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5 Oak Cir
B+ Composite 78.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

5 Oak Cir · Richland, PA 18951
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily · 56 Days on market
Built 1992 6,534 sqft lot $57/sqft · 41% below area Est $160k · 41% under ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come see this large 3 bed, 2 bath home in a cul-de-sac. This home is waiting for your finishing touches. The large living room features a coat closet and vaulted ceiling. The eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinet space and a door leading to a carport. The master bedroom has two walk-in closets and full bath. There are two more nice sized bedrooms and a laundry room. Outside is a covered deck off of the dining room and a shed. This home is bank owned and is being sold AS IS. The $ 991 monthly land lease includes 1500 gallons of water/sewer use, the pool, mini golf, chip and putt, fishing ponds and use of the community pool for private functions. Park approval required

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Community pool
  • Vaulted ceiling

Tags

CUL-DE-SACVAULTED CEILINGEAT-IN KITCHENCOVERED DECKCOMMUNITY POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#498 in PA, #4,585 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Quakertown Community SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #154 of 539 in PA (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.34%
Cap rate
20.22%
Cash-on-cash
49.74%
DSCR
3.21
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,392
List price
$95,000
Delta
-40.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Skyview Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+1%) 11mo $219,500 $129 84
20 Golfview Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,680 (0%) 8mo $234,500 $140 83
6 Evergreen Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+1%) 0mo $215,000 $126 81
6 Dogwood 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,590 (-5%) 3mo $170,000 $107 81
2 Elm Cir 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-14%) 10mo $155,500 $108 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.4%
Equity multiple
3.06×
Total profit
$54,863
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
53.1%
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$138,334
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18951

Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,227 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$468
Net cashflow
$1,103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,168 -5% $1,135 +0% $1,103 +5% $1,070 +10% $1,037
Rent -10% $927 -5% $1,015 +0% $1,103 +5% $1,191 +10% $1,278
Rate -1.0pp $1,150 -0.5pp $1,127 base $1,103 +0.5pp $1,078 +1.0pp $1,053

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
167 Sunshine Dr Quakertown, PA 3.0 1.5 1616 $2,150 $1.33 25d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-05-15
    price $95,000 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Come see this large 3 bed, 2 bath home in a cul-de-sac. This home is waiting for your finishing touches. The large living room features a coat closet and vaulted ceiling. The eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinet space and a door leading to a carport. The master bedroom has two walk-in closets and full bath. There are two more nice sized bedrooms and a laundry room. Outside is a covered deck off of the dining room and a shed. This home is bank owned and is being sold AS IS. The $ 991 monthly land lease includes 1500 gallons of water/sewer use, the pool, mini golf, chip and putt, fishing ponds and use of the community pool for private functions. Park approval required

  14. 2026-04-21
    listed $105,000 Active 674-char remark
    Show marketing remark (674 chars)

    Come see this large 3 bed, 2 bath home in a cul-de-sac. This home is waiting for your finishing touches. The large living room features a coat closet and vaulted ceiling. The eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinet space and a door leading to a carport. The master bedroom has two walk-in closets and full bath. There are two more nice sized bedrooms and a laundry room. Outside is a covered deck off of the dining room and a shed. This home is bank owned and is being sold AS IS. The $ 991 monthly land lease includes 1500 gallons of water/sewer use, the pool, mini golf, chip and putt, fishing ponds and use of the community pool for private functions. Park approval required

  15. 2023-08-04
    soldstatus $120,000 Closed 397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    This oversized home is situated in a quiet cul de sac. It is complete with a carport and a large covered porch accessible from the dining with a sliding glass door. The spacious kitchen has cabinets galore and makes food prep and cooking a pleasure. There is a desk in the utility room . All bedrooms are a generous size and natural light floods the home. This is a must see home and a real value.

  16. 2023-06-24
    status Pending 397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    This oversized home is situated in a quiet cul de sac. It is complete with a carport and a large covered porch accessible from the dining with a sliding glass door. The spacious kitchen has cabinets galore and makes food prep and cooking a pleasure. There is a desk in the utility room . All bedrooms are a generous size and natural light floods the home. This is a must see home and a real value.

  17. 2023-06-17
    price $140,000 397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    This oversized home is situated in a quiet cul de sac. It is complete with a carport and a large covered porch accessible from the dining with a sliding glass door. The spacious kitchen has cabinets galore and makes food prep and cooking a pleasure. There is a desk in the utility room . All bedrooms are a generous size and natural light floods the home. This is a must see home and a real value.

  18. 2023-06-08
    listed $150,000 Active 397-char remark
    Show marketing remark (397 chars)

    This oversized home is situated in a quiet cul de sac. It is complete with a carport and a large covered porch accessible from the dining with a sliding glass door. The spacious kitchen has cabinets galore and makes food prep and cooking a pleasure. There is a desk in the utility room . All bedrooms are a generous size and natural light floods the home. This is a must see home and a real value.

  19. 2006-07-28
    soldstatus $139,900
  20. 2006-07-13
    historical
  21. 2006-07-12
    listed $139,900
  22. 2006-04-03
    listed $139,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,720
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,138
− Management
−$2,138
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$12,460
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,990
After-tax cash flow
$10,240/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quakertown Community SD
NCES district ID
4219890
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$66,186
Composite
44.3/100
National rank
#2833
State rank
#154 of 539 in PA

Livability — Richland

Score
74/100
State rank
#498
US rank
#4585

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bucks County · 506,477 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
36,568
Household income
$98,268
Rent vs Own
18.0% rent · 82.0% own
Severe rent burden
488.0

Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
630,973 people
By 2030
627,093 · -0.6%
By 2040
609,680 · -3.4%
By 2050
584,225 · -7.4%
By 2075
539,840 · -14.4%
By 2100
483,970 · -23.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Polish 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bucks

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
2008→2024 swing
-8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -247.25%
Current HPI
283.2262
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-08-04 Sold (MLS) $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-24 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-17 Price Changed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-06-08 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-07-28 Sold (MLS) $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-07-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-07-12 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-04-03 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…