901 W Main St · Princeton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3 bed, 1 bath brick home on a corner lot with great potential! This home features hardwood floors in select areas, an upgraded electrical panel, new gutters, and a metal roof. HVAC is less than 7 years old. Includes a full-size basement and a detached workshop for extra space and storage. Upstairs has a second bathroom that is currently inoperable. Solid home with character, ready for your personal touch!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- New gutters
- Detached workshop
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Fireplace in the living room; Full unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer dryer connections in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $299 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 6.2% in Princeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#88 in KY, #3,490 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
- Caldwell County (rural): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #78 of 165 in KY (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Caldwell County Primary School (523 students, 64% FRL); Caldwell County Middle School (math 25% / reading 42%, grade F, #105 of 217 statewide, top 51%, 421 students, 55% FRL); Caldwell County High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #76 of 254 statewide, top 34%, 544 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caldwell County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $120k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.69%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $175,336
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 901 W Main St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,736 (0%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $60 | 99 |
| 912 W Main St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,786 (+3%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $126 | 83 |
| 101 Winchester Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,645 (-5%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $122 | 64 |
| 605 N Jefferson St | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,678 (-3%) | 2mo | $104,000 | $62 | 50 |
| 718 W Main St | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,888 (+9%) | 23mo | $190,000 | $101 | 49 |
| 307 Maple St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,539 (-11%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $101 | 48 |
| 325 S Seminary St | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 | 1,687 (-3%) | 15mo | $176,600 | $105 | 46 |
| 608 Downs St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (+6%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $98 | 41 |
| 311 N Jefferson St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,843 (+6%) | 23mo | $160,000 | $87 | 35 |
| 602 Bell St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-14%) | 19mo | $245,000 | $163 | 31 |
| 207 N Seminary St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (-11%) | 20mo | $215,000 | $140 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-432
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $23,978
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42445
- Home prices YoY
- -7.9%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,293 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $510/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $299
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $367 | -5% $333 | +0% $299 | +5% $265 | +10% $231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $197 | -5% $248 | +0% $299 | +5% $350 | +10% $401 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $360 | -0.5pp $330 | base $299 | +0.5pp $268 | +1.0pp $237 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-30price $120,000
-
2026-03-13$129,000 Active
-
2025-09-15price $135,000
-
2025-07-31price $145,000
-
2025-07-03$155,000 Active
-
2022-03-04soldstatus $52,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $510 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,032 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$522/yr (+$43/mo · 102.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$510
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,241
- − Management
- −$1,241
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $1,705
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$409
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,182/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caldwell County
- NCES district ID
- 2100840
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,080
- Composite
- 28.12/100
- National rank
- #6819
- State rank
- #78 of 165 in KY
Livability — Princeton
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #3490
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Princeton, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,371
Population outlook (Caldwell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,100 people
- By 2030
- 11,739 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 11,088 · -8.4%
- By 2050
- 10,543 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 9,406 · -22.3%
- By 2100
- 8,084 · -33.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Caldwell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.3% · R 78.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.7pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+54.0 2016: R+54.4 2012: R+35.0 2008: R+26.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -20.07%
- Current HPI
- 232.7067
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+129.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $120,000 WKRMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $129,000 WKRMLS
- 2025-09-15 Price Changed $135,000 WKRMLS
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $145,000 WKRMLS
- 2025-07-03 Listed $155,000 WKRMLS
- 2022-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $52,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $510 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…