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905 Mechanic St
B- Composite 69.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$164,900

905 Mechanic St · Bethlehem, PA 18015
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,068 sqft · Townhouse public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1900 1,200 sqft lot Est $176k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A great opportunity is available for a solid, low maintenance 3 BR, 1.5 bath brick row house near ArtsQuest, Wind Creek Casino, Northampton Community College, Fab Lab and Bethlehem's flourishing southside. This move-in ready home is newly painted with brand new wall to wall carpeting throughout and an updated kitchen w/ new vinyl floor, new stove and hood, and new countertops. Other upgrades include new tub and surround in full bath, hot water heater (2015) and upgraded electric meter. Take advantage of low taxes, gas heat and convenience to Rt 78. Why rent when you can own this affordable home with great views of the SteelStacks?! Also a great investment property!

Key facts

  • Red brick exterior
  • Unfinished basement
  • Private rear yard

Tags

RED BRICK EXTERIORBLONDE WOOD CABINETRYGAS RANGEPRIVATE REAR YARDUNFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Two-story brick home; Rubber roof
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approximately 0.028 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms located on the second floor
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Resilient flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor; One half bathroom on the second floor
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water gas baseboard heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Dining area and a separate/formal dining room; Basement (partial)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer hookup and dryer hookup (electric dryer hookup available); Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $498 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.3% in Bethlehem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#138 in PA, #1,122 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Bethlehem Area SD (urban): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #342 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $92k; list at $165k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.96%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$176,220
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
662 Atlantic St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,074 (+1%) 2mo $140,000 $130 77
614 Buchanan St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,027 (-4%) 3mo $192,000 $187 77
519 Jackson St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,128 (+6%) 4mo $125,000 $111 71
512 Atlantic St 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,105 (+4%) 12mo $169,900 $154 70
754 E 5th St 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 988 (-8%) 6mo $130,000 $132 68
513 Jackson St 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,075 (+1%) 11mo $172,000 $160 68
322 State St 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-10%) 10mo $180,000 $188 67
670 Atlantic St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,184 (+11%) 2mo $138,000 $117 64
740 Laufer St 0.22mi 3/1.5 910 (-15%) 3mo $150,000 $165 60
527 Maple St 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,058 (-1%) 10mo $275,000 $260 55
11 W 2nd St #139 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,212 (+14%) 2mo $295,000 $243 32
11 W 2nd St #210 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,224 (+15%) 8mo $272,000 $222 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$13,813
Equity at exit
$24,587
10-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$92,209
Equity at exit
$14,258

Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18015

Home prices YoY
-30.7%
Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,005 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,825/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$498

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,374
Max offer price $164,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,225
Closing costs
$4,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
938 E 4th St #401 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 928 $2,150 $2.32 43d 1 0.05mi
938 E 4th St Unit 102 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 813 $1,970 $2.42 43d 1 0.05mi
938 E 4th St Unit 201 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 982 $2,350 $2.39 43d 1 0.05mi
938 E 4th St Unit G02 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 813 $1,970 $2.42 14d 1 0.05mi
1113 E 4th St Unit 1 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 23d 1 0.14mi
738 E 4th St Unit 1 Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 750 $1,600 $2.13 14d 1 0.16mi
740 Laufer St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 910 $1,650 $1.81 14d 1 0.21mi
610 E 3rd St Bethlehem, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 974 $3,008 $3.09 2d 8 0.27mi
1201 E 4th St Unit 4 Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,800 $1.64 43d 1 0.29mi
1209 Mechanic St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1003 $2,000 $1.99 21d 1 0.30mi
436 Pierce St Bethlehem, PA 4.0 2.0 1452 $2,250 $1.55 2d 1 0.31mi
1236 E 7th St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 2.5 1424 $2,350 $1.65 2d 1 0.42mi
824 E 8th St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.5 952 $1,400 $1.47 43d 1 0.42mi
1275 E 4th St Unit 202 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 2.0 1225 $1,950 $1.59 23d 1 0.46mi
1306 E 4th St #3 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 43d 1 0.48mi
311 E 3rd St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 2.0 1189 $2,330 $1.96 2d 3 0.50mi
11 W 2nd St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 2.0 1620 $2,550 $1.57 23d 4 0.78mi
650 E North St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 935 $2,350 $2.51 14d 7 0.82mi
530 High St Unit 32 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,595 $1.99 14d 1 0.84mi
42 E Wall St Bethlehem, PA 4.0 1.0 1474 $2,550 $1.73 23d 1 0.86mi
30 E Market St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 23d 1 0.92mi
30 E Market St Apt 1 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,950 $1.62 43d 1 0.92mi
708 Linden St Unit 2 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 14d 1 0.92mi
1630 E 9th St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,750 $2.33 14d 1 0.92mi
228 W 3rd St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,595 $2.13 43d 1 0.94mi
746 Linden St Unit 2 Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,975 $1.96 43d 1 0.98mi
316 E Union Blvd Bethlehem, PA 4.0 2.0 1460 $2,145 $1.47 43d 1 0.99mi
822 Elm St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1406 $2,195 $1.56 14d 1 1.00mi
229 E Union Blvd Unit 2nd Floor Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 982 $1,595 $1.62 2d 1 1.04mi
229 E Union Blvd Unit 1st Floor Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,675 $1.68 2d 1 1.04mi
537 Goepp Cir Unit B Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.5 1225 $1,895 $1.55 43d 1 1.06mi
521 Hess St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,500 $1.34 21d 1 1.06mi
401 E Goepp St #2 Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,875 $2.50 23d 1 1.07mi
62 E Garrison St Bethlehem, PA 2.0 2.0 800 $1,450 $1.81 43d 1 1.08mi
30 W Broad St Bethlehem, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 648 $2,490 $3.84 14d 14 1.12mi
30 W Broad St Bethlehem, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 660 $2,620 $3.97 2d 20 1.12mi
406 W 9th St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1152 $2,100 $1.82 21d 1 1.12mi
122 E Goepp St Unit 1 Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1137 $1,895 $1.67 2d 1 1.14mi
414 Cherokee St Unit 414 2nd Fl Bethlehem, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,800 $2.25 14d 1 1.15mi
69 E Goepp St Bethlehem, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,150 $1.95 2d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $164,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-16
    listed $164,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,825 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,215 · $185/mo
Expected delta
+$390/yr (+$33/mo · 21.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,062
− Mortgage interest
−$9,237
− Property taxes
−$1,825
− Insurance
−$824
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,925
− Management
−$1,925
− Depreciation
−$4,797
Taxable income
$3,528
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$847
After-tax cash flow
$5,135/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethlehem Area SD
NCES district ID
4203570
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$55,124
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5068
State rank
#342 of 539 in PA

Livability — Bethlehem

Score
82/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#1122

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bethlehem, PA
County
Northampton County · 236,814 people
City population
129,661
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
34,852
Household income
$60,800
Rent vs Own
49.5% rent · 50.5% own
Severe rent burden
1525.0

Population outlook (Northampton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
312,227 people
By 2030
314,769 · +0.8%
By 2040
316,914 · +1.5%
By 2050
318,037 · +1.9%
By 2075
334,003 · +7.0%
By 2100
344,696 · +10.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 19% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Danish 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 21% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Northampton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.7 2016: R+3.8 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.95%
Current HPI
277.4721
Rent YoY
▲ 7.18%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+724.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $164,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records
  • 2020-02-19 Sold (MLS) $91,500 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-01-15 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2020-01-08 Listed $95,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2007-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
  • 2007-03-09 Sold (MLS) $68,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2006-11-30 Listed $73,900 GLVRMLS
  • 1988-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,825 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…