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28 156th St
B- Composite 68.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,900

28 156th St · Calumet City, IL 60409
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,217 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 193 Days on market
Built 1899 6,202 sqft lot ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom, charming Bungalow home, sits on a 50 ft-wide lot, with a 2.5 car garage and 2nd out-building off the private alley perfect for a workshop/work-out room/man-cave. Historic main level ready to be brought back to life! 2nd level offers a huge master bedroom with closets and additional storage throughout the attic bedroom. Unfinished basement for double to potential finished living space. This home is being sold as-is by the SOUTH SUBURBAN LAND BANK AND DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY.

Key facts

  • 6,202 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1899

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is not currently leased; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Garage owned; 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story property; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area
  • Construction: Built over 100 years ago; Aluminum siding, vinyl siding and brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 1/4 acre; Lot dimensions listed as 6200

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (vinyl flooring); Kitchen has a fireplace
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Master bedroom located on the second floor (carpet); Two main-level bedrooms (10 x 11 hardwood; 8 x 10 vinyl)
  • Flooring: Hardwood main flooring; Carpet in master bedroom; Vinyl in one bedroom and kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Forced air system
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Built-in features; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $897 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.3% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $39,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.68%
Cap rate
30.27%
Cash-on-cash
85.65%
DSCR
4.81
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$165,512
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5259 State Line Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,260 (+4%) 1mo $77,000 $61 77
303 W 153rd Pl 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,188 (-2%) 1mo $65,000 $55 75
301 Warren St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,270 (+4%) 2mo $211,000 $166 68
423 157th St 0.51mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,212 (-0%) 1mo $25,000 $21 67
228 154th Pl 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-8%) 3mo $39,900 $36 66
212 Ruth St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,305 (+7%) 1mo $216,000 $166 63
7 Highland St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,163 (-4%) 3mo $172,500 $148 59
518 156th Pl 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,165 (-4%) 3mo $167,000 $143 58
211 Waltham St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,101 (-10%) 1mo $150,000 $136 56
244 Condit St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,397 (+15%) 1mo $293,500 $210 55
503 Webb St 0.61mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,093 (-10%) 1mo $20,000 $18 49
525 Forsythe Ave 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,386 (+14%) 2mo $185,000 $133 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
90.0%
Equity multiple
5.41×
Total profit
$55,397
Equity at exit
$6,695
10-year hold
IRR
93.7%
Equity multiple
12.61×
Total profit
$145,992
Equity at exit
$3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60409

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,653 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax from tax record
$154 /mo · $1,849/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$897

Break-even live

Break-even rent $517
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 157th St Unit 3 Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 25d 1 0.14mi
3 Ruth St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 25d 1 0.36mi
5 Ruth St Unit 2W Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 13d 1 0.36mi
3 Waltham St Hammond, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,095 $0.91 25d 1 0.41mi
34 Elizabeth St Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1246 $2,400 $1.93 1d 1 0.46mi
323 Memorial Dr Unit 2 Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 25d 1 0.59mi
634 Sibley Blvd Calumet City, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 710 $1,450 $2.04 5d 2 0.85mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 17d 1 0.98mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 25d 1 0.98mi
1338 Wentworth Ave Unit 1338 Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,430 $1.79 25d 1 1.13mi
1312 Gordon Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1134 $1,600 $1.41 7d 1 1.15mi
4624 Towle Ave Hammond, IN 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,500 $1.67 1d 1 1.32mi
4624 Towle Ave Hammond, IN 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,500 $1.67 3d 1 1.32mi
1227 Logan St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 768 $1,350 $1.76 15d 1 1.46mi
1227 Logan St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 768 $1,350 $1.76 10d 1 1.46mi

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,849 · $154/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,849 · $154/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,831
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$1,849
− Insurance
−$224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,586
− Management
−$1,586
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$10,763
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,583
After-tax cash flow
$8,184/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
NCES district ID
1738940
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,207
Composite
10.27/100
National rank
#9793
State rank
#563 of 620 in IL

Livability — Calumet City

Score
71/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#6552

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet City, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
35,100
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
35,100
Household income
$55,369
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
2415.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.01%
Current HPI
197.2137
Rent YoY
▲ 6.17%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-29.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-25 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $44,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 1996-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 1993-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,849 · +19.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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