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1214 Lowery St
D Composite 44.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$28,000

1214 Lowery St · Bryan, TX 77803
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily · 143 Days on market
Built 1979 Fair condition 1,651 sqft lot $32/sqft · 80% below area ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located just minutes from Downtown Bryan, this lot is ready for a new beginning. Zoned RD-5, allowing for the construction of a single-family home within setbacks, as illustrated in the example photos. Buyer to perform their own due diligence to verify zoning, permitted uses, and building requirements.

Key facts

  • Zoned rd-5
  • 1,651 sq ft lot
  • Built 1979

Tags

MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN BRYANZONED RD-5

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $28k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $804 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $28k).
  • Recommended offer: $25k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 40.7% vs local median 4.0% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities C-.
  • Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 288 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $194 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $840 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $24,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.51%
Cap rate
40.74%
Cash-on-cash
123.04%
DSCR
6.47
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$143,225
List price
$28,000
Delta
-80.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1113 Lowery St 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 940 (+7%) 15mo $185,000 $197 68
1115 Lowery St 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 979 (+11%) 14mo $188,000 $192 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.70×
Total profit
$44,717
Equity at exit
$4,175
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.39×
Total profit
$97,135
Equity at exit
$2,421

Cash invested: $7,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77803

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
288
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$147
Tax est. 1.5%
$35 /mo · $420/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$804

Break-even live

Break-even rent $245
Max offer price $28,000
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,000
Closing costs
$840
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
306 W 23rd St Bryan, TX 3.0 1.0 999 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 0.77mi
501 N Main St Unit 407 Bryan, TX 1.0 1.0 707 $1,300 $1.84 13d 1 0.85mi
501 N Main St Unit 409 Bryan, TX 1.0 1.0 721 $1,350 $1.87 43d 1 0.85mi
501 N Main St Unit 203 Bryan, TX 1.0 1.0 708 $1,300 $1.84 43d 1 0.85mi
401 N Main St Unit 306 Bryan, TX 1.0 1.0 640 $1,000 $1.56 43d 1 0.89mi
206 N Main St Bryan, TX 1.0 1.0 597 $1,125 $1.88 21d 1 0.95mi
207 N Preston Ave Bryan, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 21d 1 1.21mi
603 S Sims Ave Unit 113 Bryan, TX 1.0 1.0 650 $1,250 $1.92 43d 1 1.24mi
400 Robertson St Bryan, TX 1.0 1.0 576 $725 $1.26 43d 1 1.30mi
700 S Sims Ave Bryan, TX 2.0 1.0 918 $1,150 $1.25 21d 1 1.30mi
101 W 33rd St Unit 103 Bryan, TX 1.0 1.0 615 $1,250 $2.03 21d 1 1.41mi
1014 E 23rd St Bryan, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 1 1.45mi
514 E 30th St Unit B1 Bryan, TX 2.0 1.5 879 $875 $1.00 44d 1 1.46mi
1300 Baker Ave Bryan, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $970 $1.14 13d 1 1.47mi
1112 Baker Ave Bryan, TX 3.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $28,000 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $28,000 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $28,000 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $28,000 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $28,000 Active 138 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $28,000 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $28,000 Active 135 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $28,000 Active 134 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $28,000 Active 133 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $28,000 Active 132 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $28,000 Active 128 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $28,000 Active 127 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $28,000 Active 126 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $28,000 Active 125 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $28,000 Active 124 DOM
  16. 2026-04-08
    price $28,000 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Located just minutes from Downtown Bryan, this lot is ready for a new beginning. Zoned RD-5, allowing for the construction of a single-family home within setbacks, as illustrated in the example photos. Buyer to perform their own due diligence to verify zoning, permitted uses, and building requirements.

  17. 2026-01-27
    listed $32,000 Active 303-char remark
    Show marketing remark (303 chars)

    Located just minutes from Downtown Bryan, this lot is ready for a new beginning. Zoned RD-5, allowing for the construction of a single-family home within setbacks, as illustrated in the example photos. Buyer to perform their own due diligence to verify zoning, permitted uses, and building requirements.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,150
− Mortgage interest
−$1,568
− Property taxes
−$420
− Insurance
−$140
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,212
− Management
−$1,212
− Depreciation
−$815
Taxable income
$9,783
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,348
After-tax cash flow
$7,298/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires moderate renovations to improve its curb appeal and increase its value. Exterior repairs and updates are necessary to enhance its overall condition.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — Severe weathering
  • Major exterior paint — Peeling paint
  • Major flooring — Dirtied and worn

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace flooring — Improves living space and value
  • Both repair and paint exterior siding — Restores home's appearance and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Severe weathering Major $15,000–50,000
exterior paint · Peeling paint Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Dirtied and worn Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $45,000–150,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace flooring — Improves living space and value
  • Both repair and paint exterior siding — Restores home's appearance and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bryan ISD
NCES district ID
4811790
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$41,895
Composite
26.26/100
National rank
#7253
State rank
#608 of 826 in TX

Livability — Bryan

Score
76/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#3341

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bryan, TX
County
Brazos County · 233,400 people
City population
101,772
Metro
College Station-Bryan, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,525
Household income
$52,274
Rent vs Own
36.6% rent · 63.4% own
Severe rent burden
1094.0

Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
267,942 people
By 2030
296,630 · +10.7%
By 2040
354,560 · +32.3%
By 2050
414,616 · +54.7%
By 2075
562,158 · +109.8%
By 2100
678,828 · +153.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% Black 21% Two or more races 18% White 17%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 56%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 47%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazos

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.84%
Current HPI
257.2885
Rent YoY
▲ 1.43%
Metro
College Station-Bryan, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $28,000 BCSRMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $32,000 BCSRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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