3860 Jefferson St · Stuart, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.95%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover comfortable living in the desirable community of The Courtyards in Stuart. This two-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath townhouse offers a spacious open floor plan with tile flooring on the main level and newer flooring in the bedroom. The kitchen features Granite countertops, and updated cabinetry, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Each bedroom includes a private balcony (Railings replaced 2024), and the front courtyard provides additional outdoor space for relaxing or dining. The home also includes a durable metal roof and in-unit laundry. A/C 2024, The Conveniently located near shopping, dining, beaches, and major roadways, this property combines low-maintenance living with an excellent location in Martin County. Profefessional Pictures Coming Soon.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Front courtyard
- Private balcony
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-308 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (22.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $186k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.5% in Stuart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in FL, #790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Port Salerno Elementary School (math 27% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,951 of 2,144 statewide, top 91%, 706 students, 74% FRL); Dr. David L. Anderson Middle School (math 51% / reading 46%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,035 students, 63% FRL); Martin County High School (math 45% / reading 54%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 2,273 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 41% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 595 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 222 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 222 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.32%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $391,387
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -38.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-58,776
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -23.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-77,529
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34997
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 595
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,707 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$223 /mo · $2,676/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$799
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$569
- Net cashflow
- $-308
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-172 | -5% $-240 | +0% $-308 | +5% $-376 | +10% $-444 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-522 | -5% $-415 | +0% $-308 | +5% $-201 | +10% $-94 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-187 | -0.5pp $-247 | base $-308 | +0.5pp $-370 | +1.0pp $-434 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3299 SE Garden St Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $2,410 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3901 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Unit D29 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $3,000 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3901 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1407 | $3,875 | $2.75 | 25d | 4 | 0.64mi |
| 3003 SE Fairmont St Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3129 SE Indian St #3 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $2,300 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4095 SE Centerboard Ln Unit 6B Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $3,750 | $3.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2934 SE Ellendale St Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4189 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $5,500 | $3.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4002 SE Fairway W Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $3,200 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3002 SE Camino Ave Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $2,000 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2641 SE Clayton St Unit 2641 Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,400 | $2.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3003 SE Birch Ave Unit 3007 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4107 SE Barcelona St Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $2,500 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1843 SE Granada Ln Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5300 SE Schooner Oaks Way Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $3,700 | $2.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4710 SE Glenridge Trl Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $3,300 | $2.29 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5280 SE Seascape Way #101 Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1561 | $2,500 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2410 SE Tarvest Way Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1475 | $2,500 | $1.69 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1800 SE Saint Lucie Blvd Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $2,600 | $2.49 | 25d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 3257 SE Brook St Unit 3234 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,119 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $799 · $9,588/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $240,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $240,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $240,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-01-16price $240,000 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Discover comfortable living in the desirable community of The Courtyards in Stuart. This two-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath townhouse offers a spacious open floor plan with tile flooring on the main level and newer flooring in the bedroom. The kitchen features Granite countertops, and updated cabinetry, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Each bedroom includes a private balcony (Railings replaced 2024), and the front courtyard provides additional outdoor space for relaxing or dining. The home also includes a durable metal roof and in-unit laundry. A/C 2024, The Conveniently located near shopping, dining, beaches, and major roadways, this property combines low-maintenance living with an excellent location in Martin County. Profefessional Pictures Coming Soon.
-
2025-11-11$250,000 Active 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
Discover comfortable living in the desirable community of The Courtyards in Stuart. This two-bedroom, two-and-a-half-bath townhouse offers a spacious open floor plan with tile flooring on the main level and newer flooring in the bedroom. The kitchen features Granite countertops, and updated cabinetry, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Each bedroom includes a private balcony (Railings replaced 2024), and the front courtyard provides additional outdoor space for relaxing or dining. The home also includes a durable metal roof and in-unit laundry. A/C 2024, The Conveniently located near shopping, dining, beaches, and major roadways, this property combines low-maintenance living with an excellent location in Martin County. Profefessional Pictures Coming Soon.
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2022-08-29soldstatus $249,000
-
2022-08-24soldstatus $249,000 Closed 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Move-in ready property for sale in desirable Stuart's The Court Yards! This 2 Bedroom, 2.5 Bathroom home is complete with a metal roof, updated kitchen, and newer floors in both bedrooms. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living at its finest with balconies of each bedroom and multiple entrances that open up to a private gated outdoor courtyard! Close to the beaches, retail, restaurants, and US1, this centrally located property is can't be missed! Call for your tour today!
-
2022-07-15historical Active Under Contract 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Move-in ready property for sale in desirable Stuart's The Court Yards! This 2 Bedroom, 2.5 Bathroom home is complete with a metal roof, updated kitchen, and newer floors in both bedrooms. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living at its finest with balconies of each bedroom and multiple entrances that open up to a private gated outdoor courtyard! Close to the beaches, retail, restaurants, and US1, this centrally located property is can't be missed! Call for your tour today!
-
2022-06-29status Active 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Move-in ready property for sale in desirable Stuart's The Court Yards! This 2 Bedroom, 2.5 Bathroom home is complete with a metal roof, updated kitchen, and newer floors in both bedrooms. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living at its finest with balconies of each bedroom and multiple entrances that open up to a private gated outdoor courtyard! Close to the beaches, retail, restaurants, and US1, this centrally located property is can't be missed! Call for your tour today!
-
2022-06-23historical Active Under Contract 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Move-in ready property for sale in desirable Stuart's The Court Yards! This 2 Bedroom, 2.5 Bathroom home is complete with a metal roof, updated kitchen, and newer floors in both bedrooms. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living at its finest with balconies of each bedroom and multiple entrances that open up to a private gated outdoor courtyard! Close to the beaches, retail, restaurants, and US1, this centrally located property is can't be missed! Call for your tour today!
-
2022-06-16$249,900 Active 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Move-in ready property for sale in desirable Stuart's The Court Yards! This 2 Bedroom, 2.5 Bathroom home is complete with a metal roof, updated kitchen, and newer floors in both bedrooms. Enjoy indoor/outdoor living at its finest with balconies of each bedroom and multiple entrances that open up to a private gated outdoor courtyard! Close to the beaches, retail, restaurants, and US1, this centrally located property is can't be missed! Call for your tour today!
-
1996-09-17soldstatus $63,000
-
1993-03-24soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,676 · $223/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,676 · $223/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,490
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$2,676
- − Insurance
- −$1,997
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,599
- − Management
- −$2,599
- − HOA
- −$9,588
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$7,395
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,775
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Stuart
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 65,812
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,075
- Household income
- $78,136
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1323.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.78%
- Current HPI
- 336.7717
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.71%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $240,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-11 Listed $250,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $249,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-24 Sold (MLS) $249,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-07-15 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2022-06-29 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2022-06-23 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2022-06-16 Listed $249,900 Beaches MLS
- 1996-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 1993-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+29.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,676 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…