3413 Nathan Cir · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SHORT SALE!! This home is in a quiet cul-de-sac with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a spacious backyard offers excellent potential, whether for rental income or personal living. The wide driveway is a plus, making parking convenient. While it may need a bit of TLC, that often means an opportunity to add value with some smart renovations. The home is being sold AS IS with no repairs made by sellers. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Smart renovations
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.7% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,269/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1526% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 374 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 374 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.89%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,070
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -44.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8819 W Saint Helens Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (+5%) | 6mo | $178,000 | $150 | 77 |
| 3406 Saint Helens Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,159 (+3%) | 18mo | $159,900 | $138 | 77 |
| 8458 Parkdale Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,226 (+8%) | 23mo | $56,000 | $46 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.37% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $8,475
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $34,735
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71108
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,269 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,522/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $372
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9005 Walker Rd Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,332 | $1.37 | 13d | 5 | 0.89mi |
| 8860 Bernay Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3011 Mackey Ln Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1222 | $1,300 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3024 Karla Cir Unit 3024 Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,175 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9100 Walker Rd Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 841 | $1,164 | $1.38 | 13d | 9 | 1.10mi |
| 3126 W Bert Kouns Industrial Loop Shreveport, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $820 | $0.86 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 9063 Marva Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1052 | $1,375 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2843 Kaylin Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2832 Holiday Ln Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,250 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2838 Smithfield Rd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 9202 Highcrest Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,500 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3257 W Bert Kouns Industrial Loop Shreveport, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1108 | $2,064 | $1.86 | 13d | 7 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 374 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $89,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $93,000 Active 373 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $93,000 Active 372 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $93,000 Active 371 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $93,000 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $93,000 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $93,000 Active 366 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $93,000 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $93,000 Active 364 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $93,000 Active 363 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $93,000 Active 360 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $93,000 Active 359 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $93,000 Active 358 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $93,000 Active 357 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $93,000 Active 356 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $93,000 Active 355 DOM
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2026-04-23status Active 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
SHORT SALE!! This home is in a quiet cul-de-sac with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a spacious backyard offers excellent potential, whether for rental income or personal living. The wide driveway is a plus, making parking convenient. While it may need a bit of TLC, that often means an opportunity to add value with some smart renovations. The home is being sold AS IS with no repairs made by sellers. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-03-25historical Active Contingent 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
SHORT SALE!! This home is in a quiet cul-de-sac with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a spacious backyard offers excellent potential, whether for rental income or personal living. The wide driveway is a plus, making parking convenient. While it may need a bit of TLC, that often means an opportunity to add value with some smart renovations. The home is being sold AS IS with no repairs made by sellers. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-03-02price $93,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
SHORT SALE!! This home is in a quiet cul-de-sac with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a spacious backyard offers excellent potential, whether for rental income or personal living. The wide driveway is a plus, making parking convenient. While it may need a bit of TLC, that often means an opportunity to add value with some smart renovations. The home is being sold AS IS with no repairs made by sellers. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-08-13price $105,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
SHORT SALE!! This home is in a quiet cul-de-sac with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a spacious backyard offers excellent potential, whether for rental income or personal living. The wide driveway is a plus, making parking convenient. While it may need a bit of TLC, that often means an opportunity to add value with some smart renovations. The home is being sold AS IS with no repairs made by sellers. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-07-03price $110,000 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
SHORT SALE!! This home is in a quiet cul-de-sac with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a spacious backyard offers excellent potential, whether for rental income or personal living. The wide driveway is a plus, making parking convenient. While it may need a bit of TLC, that often means an opportunity to add value with some smart renovations. The home is being sold AS IS with no repairs made by sellers. Schedule a showing today!
-
2025-06-05$125,000 Active 433-char remark
Show marketing remark (433 chars)
SHORT SALE!! This home is in a quiet cul-de-sac with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a spacious backyard offers excellent potential, whether for rental income or personal living. The wide driveway is a plus, making parking convenient. While it may need a bit of TLC, that often means an opportunity to add value with some smart renovations. The home is being sold AS IS with no repairs made by sellers. Schedule a showing today!
-
2011-04-01soldstatus $96,000
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1998-03-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,522 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,522 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,522
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,218
- − Management
- −$1,218
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $3,247
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$779
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,680/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,072
- Household income
- $32,055
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1526.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 11% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.98%
- Current HPI
- 58.1377
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.37%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-3.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $93,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $105,000 NTREIS
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $110,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-05 Listed $125,000 NTREIS
- 2011-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 1998-03-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,522 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…