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107 Keystone Hills Rd #404
C+ Composite 64.96
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$187,500

107 Keystone Hills Rd #404 · Clinton, PA 18419
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,150 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1970 $87/sqft · 14% below area Est $217k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhouse located in desirable Keystone Hills. This home features a bright and functional layout with spacious living and dining areas, plus a trex deck off the main level--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The second floor includes three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, while the fully finished lower level provides additional living space ideal for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Enjoy the convenience of public water/sewer, no HOA fees, and a private setting with easy access to major routes and local amenities. A great opportunity for both homeowners and investors--don't miss it!

Key facts

  • Private setting
  • Trex deck
  • Public water

Tags

TREX DECKFULLY FINISHED LOWER LEVELPUBLIC WATERPRIVATE SETTINGEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR ROUTES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electrical service; Sewer and water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; Two levels; Attached property with 2+ common walls
  • Construction: Composition roof; Below-grade finished living area present
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Finished full basement with both interior and exterior/walk-out access; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $188k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (8.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#556 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Lackawanna Trail SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #248 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
  • Wyoming County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $188k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $172,482 (8.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.83%
Cash-on-cash
5.48%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$217,148
List price
$187,500
Delta
-13.65%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13 Donna Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 2,041 (-5%) 12mo $275,000 $135 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.55% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$64,300
Equity at exit
$112,533
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
4.40×
Total profit
$178,491
Equity at exit
$199,618

Cash invested: $52,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18419

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,725 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$983
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $739/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$240

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,422
Max offer price $187,500
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $346 -5% $293 +0% $240 +5% $187 +10% $133
Rent -10% $103 -5% $171 +0% $240 +5% $308 +10% $376
Rate -1.0pp $334 -0.5pp $287 base $240 +0.5pp $191 +1.0pp $142

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,875
Closing costs
$5,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on marketlisting id $187,500 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    Well-maintained and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhouse located in desirable Keystone Hills. This home features a bright and functional layout with spacious living and dining areas, plus a trex deck off the main level--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The second floor includes three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, while the fully finished lower level provides additional living space ideal for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Enjoy the convenience of public water/sewer, no HOA fees, and a private setting with easy access to major routes and local amenities. A great opportunity for both homeowners and investors--don't miss it!

  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $187,500 Active 49 DOM
    Show marketing remark (666 chars)

    Well-maintained and move-in ready 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhouse located in desirable Keystone Hills. This home features a bright and functional layout with spacious living and dining areas, plus a trex deck off the main level--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The second floor includes three comfortable bedrooms and a full bath, while the fully finished lower level provides additional living space ideal for a family room, home office, or recreation area. Enjoy the convenience of public water/sewer, no HOA fees, and a private setting with easy access to major routes and local amenities. A great opportunity for both homeowners and investors--don't miss it!

  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $187,500 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $187,500 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $187,500 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $187,500 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $187,500 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $187,500 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $187,500 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $187,500 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $187,500 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $187,500 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $187,500 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $187,500 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $187,500 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    listed $187,500 Active 717-char remark
  17. 2019-07-18
    soldstatus $119,900
  18. 2019-07-16
    soldstatus $119,900 334-char remark
    Show marketing remark (334 chars)

    TOWNHOUSE - MOVE IN CONDITION - completely remodeled basement. Deck off living room. 3 Bedrooms, 1.5 baths. No HOA or maintenance fees. - A MUST SEE PROPERTY, Baths: 1 Bath Lev 2,1 Half Lev 1, Beds: 2+ Bed 2nd, Mstr 2nd, SqFt Fin - Main: 800.00, SqFt Fin - 3rd: 0.00, Tax Information: Available, Dining Area: Y, SqFt Fin - 2nd: 800.00

  19. 2014-03-18
    soldstatus $82,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$739 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,851 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$1,112/yr (+$93/mo · 150.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,698
− Mortgage interest
−$10,503
− Property taxes
−$739
− Insurance
−$938
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,656
− Management
−$1,656
− Depreciation
−$5,455
Taxable loss
−$248
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$59
After-tax cash flow
$2,935/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lackawanna Trail SD
NCES district ID
4212990
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$53,071
Composite
39.71/100
National rank
#3904
State rank
#248 of 539 in PA

Livability — Clinton

Score
73/100
State rank
#556
US rank
#5185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,868

Population outlook (Wyoming County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,334 people
By 2030
25,225 · -4.2%
By 2040
22,707 · -13.8%
By 2050
20,250 · -23.1%
By 2075
15,192 · -42.3%
By 2100
10,961 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wyoming

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.8) · D 31.1% · R 67.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-29.2pp toward R · 2008: -7.6pp · 2024: -36.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.8 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+38.7 2012: R+12.3 2008: R+7.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.55%
Current HPI
258.6724
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+127.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $187,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $187,500 PWMLS
  • 2019-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $119,900 Public Records
  • 2019-07-16 Sold (MLS) $119,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2014-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $739 · -74.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…