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4110 N Rogers Ave
D Composite 44.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$224,900

4110 N Rogers Ave · Baltimore, MD 21207
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1954 9,278 sqft lot Est $234k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Your buyer won't be disappointed. 4 bedrooms, 3 full baths, finished basement with rec room. hardwood floors, granite countertops, huge corner lot. Agent/Owner.

Key facts

  • Step in jetted tub
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

OPEN LIVING DINING ROOMHARDWOOD FLOORSSPACIOUS KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESDOUBLE SINK VANITYSTEP IN JETTED TUB

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Annual ground rent required

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service for heat, cooling, and hot water
  • Home design: Detached property; Building winterized
  • Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Basement present (partially finished, other); Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Corner lot with front and rear yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove; Range hood; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Carpet; Laminate; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (2 on main level, 1 on lower level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heat; Electric hot water; Electric cooling (other type)
  • Interior features: Wet/dry bar; Bar; Jetted bathtub in bathroom; Built-in shelving/cabinetry; Ceiling fans; Combination kitchen and living area; Eat-in kitchen; Wood floors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-168 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (13.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (20.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elmer A. Henderson: A Johns Hopkins Partnership (math 2% / reading 16%, grade F, #650 of 860 statewide, top 77%, 642 students, 80% FRL); Baltimore Polytechnic Institute (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #22 of 222 statewide, top 10%, 1,555 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 79% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $160k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,198 (20.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.20%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$234,468
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5417 Wabash Ave 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,377 (-2%) 7mo $125,000 $91 76
4906 Haddon Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,347 (-4%) 2mo $132,000 $98 72
4304 Elderon Ave 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,464 (+4%) 9mo $275,000 $188 70
5605 Groveland Ave 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,596 (+14%) 5mo $180,000 $113 65
4217 Ridgewood Ave 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,352 (-4%) 2mo $150,000 $111 64
4006 N Rogers Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,511 (+8%) 16mo $325,000 $215 63
4302 Elderon Ave 0.33mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,440 (+3%) 13mo $200,000 $139 61
5304 Wabash Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+10%) 3mo $305,000 $198 58
4909 Haddon Ave 0.45mi 3/3.5 1,320 (-6%) 13mo $338,000 $256 51
4018 Elderon Ave 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,380 (-2%) 14mo $230,000 $167 51
3623 Milford Ave 0.44mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,536 (+9%) 10mo $160,500 $104 50
5318 Belleville Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,251 (-11%) 3mo $275,877 $221 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$108,292
Equity at exit
$194,450
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
6.31×
Total profit
$334,680
Equity at exit
$410,952

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21207

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,792 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$310 /mo · $3,723/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$-168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,004
Max offer price $195,272
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-40 -5% $-104 +0% $-168 +5% $-231 +10% $-295
Rent -10% $-309 -5% $-238 +0% $-168 +5% $-97 +10% $-26
Rate -1.0pp $-54 -0.5pp $-111 base $-168 +0.5pp $-226 +1.0pp $-285

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3807 Bowers Ave Gwynn Oak, MD 3.0 1.5 1152 $2,200 $1.91 45d 1 0.38mi
3727 Milford Ave Gwynn Oak, MD 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 45d 1 0.38mi
3601 Howard Park Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 45d 1 0.56mi
4010 Fernhill Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 0.66mi
3617 Mohawk Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,595 $1.59 45d 1 0.71mi
3615 Mohawk Ave Gwynn Oak, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,610 $1.61 45d 1 0.71mi
3912 Mortimer Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1204 $2,723 $2.26 45d 1 0.80mi
3535 Flannery Ln Gwynn Oak, MD 3.0 1.5 1536 $2,000 $1.30 45d 1 0.84mi
5343 Nelson Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,215 $1.22 25d 1 0.85mi
5000 Litchfield Ave #1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 1.06mi
3784 Columbus Dr Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1250 $2,200 $1.76 25d 1 1.08mi
6226 Robin Hill Rd Gwynn Oak, MD 3.0 1.5 1140 $2,850 $2.50 18d 1 1.09mi
5533 Gwynn Oak Ave Fl 1 Gwynn Oak, MD 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,600 $1.48 45d 1 1.16mi
3735 Manchester Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 6d 1 1.17mi
6609 Eberle Dr Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1011 $1,787 $1.77 0d 26 1.20mi
4828 Beaufort Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1200 $1,850 $1.54 25d 1 1.22mi
3501 Oakmont Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 915 $1,195 $1.31 0d 1 1.22mi
3638 Fords Ln Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1001 $1,795 $1.79 45d 1 1.27mi
5340 Maple Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 45d 1 1.29mi
3809 Clarks Ln Unit 301 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1057 $1,600 $1.51 25d 1 1.30mi
3705 Midheights Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $1,900 $1.86 25d 1 1.31mi
5301 Maple Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 960 $1,700 $1.77 45d 1 1.32mi
4309 Norfolk Ave Unit 1st Floor Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1470 $1,500 $1.02 13d 1 1.35mi
4998 W Forest Park Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 790 $1,875 $2.37 16d 15 1.44mi
3508 Grantley Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,350 $1.08 25d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $224,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $224,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,723 · $310/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,723 · $310/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,504
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$3,723
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,720
− Management
−$1,720
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$5,925
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,422
After-tax cash flow
$-591/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore County · 769,527 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
47,099
Household income
$67,060
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
2139.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Swedish 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
843.63
Rent YoY
▲ 5.23%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+49.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $224,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 2008-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
  • 2008-06-27 Sold (MLS) $195,000 MRIS
  • 2008-05-23 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-05-06 Price Changed $195,900 MRIS
  • 2008-04-30 Price Changed $199,900 MRIS
  • 2008-04-25 Price Changed $204,900 MRIS
  • 2008-04-03 Price Changed $210,000 MRIS
  • 2008-03-14 Price Changed $215,500 MRIS
  • 2008-01-24 Price Changed $219,500 MRIS
  • 2007-12-04 Listed $225,000 MRIS
  • 2006-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,723 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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