4110 N Rogers Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your buyer won't be disappointed. 4 bedrooms, 3 full baths, finished basement with rec room. hardwood floors, granite countertops, huge corner lot. Agent/Owner.
Key facts
- Step in jetted tub
- Spacious kitchen
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Annual ground rent required
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service for heat, cooling, and hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Building winterized
- Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Basement present (partially finished, other); Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Corner lot with front and rear yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Range hood; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Laminate; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (2 on main level, 1 on lower level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heat; Electric hot water; Electric cooling (other type)
- Interior features: Wet/dry bar; Bar; Jetted bathtub in bathroom; Built-in shelving/cabinetry; Ceiling fans; Combination kitchen and living area; Eat-in kitchen; Wood floors
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (13.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (20.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Elmer A. Henderson: A Johns Hopkins Partnership (math 2% / reading 16%, grade F, #650 of 860 statewide, top 77%, 642 students, 80% FRL); Baltimore Polytechnic Institute (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #22 of 222 statewide, top 10%, 1,555 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 79% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $160k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.20%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $234,468
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5417 Wabash Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,377 (-2%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $91 | 76 |
| 4906 Haddon Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,347 (-4%) | 2mo | $132,000 | $98 | 72 |
| 4304 Elderon Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,464 (+4%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $188 | 70 |
| 5605 Groveland Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,596 (+14%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $113 | 65 |
| 4217 Ridgewood Ave | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,352 (-4%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $111 | 64 |
| 4006 N Rogers Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,511 (+8%) | 16mo | $325,000 | $215 | 63 |
| 4302 Elderon Ave | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 13mo | $200,000 | $139 | 61 |
| 5304 Wabash Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+10%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $198 | 58 |
| 4909 Haddon Ave | 0.45mi | 3/3.5 | 1,320 (-6%) | 13mo | $338,000 | $256 | 51 |
| 4018 Elderon Ave | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,380 (-2%) | 14mo | $230,000 | $167 | 51 |
| 3623 Milford Ave | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,536 (+9%) | 10mo | $160,500 | $104 | 50 |
| 5318 Belleville Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,251 (-11%) | 3mo | $275,877 | $221 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $108,292
- Equity at exit
- $194,450
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.31×
- Total profit
- $334,680
- Equity at exit
- $410,952
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21207
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,792 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,723/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $-168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-40 | -5% $-104 | +0% $-168 | +5% $-231 | +10% $-295 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-309 | -5% $-238 | +0% $-168 | +5% $-97 | +10% $-26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-54 | -0.5pp $-111 | base $-168 | +0.5pp $-226 | +1.0pp $-285 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3807 Bowers Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3727 Milford Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3601 Howard Park Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4010 Fernhill Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3617 Mohawk Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3615 Mohawk Ave Gwynn Oak, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,610 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3912 Mortimer Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $2,723 | $2.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3535 Flannery Ln Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1536 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5343 Nelson Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,215 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5000 Litchfield Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3784 Columbus Dr Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 6226 Robin Hill Rd Gwynn Oak, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1140 | $2,850 | $2.50 | 18d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5533 Gwynn Oak Ave Fl 1 Gwynn Oak, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,600 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3735 Manchester Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 6d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 6609 Eberle Dr Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $1,787 | $1.77 | 0d | 26 | 1.20mi |
| 4828 Beaufort Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3501 Oakmont Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,195 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3638 Fords Ln Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5340 Maple Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3809 Clarks Ln Unit 301 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $1,600 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3705 Midheights Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,900 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5301 Maple Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,700 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4309 Norfolk Ave Unit 1st Floor Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,500 | $1.02 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4998 W Forest Park Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $1,875 | $2.37 | 16d | 15 | 1.44mi |
| 3508 Grantley Rd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,350 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $224,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $224,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $224,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $224,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $224,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$224,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,723 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,723 · $310/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$3,723
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,720
- − Management
- −$1,720
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$5,925
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,422
- After-tax cash flow
- $-591/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $67,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2139.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.50%
- Current HPI
- 843.63
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.23%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+49.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $224,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-27 Sold (MLS) $195,000 MRIS
- 2008-05-23 Delisted — MRIS
- 2008-05-06 Price Changed $195,900 MRIS
- 2008-04-30 Price Changed $199,900 MRIS
- 2008-04-25 Price Changed $204,900 MRIS
- 2008-04-03 Price Changed $210,000 MRIS
- 2008-03-14 Price Changed $215,500 MRIS
- 2008-01-24 Price Changed $219,500 MRIS
- 2007-12-04 Listed $225,000 MRIS
- 2006-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,723 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…