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10215 Monarch Dr
C- Composite 53.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$140,000

10215 Monarch Dr · Castle Point, MO 63136
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,235 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1958 5,998 sqft lot $113/sqft · 8% below area Est $152k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

What a great investment opportunity! Go and show. This home is a 3 bed/1.5 bath with attached 1 car garage and full basement. Property to be sold As-Is. Seller to make no repairs, warranties, or inspections. Please submit all offers with proof of funds or proof of financing. Please use a "Special Sales Contract".

Key facts

  • Sizable yard
  • Ample cabinet space
  • Functional layout

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTAMPLE CABINET SPACESIZABLE YARDCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One level
  • Construction: Brick veneer exterior
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room; Family room; Basement with concrete finish
  • Laundry & utility: Utilities connected: Electricity, Natural gas, Water, Sewer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($890/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (6.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 13.0% in Castle Point — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#313 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lewis And Clark Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 145 students, 98% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $17k; list at $140k implies a 724% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,511 (6.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.93%
Cash-on-cash
2.27%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$152,000
List price
$140,000
Delta
-7.89%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10217 Viscount Dr 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,205 (-2%) 2mo $149,000 $124 88
10139 Edgefield Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-8%) 0mo $119,900 $105 82
10231 Monarch Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,073 (-13%) 1mo $189,999 $177 73
2360 Chambers Rd 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,168 (-5%) 1mo $44,900 $38 64
10006 Castle Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,178 (-5%) 5mo $35,900 $30 60
10421 Canfield Dr 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,073 (-13%) 5mo $154,900 $144 57
9922 Lanier Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,159 (-6%) 5mo $85,000 $73 56
2270 Ainsworth Dr 0.72mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,276 (+3%) 2mo $94,900 $74 48
10129 Ventura Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,055 (-15%) 2mo $129,900 $123 46
10539 Monarch Dr 0.48mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,073 (-13%) 3mo $135,000 $126 44
2414 Castle Dr 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,054 (-15%) 4mo $130,000 $123 42
2442 Gardner Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,054 (-15%) 2mo $59,900 $57 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.8%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$30,180
Equity at exit
$69,270
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
3.50×
Total profit
$97,927
Equity at exit
$111,953

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63136

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,305 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,973/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,211
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,728 $1.61 23d 1 0.16mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 882 $775 $0.88 43d 1 0.19mi
10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 7d 1 0.20mi
10365 Lord Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,075 $1.24 1d 1 0.28mi
10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,100 $1.21 21d 1 0.28mi
10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 770 $1,325 $1.72 43d 1 0.33mi
10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1016 $900 $0.89 43d 1 0.36mi
10404 Earl Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 770 $1,100 $1.43 3d 1 0.36mi
2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,050 $0.99 23d 1 0.38mi
2257 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 0.39mi
10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 7d 1 0.40mi
10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 888 $1,195 $1.35 14d 1 0.43mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 912 $1,250 $1.37 23d 1 0.47mi
10501 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,090 $0.96 43d 1 0.48mi
10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,275 $1.25 23d 1 0.50mi
2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 975 $1,320 $1.35 23d 1 0.50mi
10441 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 1380 $1,380 $1.00 43d 1 0.53mi
13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,040 $1.16 21d 1 0.55mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 43d 1 0.61mi
10128 Cloverdale Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,000 $1.26 23d 1 0.61mi
10078 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,325 $1.47 7d 1 0.69mi
10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1023 $1,300 $1.27 14d 1 0.69mi
10124 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,400 $1.77 2d 1 0.72mi
62 Capitol Hill Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,250 $1.01 43d 1 0.72mi
10239 Green Valley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,395 $1.38 23d 1 0.73mi
2259 Ainsworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,776 $1.18 43d 1 0.76mi
9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,345 $1.33 43d 1 0.76mi
1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1062 $1,200 $1.13 23d 1 0.76mi
1926 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 1095 $995 $0.91 14d 1 0.85mi
9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,450 $1.43 7d 1 0.89mi
2008 Kappel Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 858 $1,175 $1.37 23d 1 0.90mi
9908 Norbridge Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1240 $1,650 $1.33 19d 1 0.90mi
2257 Luxmore Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 3.0 1073 $1,495 $1.39 23d 1 0.95mi
9827 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 7d 1 0.97mi
2152 Nemnich Rd Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1030 $1,100 $1.07 43d 1 0.97mi
9823 Winkler Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 788 $900 $1.14 43d 1 0.98mi
9812 Balboa Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,495 $1.00 21d 1 1.02mi
10304 Bon Oak Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,250 $0.83 43d 1 1.05mi
1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1071 $1,575 $1.47 10d 1 1.10mi
1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 795 $1,295 $1.63 17d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    status $140,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 727-char remark
  5. 2026-05-01
    listed $140,000 Active 727-char remark
  6. 2019-07-15
    soldstatus
  7. 2018-12-28
    soldstatus Closed 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    What a great investment opportunity! Go and show. This home is a 3 bed/1.5 bath with attached 1 car garage and full basement. Property to be sold As-Is. Seller to make no repairs, warranties, or inspections. Please submit all offers with proof of funds or proof of financing. Please use a "Special Sales Contract".

  8. 2018-12-21
    soldstatus $17,000
  9. 2018-12-05
    status Pending 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    What a great investment opportunity! Go and show. This home is a 3 bed/1.5 bath with attached 1 car garage and full basement. Property to be sold As-Is. Seller to make no repairs, warranties, or inspections. Please submit all offers with proof of funds or proof of financing. Please use a "Special Sales Contract".

  10. 2018-11-28
    price $20,900 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    What a great investment opportunity! Go and show. This home is a 3 bed/1.5 bath with attached 1 car garage and full basement. Property to be sold As-Is. Seller to make no repairs, warranties, or inspections. Please submit all offers with proof of funds or proof of financing. Please use a "Special Sales Contract".

  11. 2018-11-19
    price $21,900 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    What a great investment opportunity! Go and show. This home is a 3 bed/1.5 bath with attached 1 car garage and full basement. Property to be sold As-Is. Seller to make no repairs, warranties, or inspections. Please submit all offers with proof of funds or proof of financing. Please use a "Special Sales Contract".

  12. 2018-11-07
    price $22,900 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    What a great investment opportunity! Go and show. This home is a 3 bed/1.5 bath with attached 1 car garage and full basement. Property to be sold As-Is. Seller to make no repairs, warranties, or inspections. Please submit all offers with proof of funds or proof of financing. Please use a "Special Sales Contract".

  13. 2018-11-01
    price $23,900 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    What a great investment opportunity! Go and show. This home is a 3 bed/1.5 bath with attached 1 car garage and full basement. Property to be sold As-Is. Seller to make no repairs, warranties, or inspections. Please submit all offers with proof of funds or proof of financing. Please use a "Special Sales Contract".

  14. 2018-10-25
    listed $24,900 Active 327-char remark
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    What a great investment opportunity! Go and show. This home is a 3 bed/1.5 bath with attached 1 car garage and full basement. Property to be sold As-Is. Seller to make no repairs, warranties, or inspections. Please submit all offers with proof of funds or proof of financing. Please use a "Special Sales Contract".

  15. 1999-09-21
    soldstatus $61,900
  16. 1997-12-18
    soldstatus
  17. 1996-02-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,973 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,973 · $164/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,661
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,973
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,253
− Management
−$1,253
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$1,432
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$344
After-tax cash flow
$1,234/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Riverview Gardens
NCES district ID
2926670
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,759
Composite
4.22/100
National rank
#10058
State rank
#324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Castle Point

Score
64/100
State rank
#313
US rank
#14373

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Castle Point, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
40,929
Household income
$41,154
Rent vs Own
53.1% rent · 46.9% own
Severe rent burden
3085.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.79%
Current HPI
420.28
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+126.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-12 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $140,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-07-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-12-28 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
  • 2018-12-05 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-28 Price Changed $20,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-19 Price Changed $21,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-07 Price Changed $22,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-11-01 Price Changed $23,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-25 Listed $24,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $61,900 Public Records
  • 1997-12-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-02-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,973 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…