5004 Santa Rosa Dr · Laredo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover an affordable opportunity to own your home. This charming mobile home features 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, offering a comfortable and functional layout for everyday living. The property offers ample outdoor space to enjoy, plus the added benefit of homeownership at a great price. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment property, this is a fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss.
Key facts
- 4,498 sq ft lot
- Built 2018
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Eleden subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Underground utilities
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; Vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-7/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (0.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $96k (20.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $96k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.1% in Laredo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#227 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D+.
- United ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #568 of 826 in TX (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 482 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,448 units permitted in Webb County in 2024 (245 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Webb County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.02%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-19,513
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-17,158
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78046
- Home prices YoY
- -13.0%
- Active inventory
- 482
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $960 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $957/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $-1
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Riverhill Loop Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 789 | $1,005 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5610 Doc Sigi Perez Loop Unit 2 Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $950 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2601 Lomas Del Sur Blvd Unit 204 Laredo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 409 Riverhill Loop Laredo, TX | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $871 | $0.87 | 43d | 10 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 436-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $120,000 390-char remark
-
2026-04-03$125,000 Active 390-char remark
-
2019-04-25soldstatus
-
2010-03-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $957 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,196 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,239/yr (+$103/mo · 129.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,520
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$957
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$922
- − Management
- −$922
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$2,093
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$502
- After-tax cash flow
- $495/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- United ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843650
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,780
- Composite
- 28.02/100
- National rank
- #6848
- State rank
- #568 of 826 in TX
Livability — Laredo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #5399
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laredo, TX
- City population
- 67,333
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,965
Population outlook (Webb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 301,387 people
- By 2030
- 316,307 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 345,636 · +14.7%
- By 2050
- 370,647 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 413,907 · +37.3%
- By 2100
- 416,458 · +38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 97% Two or more races 53% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 92%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 9% English-only · Spanish 91%
Political lean MEDSL · Webb
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.5% · R 50.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.6pp toward R · 2008: 43.4pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+23.3 2016: D+51.6 2012: D+54.0 2008: D+43.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.36%
- Current HPI
- 196.8153
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $120,000 LAOR
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $120,000 LAOR
- 2026-04-03 Listed $125,000 LAOR
- 2019-04-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-03-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $957 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…