5 Oak Cir · Richland, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this large 3 bed, 2 bath home in a cul-de-sac. This home is waiting for your finishing touches. The large living room features a coat closet and vaulted ceiling. The eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinet space and a door leading to a carport. The master bedroom has two walk-in closets and full bath. There are two more nice sized bedrooms and a laundry room. Outside is a covered deck off of the dining room and a shed. This home is bank owned and is being sold AS IS. The $ 991 monthly land lease includes 1500 gallons of water/sewer use, the pool, mini golf, chip and putt, fishing ponds and use of the community pool for private functions. Park approval required
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Community pool
- Vaulted ceiling
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#498 in PA, #4,585 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Quakertown Community SD (suburban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #154 of 539 in PA (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 663 units permitted in Bucks County in 2024 (106 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bucks County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.74%
- DSCR
- 3.21
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,392
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -40.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Skyview Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+1%) | 11mo | $219,500 | $129 | 84 |
| 20 Golfview Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (0%) | 8mo | $234,500 | $140 | 83 |
| 6 Evergreen Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+1%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $126 | 81 |
| 6 Dogwood | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (-5%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $107 | 81 |
| 2 Elm Cir | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-14%) | 10mo | $155,500 | $108 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $54,863
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 53.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.20×
- Total profit
- $138,334
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18951
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,227 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $1,103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,168 | -5% $1,135 | +0% $1,103 | +5% $1,070 | +10% $1,037 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $927 | -5% $1,015 | +0% $1,103 | +5% $1,191 | +10% $1,278 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,150 | -0.5pp $1,127 | base $1,103 | +0.5pp $1,078 | +1.0pp $1,053 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167 Sunshine Dr Quakertown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1616 | $2,150 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-15price $95,000 674-char remark
Show marketing remark (674 chars)
Come see this large 3 bed, 2 bath home in a cul-de-sac. This home is waiting for your finishing touches. The large living room features a coat closet and vaulted ceiling. The eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinet space and a door leading to a carport. The master bedroom has two walk-in closets and full bath. There are two more nice sized bedrooms and a laundry room. Outside is a covered deck off of the dining room and a shed. This home is bank owned and is being sold AS IS. The $ 991 monthly land lease includes 1500 gallons of water/sewer use, the pool, mini golf, chip and putt, fishing ponds and use of the community pool for private functions. Park approval required
-
2026-04-21$105,000 Active 674-char remark
Show marketing remark (674 chars)
Come see this large 3 bed, 2 bath home in a cul-de-sac. This home is waiting for your finishing touches. The large living room features a coat closet and vaulted ceiling. The eat-in kitchen has plenty of cabinet space and a door leading to a carport. The master bedroom has two walk-in closets and full bath. There are two more nice sized bedrooms and a laundry room. Outside is a covered deck off of the dining room and a shed. This home is bank owned and is being sold AS IS. The $ 991 monthly land lease includes 1500 gallons of water/sewer use, the pool, mini golf, chip and putt, fishing ponds and use of the community pool for private functions. Park approval required
-
2023-08-04soldstatus $120,000 Closed 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
This oversized home is situated in a quiet cul de sac. It is complete with a carport and a large covered porch accessible from the dining with a sliding glass door. The spacious kitchen has cabinets galore and makes food prep and cooking a pleasure. There is a desk in the utility room . All bedrooms are a generous size and natural light floods the home. This is a must see home and a real value.
-
2023-06-24status Pending 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
This oversized home is situated in a quiet cul de sac. It is complete with a carport and a large covered porch accessible from the dining with a sliding glass door. The spacious kitchen has cabinets galore and makes food prep and cooking a pleasure. There is a desk in the utility room . All bedrooms are a generous size and natural light floods the home. This is a must see home and a real value.
-
2023-06-17price $140,000 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
This oversized home is situated in a quiet cul de sac. It is complete with a carport and a large covered porch accessible from the dining with a sliding glass door. The spacious kitchen has cabinets galore and makes food prep and cooking a pleasure. There is a desk in the utility room . All bedrooms are a generous size and natural light floods the home. This is a must see home and a real value.
-
2023-06-08$150,000 Active 397-char remark
Show marketing remark (397 chars)
This oversized home is situated in a quiet cul de sac. It is complete with a carport and a large covered porch accessible from the dining with a sliding glass door. The spacious kitchen has cabinets galore and makes food prep and cooking a pleasure. There is a desk in the utility room . All bedrooms are a generous size and natural light floods the home. This is a must see home and a real value.
-
2006-07-28soldstatus $139,900
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2006-07-13historical
-
2006-07-12$139,900
-
2006-04-03$139,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,138
- − Management
- −$2,138
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $12,460
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,990
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,240/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Quakertown Community SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219890
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,186
- Composite
- 44.3/100
- National rank
- #2833
- State rank
- #154 of 539 in PA
Livability — Richland
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #498
- US rank
- #4585
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bucks County · 506,477 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,568
- Household income
- $98,268
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 488.0
Population outlook (Bucks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 630,973 people
- By 2030
- 627,093 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 609,680 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 584,225 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 539,840 · -14.4%
- By 2100
- 483,970 · -23.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Polish 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bucks
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.7pp · 2024: -0.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.1 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+0.6 2012: D+1.2 2008: D+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -247.25%
- Current HPI
- 283.2262
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-32.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-04 Sold (MLS) $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-24 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-17 Price Changed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-06-08 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-07-28 Sold (MLS) $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-07-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-07-12 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-04-03 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…