🏷️ Likely Rental
17444 C R 2195 · Whitehouse, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy 3-bedroom offering ample space, 2-bathroom providing convenience for the whole household. This home is perfectly situated in a desirabletown location. Enjoy the convenience of being within walking distance of local shops, restaurants, and parks. Home comes with a refrigerator, stove, microwave. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity to live in a charming town home! Contact the listing agent to schedule a tour of thehome.
Key facts
- Stove
- Microwave
- Refrigerator
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on a 0.96-acre lot; Subdivision: MULHARRISTER
Exterior
- Home design: Single family detached home; Single-story
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Central air conditioning; Central electric heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
- Cap rate 1047.9% vs local median 3.7% in Whitehouse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#55 in TX, #2,180 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Whitehouse ISD (suburban): math 68% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #38 of 826 in TX (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Whitehouse J H (math 65% / reading 53%, grade B, #181 of 1,662 statewide, top 11%, 776 students, 49% FRL); Whitehouse H S (math 71% / reading 69%, grade B+, #116 of 1,632 statewide, top 7%, 1,532 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $420 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 110.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1047.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3719.86%
- DSCR
- 166.51
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $261,783
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 Windridge | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,377 (-7%) | 4mo | $244,400 | $177 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 197.68×
- Total profit
- $82,604
- Equity at exit
- $224
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 425.75×
- Total profit
- $178,396
- Equity at exit
- $130
Cash invested: $420 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75791
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,661 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$8
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$2 /mo · $22/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $1,302
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,303 | -5% $1,302 | +0% $1,302 | +5% $1,301 | +10% $1,301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,171 | -5% $1,236 | +0% $1,302 | +5% $1,368 | +10% $1,433 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,303 | -0.5pp $1,302 | base $1,302 | +0.5pp $1,302 | +1.0pp $1,301 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $375
- Closing costs
- $45
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17444 County Road 2195 Unit R Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $1,500 | $1.01 | 22d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 17346 FM 2964 Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1557 | $2,095 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 602 W Main St Unit Application Unit Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,190 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7760 County Road 2193 Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,225 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7700 Beam Rd Whitehouse, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,430 | $1.47 | 45d | 6 | 1.21mi |
| 7641 County Road 2193 Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,430 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7621 County Road 2193 Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,430 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 308 Hanks St Whitehouse, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-22$1,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,934
- − Mortgage interest
- −$84
- − Property taxes
- −$22
- − Insurance
- −$8
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,595
- − Management
- −$1,595
- − Depreciation
- −$44
- Taxable income
- $16,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,981
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,643/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Whitehouse ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845600
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,060
- Composite
- 55.18/100
- National rank
- #1274
- State rank
- #38 of 826 in TX
Livability — Whitehouse
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #2180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Smith County · 180,570 people
- City population
- 15,786
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,786
- Household income
- $92,107
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 313.0
Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,890 people
- By 2030
- 261,665 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 286,114 · +15.0%
- By 2050
- 308,006 · +23.8%
- By 2075
- 354,171 · +42.3%
- By 2100
- 372,828 · +49.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Smith
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.16%
- Current HPI
- 201.297
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- Metro
- Tyler, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $1,500 GTAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…