1mo | $429,000 | $206 | 47 |
| 1255 Janette St | 0.67mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 6,284 | 1mo | $800,000 | $127 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $6,947
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $55,826
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53538
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$267 /mo · $3,201/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $604
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 636 Jackson St Fort Atkinson, WI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2007 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $195,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $195,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $195,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $195,000 782-char remark
Show marketing remark (782 chars)
Showings begin March 30, 2026 . 24-hour notice required due to tenant occupancy. This well-maintained duplex is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors. The lower unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, along with a spacious kitchen with room for a dining table and a comfortable living room. The upper unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, a kitchen with space for dining, and a bright living room. Basement is partially finished and includes a full bathroom. The property includes a detached one-car garage and a concrete parking area located in the back of the house with possible space for up to four cars. This home is great option for a first-time buyer looking to live in one unit and rent out the other, or for an investor seeking consistent monthly income.
-
2026-05-18status Active 782-char remark
Show marketing remark (782 chars)
Showings begin March 30, 2026 . 24-hour notice required due to tenant occupancy. This well-maintained duplex is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors. The lower unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, along with a spacious kitchen with room for a dining table and a comfortable living room. The upper unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, a kitchen with space for dining, and a bright living room. Basement is partially finished and includes a full bathroom. The property includes a detached one-car garage and a concrete parking area located in the back of the house with possible space for up to four cars. This home is great option for a first-time buyer looking to live in one unit and rent out the other, or for an investor seeking consistent monthly income.
-
2026-05-07historical Offer Show 782-char remark
Show marketing remark (782 chars)
Showings begin March 30, 2026 . 24-hour notice required due to tenant occupancy. This well-maintained duplex is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors. The lower unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, along with a spacious kitchen with room for a dining table and a comfortable living room. The upper unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, a kitchen with space for dining, and a bright living room. Basement is partially finished and includes a full bathroom. The property includes a detached one-car garage and a concrete parking area located in the back of the house with possible space for up to four cars. This home is great option for a first-time buyer looking to live in one unit and rent out the other, or for an investor seeking consistent monthly income.
-
2026-04-19price $199,900 782-char remark
Show marketing remark (782 chars)
Showings begin March 30, 2026 . 24-hour notice required due to tenant occupancy. This well-maintained duplex is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors. The lower unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, along with a spacious kitchen with room for a dining table and a comfortable living room. The upper unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, a kitchen with space for dining, and a bright living room. Basement is partially finished and includes a full bathroom. The property includes a detached one-car garage and a concrete parking area located in the back of the house with possible space for up to four cars. This home is great option for a first-time buyer looking to live in one unit and rent out the other, or for an investor seeking consistent monthly income.
-
2026-03-28$210,000 Active 782-char remark
Show marketing remark (782 chars)
Showings begin March 30, 2026 . 24-hour notice required due to tenant occupancy. This well-maintained duplex is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors. The lower unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, along with a spacious kitchen with room for a dining table and a comfortable living room. The upper unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, a kitchen with space for dining, and a bright living room. Basement is partially finished and includes a full bathroom. The property includes a detached one-car garage and a concrete parking area located in the back of the house with possible space for up to four cars. This home is great option for a first-time buyer looking to live in one unit and rent out the other, or for an investor seeking consistent monthly income.
-
2012-10-10$144,900 87-char remark
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Great looking 2 family in Fort Atkinson!! Each unit has two bedrooms and one full bath!
-
2012-10-10historical 87-char remark
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Great looking 2 family in Fort Atkinson!! Each unit has two bedrooms and one full bath!
-
2005-10-26soldstatus $113,000
-
2005-08-18soldstatus $68,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,201 · $267/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,404 · $284/mo
- Expected delta
- +$203/yr (+$17/mo · 6.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$3,201
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable income
- $4,428
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,190/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Atkinson School District
- NCES district ID
- 5504740
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,072
- Composite
- 34.13/100
- National rank
- #5288
- State rank
- #161 of 342 in WI
Livability — Fort Atkinson
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #2826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Atkinson, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,604
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,617 people
- By 2030
- 86,818 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 85,552 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 81,765 · -5.6%
- By 2075
- 68,937 · -20.4%
- By 2100
- 55,854 · -35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.1% · R 57.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+15.2 2016: R+16.2 2012: R+7.6 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.91%
- Current HPI
- 194.0276
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+184.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $195,000 SCWMLS
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — SCWMLS
- 2026-05-07 Contingent — SCWMLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $199,900 SCWMLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $210,000 SCWMLS
- 2012-10-10 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2012-10-10 Listed $144,900 METROMLS
- 2005-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,201 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…