6130 Camino Real #112 · Jurupa Valley, CA 92509

$155,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Manufactured public records · 201 Days on market

Built 1978 $149/sqft · 6% above area Est $146k · 6% over

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +4.7/15.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.8/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Community pool
• Built 1978
• Listed 201 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $781 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
• Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.9% in Jurupa Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,170 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Jurupa Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #953 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 201 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $136,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 201 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.51% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 21.59%
• DSCR: 1.96
• GRM: 5.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $146,013
• List price: $155,000
• Delta: 6.15%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 8 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
6130 Camino Real #112	0.00mi	2/2.0	1,040 (0%)	1mo	$149,000	$143	99
6130 Camino Real #126	0.12mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,040 (0%)	2mo	$155,000	$149	88
6130 Camino Real #97	0.12mi	2/2.0	1,152 (+11%)	11mo	$120,000	$104	67
6130 Camino Real #108	0.14mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,100 (+6%)	17mo	$125,000	$114	64
6130 Camino Real #238	0.19mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,196 (+15%)	2mo	$190,000	$159	60
6130 Camino Real #47	0.25mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,176 (+13%)	11mo	$145,000	$123	53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 12.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.48×
• Total profit: $20,733
• Equity at exit: $23,111

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.54×
• Total profit: $66,689
• Equity at exit: $13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 92509

• Rents YoY: 1.3%
• Active inventory: 202
• Price-to-rent: 5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,344 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$813
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
• Insurance: −$65
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$492
• Net cashflow: $781

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,356

Max offer price $155,000

Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $888	-5% $834	+0% $781	+5% $727	+10% $674
Rent	-10% $596	-5% $688	+0% $781	+5% $873	+10% $966
Rate	-1.0pp $859	-0.5pp $820	base $781	+0.5pp $741	+1.0pp $700

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $38,750
• Closing costs: $4,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
6322 Brian Cir Jurupa Valley, CA	3.0	2.0	1177	$2,800	$2.38	44d	1	0.55mi

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-01
   days on market $155,000 Active 201 DOM
2. 2026-05-31
   days on market $155,000 Active 200 DOM
3. 2025-12-29
   status Active
4. 2025-11-07
   status Pending Sale
5. 2025-09-21
   listed $155,000 Active
6. 2007-04-21
   historical
7. 2007-04-21
   listed $49,900
8. 2006-08-18
   historical
9. 2006-04-18
   listed $49,900
10. 2006-03-21
    historical
11. 2006-02-16
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,132
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,682
• − Property taxes: −$2,325
• − Insurance: −$775
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,251
• − Management: −$2,251
• − Depreciation: −$4,509
• Taxable income: $7,340
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,762
• After-tax cash flow: $7,609/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jurupa Unified
• NCES district ID: 0619260
• Math proficiency: 25% ▲ 2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $58,100
• Composite: 30.97/100
• National rank: #11327
• State rank: #953 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Jurupa Valley

• Score: 49/100
• State rank: #1170
• US rank: #25915

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jurupa Valley, CA
• County: Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
• City population: 119,165
• Metro: Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
• Population (ZIP): 81,182
• Household income: $95,355
• Rent vs Own: 28.7% rent · 71.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1694.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,664,475 people
• By 2030: 2,802,692 · +5.2%
• By 2040: 3,050,904 · +14.5%
• By 2050: 3,256,783 · +22.2%
• By 2075: 3,655,058 · +37.2%
• By 2100: 3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 74% White 17% Two or more races 16% Black 4% Asian 4% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 67%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 42% English-only · Spanish 54% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -374.91%
• Current HPI: 464.8939
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.31%
• Metro: Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+158.8% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2025-12-29 Relisted — CRMLS
• 2025-11-07 Pending — CRMLS
• 2025-09-21 Listed $155,000 CRMLS
• 2007-04-21 Listing Removed — CRMLS
• 2007-04-21 Listed $49,900 CRMLS
• 2006-08-18 Listing Removed — CRMLS
• 2006-04-18 Listed $49,900 CRMLS
• 2006-03-21 Listing Removed — CRMLS
• 2006-02-16 Listed $59,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $117 · -6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.