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B+ Composite 77.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$52,500

153 Lakeview Pl · Fort Gaines, GA 36310
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · Manufactured · 332 Days on market
Built 1997

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

REDUCED! Property is being sold "AS IS" Home needs TLC . Gated community! Riverview Forest Estates! Secluded at the end of a cul de sac. This property sits right across from the main lake and has a beautiful view. This home needs some TLC but would make the perfect lake getaway or your forever home. Property features large front and back yard property also features a pole barn that can be used a carport or a nice cover for your lake toys. There is also additional storage building, paved circular drive, metal roof and large covered back porch. Make your appointment today with your local Realtor/Agent.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Pole barn
  • Cul de sac

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYRIVERVIEW FOREST ESTATESCUL DE SACMAIN LAKELARGE FRONT AND BACK YARDPOLE BARN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $52k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $822 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $52k).
  • Recommended offer: $46k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 3.0% in Fort Gaines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#573 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($363 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 332 days — a 12% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $46,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 332 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.86%
Cap rate
25.09%
Cash-on-cash
67.12%
DSCR
3.99
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$154,700
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
569 Singer Ln 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-8%) 11mo $143,000 $119 65
460 Douglas Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,150 (-12%) 10mo $60,000 $52 53
320 Lakeshore Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+11%) 14mo $200,000 $139 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
78.4%
Equity multiple
6.51×
Total profit
$80,981
Equity at exit
$47,296
10-year hold
IRR
72.6%
Equity multiple
14.42×
Total profit
$197,341
Equity at exit
$101,996

Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 36310

Home prices YoY
19.7%
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$275
Tax est. 1.5%
$66 /mo · $788/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$822

Break-even live

Break-even rent $459
Max offer price $52,500
Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,125
Closing costs
$1,575
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
308 Bennett Dr Abbeville, AL 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 43d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $52,500 Active 332 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 607-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $52,500 Active 331 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$2,941
− Property taxes
−$788
− Insurance
−$262
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$1,527
Taxable income
$9,602
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,304
After-tax cash flow
$7,562/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
0101740
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$41,502
Composite
27.78/100
National rank
#6894
State rank
#55 of 129 in AL

Livability — Fort Gaines

Score
51/100
State rank
#573
US rank
#25161

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,224

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,109 people
By 2030
16,928 · -1.1%
By 2040
16,376 · -4.3%
By 2050
15,778 · -7.8%
By 2075
14,491 · -15.3%
By 2100
12,673 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.3% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -50.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.8 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+29.4 2008: R+29.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 39.85%
Current HPI
241.9035
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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