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285 Main St #510
A- Composite 82.84
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0

$291,719

285 Main St #510 · San Francisco, CA 94105
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 565 sqft · Condo public records · 172 Days on market
Built 2020 Excellent condition $516/sqft · 49% below area $807/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at MIRA through the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring and other restrictions. This home is a new home and has never been occupied. Explore a new angle on life at MIRA, luxury condominium homes developed by the team at Tishman Speyer and designed by award-winning architecture Studio Gang. Located at the corner of Main and Folsom Streets in San Francisco, CA, MIRA features iconic architecture, innovative layouts and a bold attitude. Fresh and forward-thinking, MIRA invites you to shift your perspective on living in San Francisco. All images are representative of the development.

Key facts

  • Iconic architecture
  • Innovative layouts
  • New home

Tags

NEW HOMELUXURY CONDOMINIUM HOMESICONIC ARCHITECTUREINNOVATIVE LAYOUTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $292k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $292k).
  • Recommended offer: $257k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 2.2% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lilienthal (Claire) Elementary (669 students, 19% FRL); Giannini (A.P.) Middle (1,192 students, 34% FRL); Lowell High (2,632 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.7%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $82k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $256,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
10.64%
Cash-on-cash
15.52%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$602,985
List price
$291,719
Delta
-51.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
425 1st St #4304 0.25mi 1/1.0 605 (+7%) 1mo $788,000 $1,302 76
280 Spear St Unit 12H 0.02mi 1/1.0 652 (+15%) 1mo $416,363 $639 73
181 Fremont St Unit 54J 0.19mi 1/1.0 666 (+18%) 1mo $1,150,000 $1,727 65
1075 Market St #408 1.24mi 1/1.0 564 (-0%) 0mo $440,000 $780 64
250 King St #1004 0.79mi 1/1.0 587 (+4%) 0mo $499,000 $850 58
461 2nd St Unit 109C 0.42mi 1/1.0 647 (+14%) 0mo $735,000 $1,136 56
988 Harrison St #604 1.07mi 1/1.0 611 (+8%) 1mo $674,000 $1,103 51
900 Bush St #608 1.14mi 1/1.0 687 (+22%) 0mo $480,000 $699 40
960 Market St #505 1.09mi 1/1.0 665 (+18%) 0mo $692,800 $1,042 40
821 Folsom St #419 0.77mi 1/1.0 649 (+15%) 1mo $588,000 $906 39
220 Lombard St #323 1.25mi 1/1.0 668 (+18%) 1mo $690,000 $1,033 39
1001 Pine St #801 1.13mi 1/1.0 650 (+15%) 1mo $617,500 $950 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.27% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.0%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$149,114
Equity at exit
$152,506
10-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
6.66×
Total profit
$462,468
Equity at exit
$253,179

Cash invested: $81,681 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active · 5 under contract
Median asking
$607,000 ($887/sqft)
Median days on market
57 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+20.3% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 94105

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Rents YoY
19.7%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,930 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,530
Tax from tax record
$380 /mo · $4,559/yr
Insurance
$122
HOA
$807
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,035
Net cashflow
$1,056

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,593
Max offer price $291,719
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,222 -5% $1,139 +0% $1,056 +5% $974 +10% $891
Rent -10% $667 -5% $862 +0% $1,056 +5% $1,251 +10% $1,446
Rate -1.0pp $1,203 -0.5pp $1,131 base $1,056 +0.5pp $981 +1.0pp $904

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,930
Closing costs
$8,752
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
299 Fremont St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 625 $5,650 $9.04 2d 9 0.14mi
333 Fremont St San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 832 $4,995 $6.00 9d 7 0.17mi
403 Main St Unit 208N San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 539 $4,500 $8.35 32d 1 0.19mi
399 Fremont St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 892 $6,401 $7.17 2d 46 0.19mi
201 Harrison St Unit 3A San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 572 $1,900 $3.32 71d 1 0.19mi
340 Fremont St San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–3.0 1146 $5,818 $5.08 2d 9 0.21mi
500 Folsom St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 689 $6,657 $9.65 2d 25 0.24mi
401 Harrison St San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1148 $5,850 $5.10 2d 1 0.25mi
38 Bryant St #806 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 582 $3,995 $6.86 93d 1 0.25mi
425 1st St #4404 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 605 $5,950 $9.83 28d 1 0.27mi
390 1st St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 676 $5,944 $8.79 2d 12 0.29mi
39 Tehama St San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1295 $4,875 $3.76 2d 6 0.30mi
45 Lansing St San Francisco, CA 1.0 640 $5,078 $7.93 7d 4 0.30mi
3 Bayside Village Pl San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 779 $5,679 $7.29 2d 45 0.33mi
501 Delancey St #182 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 640 $3,450 $5.39 7d 1 0.34mi
201 Sansome St #401 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 658 $6,950 $10.56 43d 1 0.53mi
201 Sansome St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 662 $5,075 $7.67 25d 2 0.53mi
1 St Francis Pl San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 923 $4,935 $5.34 2d 5 0.54mi
460 Davis Ct San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 729 $6,624 $9.08 2d 18 0.58mi
88 Townsend St #311 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 632 $4,450 $7.04 73d 1 0.63mi
521-527 3rd St Unit 202 San Francisco, CA 1.0 500 $2,495 $4.99 16d 1 0.64mi
21 Clarence Pl San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 760 $4,800 $6.32 7d 5 0.70mi
555 Bryant St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 793 $6,621 $8.34 2d 25 0.74mi
829 Folsom St #408 San Francisco, CA 1.0 495 $2,860 $5.78 64d 1 0.81mi
250 King St #754 San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 622 $4,480 $7.20 2d 1 0.81mi
540 Stockton St Apt 8 San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 725 $5,370 $7.41 51d 1 0.83mi
535 Stockton St San Francisco, CA 1.0 394 $2,295 $5.82 93d 1 0.85mi
737 Pine St San Francisco, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 540 $4,395 $8.14 9d 1 0.87mi
655 Stockton St San Francisco, CA 1.0 415 $3,980 $9.59 2d 1 0.87mi
707 Stockton St San Francisco, CA 1.0 400 $2,775 $6.94 52d 1 0.88mi
845 California St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 609 $5,975 $9.80 9d 3 0.90mi
400 Clementina St #332 San Francisco, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 757 $4,030 $5.32 7d 2 0.94mi
255 King St San Francisco, CA 3.0 1.0–2.5 1228 $5,524 $4.50 2d 1 0.94mi
655 Powell St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 396 $4,145 $10.47 2d 3 0.94mi
1142-1146 Montgomery St Unit 1142-A San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 709 $4,995 $7.05 73d 1 0.94mi
900 Folsom St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 715 $5,262 $7.35 2d 15 0.95mi
737 Bush St San Francisco, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $2,595 $3.46 64d 1 0.95mi
786 Jackson St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $3,800 $5.07 28d 1 0.97mi
776 Bush St San Francisco, CA 1.0 400 $1,900 $4.75 93d 1 0.99mi
1023 3rd St San Francisco, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 674 $8,378 $12.42 2d 18 0.99mi

HOA detail $807/mo · $9,684/yr condo

Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $291,719 Active 172 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $291,719 Active 170 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $291,719 Active 169 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $291,719 Active 168 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $291,719 Active 167 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $291,719 Active 164 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $291,719 Active 163 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $291,719 Active 162 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $291,719 Active 161 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $291,719 Active 159 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $291,719 Active 157 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $291,719 Active 156 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $291,719 Active 155 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $291,719 Active 154 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $291,719 Active 153 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $291,719 Active 151 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $291,719 Active 150 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $291,719 Active 149 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $291,719 Active 148 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $291,719 Active 147 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $291,719 Active 146 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $291,719 Active 145 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $291,719 Active 144 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $291,719 Active 143 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $291,719 Active 142 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $291,719 Active 140 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $291,719 Active 139 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $291,719 Active 138 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $291,719 Active 137 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $291,719 Active 136 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $291,719 Active 135 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $291,719 Active 134 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $291,719 Active 133 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $291,719 Active 132 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $291,719 Active 131 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $291,719 Active 130 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $291,719 Active 129 DOM
  38. 2026-06-24
    days on market $291,719 Active 127 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $291,719 Active 125 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $291,719 Active 124 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $291,719 Active 121 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $291,719 Active 120 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $291,719 Active 119 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $291,719 Active 118 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $291,719 Active 116 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $291,719 Active 115 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $291,719 Active 112 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $291,719 Active 111 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $291,719 Active 110 DOM
  50. 2026-06-04
    days on market $291,719 Active 107 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,559 · $380/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,559 · $380/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥79°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$59,159
− Mortgage interest
−$16,341
− Property taxes
−$4,559
− Insurance
−$1,459
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,733
− Management
−$4,733
− HOA
−$9,684
− Depreciation
−$8,486
Taxable income
$9,165
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,200
After-tax cash flow
$10,477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This modern, move-in-ready condo is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a high-ROI opportunity for investors looking to increase its value through minor updates and smart home features.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more inviting.
  • Resale Updating the flooring in the kitchen and bathrooms — Modern flooring can improve the home's overall aesthetic and increase its value.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and make it more convenient for both buyers and renters.
  • Resale Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained garden can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.

Zoned Schools

Elementary Webster (Daniel) Elementary Middle Lick (James) Middle High S.f. International High

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 1,030,936 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
13,861
Household income
$225,000
Rent vs Own
65.2% rent · 34.8% own
Severe rent burden
8% of renters

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 53% White 31% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
45% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
52% English-only · Chinese 22% Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $291,719 San Francisco MLS

Property tax history

+12.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,559 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…