153 Lakeview Pl · Fort Gaines, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- %
- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above °F)
- days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- %
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$52,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
REDUCED! Property is being sold "AS IS" Home needs TLC . Gated community! Riverview Forest Estates! Secluded at the end of a cul de sac. This property sits right across from the main lake and has a beautiful view. This home needs some TLC but would make the perfect lake getaway or your forever home. Property features large front and back yard property also features a pole barn that can be used a carport or a nice cover for your lake toys. There is also additional storage building, paved circular drive, metal roof and large covered back porch. Make your appointment today with your local Realtor/Agent.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Pole barn
- Cul de sac
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $52k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $822 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $52k).
- Recommended offer: $46k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 3.0% in Fort Gaines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#573 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($363 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 332 days — a 12% lower offer ($46k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 332 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.12%
- DSCR
- 3.99
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $154,700
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 569 Singer Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-8%) | 11mo | $143,000 | $119 | 65 |
| 460 Douglas Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-12%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $52 | 53 |
| 320 Lakeshore Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $139 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.51×
- Total profit
- $80,981
- Equity at exit
- $47,296
- IRR
- 72.6%
- Equity multiple
- 14.42×
- Total profit
- $197,341
- Equity at exit
- $101,996
Cash invested: $14,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36310
- Home prices YoY
- 19.7%
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$275
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$66 /mo · $788/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $822
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,125
- Closing costs
- $1,575
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Bennett Dr Abbeville, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $52,500 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 607-char remark
-
2026-06-18$52,500 Active 331 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,941
- − Property taxes
- −$788
- − Insurance
- −$262
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$1,527
- Taxable income
- $9,602
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,304
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,562/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County
- NCES district ID
- 0101740
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,502
- Composite
- 27.78/100
- National rank
- #6894
- State rank
- #55 of 129 in AL
Livability — Fort Gaines
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #573
- US rank
- #25161
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,224
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,109 people
- By 2030
- 16,928 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 16,376 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 15,778 · -7.8%
- By 2075
- 14,491 · -15.3%
- By 2100
- 12,673 · -25.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.3% · R 75.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -50.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.8 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+29.4 2008: R+29.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 39.85%
- Current HPI
- 241.9035
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…