CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5004 Santa Rosa Dr
D- Composite 39.21
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

5004 Santa Rosa Dr · Laredo, TX 78046
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · Manufactured · 15 Days on market
Built 2018 4,498 sqft lot ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover an affordable opportunity to own your home. This charming mobile home features 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, offering a comfortable and functional layout for everyday living. The property offers ample outdoor space to enjoy, plus the added benefit of homeownership at a great price. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment property, this is a fantastic opportunity you won't want to miss.

Key facts

  • 4,498 sq ft lot
  • Built 2018
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Eleden subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; Vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-7/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (0.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $96k (20.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.1% in Laredo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#227 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D+.
  • United ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #568 of 826 in TX (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 482 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,448 units permitted in Webb County in 2024 (245 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Webb County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,004 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.02%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-19,513
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-17,158
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78046

Home prices YoY
-13.0%
Active inventory
482
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$960 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $957/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$202
Net cashflow
$-1

Break-even live

Break-even rent $961
Max offer price $119,892
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
410 Riverhill Loop Laredo, TX 2.0 1.0 789 $1,005 $1.27 43d 1 1.35mi
5610 Doc Sigi Perez Loop Unit 2 Laredo, TX 2.0 2.0 910 $950 $1.04 43d 1 1.44mi
2601 Lomas Del Sur Blvd Unit 204 Laredo, TX 2.0 2.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 43d 1 1.48mi
409 Riverhill Loop Laredo, TX 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 996 $871 $0.87 43d 10 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 436-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on marketlisting id $120,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-05-15
    price $120,000 390-char remark
  14. 2026-04-03
    listed $125,000 Active 390-char remark
  15. 2019-04-25
    soldstatus
  16. 2010-03-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$957 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,196 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$1,239/yr (+$103/mo · 129.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,520
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$957
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$922
− Management
−$922
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$2,093
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$502
After-tax cash flow
$495/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
United ISD
NCES district ID
4843650
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,780
Composite
28.02/100
National rank
#6848
State rank
#568 of 826 in TX

Livability — Laredo

Score
73/100
State rank
#227
US rank
#5399

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Laredo, TX
City population
67,333
Population (ZIP)
71,965

Population outlook (Webb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
301,387 people
By 2030
316,307 · +5.0%
By 2040
345,636 · +14.7%
By 2050
370,647 · +23.0%
By 2075
413,907 · +37.3%
By 2100
416,458 · +38.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (97%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 97% Two or more races 53% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 92%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
9% English-only · Spanish 91%

Political lean MEDSL · Webb

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.5% · R 50.7%
2008→2024 swing
-45.6pp toward R · 2008: 43.4pp · 2024: -2.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.2 2020: D+23.3 2016: D+51.6 2012: D+54.0 2008: D+43.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.36%
Current HPI
196.8153
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $120,000 LAOR
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $120,000 LAOR
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $125,000 LAOR
  • 2019-04-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-03-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $957 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…