451 N Wabash St · Wheeling, WV
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beauty of the past is evident. Natural woodwork. Fireplace mantels. High ceilings. Pocket door and double staircase. Half story could be finished for more space. Full basement. Central air plus excellent storage under porches. Half bath is in basement. Great potential.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Formal dining room
- Stunning woodwork
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence, Colonial-style; 2 stories
- Construction: Aluminum, vinyl, and wood siding; Below-grade finished area
- Exterior features: Porch; Level lot
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Has fireplace (4 total); Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($675/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 4.3% in Wheeling — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#74 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Ohio County Schools (urban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #5 of 55 in WV (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Madison Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #148 of 377 statewide, top 49%, 277 students, 0% FRL); Triadelphia Middle School (math 34% / reading 56%, grade D, #9 of 109 statewide, top 7%, 390 students, 0% FRL); Wheeling Park High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #14 of 110 statewide, top 16%, 1,490 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 228 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Ohio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ohio County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $64k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.56%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $68,244
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 N Wabash St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,068 (0%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $31 | 94 |
| 322 North Wabash St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,990 (-4%) | 1mo | $17,500 | $9 | 81 |
| 516 N Wabash St | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,150 (+4%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $67 | 77 |
| 443 North Front St | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,024 (-2%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $37 | 76 |
| 515 N Huron St | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,880 (-9%) | 14mo | $62,500 | $33 | 67 |
| 218 N Front St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 2,213 (+7%) | 22mo | $125,000 | $56 | 55 |
| 5 South Front St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,363 (+14%) | 11mo | $8,000 | $3 | 35 |
| 87 Ohio St | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,360 (+14%) | 12mo | $34,500 | $15 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-8,237
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,275
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26003
- Home prices YoY
- -23.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 228
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,258 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $642/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $56
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $99 | -5% $77 | +0% $56 | +5% $35 | +10% $14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-43 | -5% $7 | +0% $56 | +5% $106 | +10% $156 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $94 | -0.5pp $75 | base $56 | +0.5pp $37 | +1.0pp $17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-01status Active
-
2026-03-24status Pending
-
2025-10-02$74,900 Active
-
2021-11-16soldstatus $64,000 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Beauty of the past is evident. Natural woodwork. Fireplace mantels. High ceilings. Pocket door and double staircase. Half story could be finished for more space. Full basement. Central air plus excellent storage under porches. Half bath is in basement. Great potential.
-
2021-08-12$69,500 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Beauty of the past is evident. Natural woodwork. Fireplace mantels. High ceilings. Pocket door and double staircase. Half story could be finished for more space. Full basement. Central air plus excellent storage under porches. Half bath is in basement. Great potential.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $642 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $642 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,102
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$642
- − Insurance
- −$5,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,208
- − Management
- −$1,208
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable loss
- −$231
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$55
- After-tax cash flow
- $731/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ohio County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401050
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,572
- Composite
- 34.88/100
- National rank
- #5085
- State rank
- #5 of 55 in WV
Livability — Wheeling
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #8950
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wheeling, WV
- County
- Ohio County · 39,982 people
- City population
- 39,982
- Metro
- Wheeling, WV-OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,982
- Household income
- $57,703
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1630.0
Population outlook (Ohio County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,604 people
- By 2030
- 39,150 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 36,039 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 33,582 · -17.3%
- By 2075
- 28,662 · -29.4%
- By 2100
- 22,963 · -43.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ohio
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.0% · R 62.0% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -26.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.0 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+31.6 2012: R+22.5 2008: R+10.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.09%
- Current HPI
- 223.4106
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.03%
- Metro
- Wheeling, WV-OH
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+7.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — WBOR
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — WBOR
- 2026-03-24 Pending — WBOR
- 2025-10-02 Listed $74,900 WBOR
- 2021-11-16 Sold (MLS) $64,000 WBOR
- 2021-08-12 Listed $69,500 WBOR
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $642 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…