402 1st St NW · Crosby, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$34,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this charming home with plenty to offer! Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area—perfect for gatherings. Off the dining room, you'll find a main-floor bedroom featuring a walk-in closet for added convenience. The kitchen, just beyond the dining space, boasts ample storage, including a handy pantry. Upstairs, you'll discover three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Going outside to enjoy the expansive yard, ideal for outdoor activities, along with a one-stall garage for your storage needs. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—contact a realtor today!
Key facts
- Corner double lot
- Quiet street
- Close to parks
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with 1 parking space; Alley access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane available; Water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available; Natural gas not available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Landscaped yard; Irregular, rectangular lot; Paved city street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Basement with interior entry, unfinished storage space, concrete floor, sump pump, and bath stubbed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $34k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $968 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $34k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#63 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Divide County 1 (rural): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #121 of 169 in ND (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($235 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Divide County population projected at +85% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 40.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 122.03%
- DSCR
- 6.43
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.91×
- Total profit
- $65,784
- Equity at exit
- $15,288
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.53×
- Total profit
- $147,820
- Equity at exit
- $23,560
Cash invested: $9,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58730
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,537 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$178
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $643/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $968
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,500
- Closing costs
- $1,020
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $34,000 Pending 48 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $34,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $34,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $34,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $34,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $43,000
-
2026-04-16$50,000 Active
-
2025-10-17soldstatus Closed 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
Check out this charming home with plenty to offer! Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area—perfect for gatherings. Off the dining room, you'll find a main-floor bedroom featuring a walk-in closet for added convenience. The kitchen, just beyond the dining space, boasts ample storage, including a handy pantry. Upstairs, you'll discover three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Going outside to enjoy the expansive yard, ideal for outdoor activities, along with a one-stall garage for your storage needs. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—contact a realtor today!
-
2025-09-18status Pending 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
Check out this charming home with plenty to offer! Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area—perfect for gatherings. Off the dining room, you'll find a main-floor bedroom featuring a walk-in closet for added convenience. The kitchen, just beyond the dining space, boasts ample storage, including a handy pantry. Upstairs, you'll discover three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Going outside to enjoy the expansive yard, ideal for outdoor activities, along with a one-stall garage for your storage needs. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—contact a realtor today!
-
2025-09-05price $24,900 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
Check out this charming home with plenty to offer! Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area—perfect for gatherings. Off the dining room, you'll find a main-floor bedroom featuring a walk-in closet for added convenience. The kitchen, just beyond the dining space, boasts ample storage, including a handy pantry. Upstairs, you'll discover three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Going outside to enjoy the expansive yard, ideal for outdoor activities, along with a one-stall garage for your storage needs. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—contact a realtor today!
-
2025-09-05$29,900 Active 651-char remark
Show marketing remark (651 chars)
Check out this charming home with plenty to offer! Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area—perfect for gatherings. Off the dining room, you'll find a main-floor bedroom featuring a walk-in closet for added convenience. The kitchen, just beyond the dining space, boasts ample storage, including a handy pantry. Upstairs, you'll discover three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Going outside to enjoy the expansive yard, ideal for outdoor activities, along with a one-stall garage for your storage needs. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—contact a realtor today!
-
2025-06-06price $29,900
-
2025-05-14price $34,900
-
2025-05-02price $39,900
-
2025-04-16price $44,900
-
2025-04-02price $49,900
-
2024-04-26$1 Active
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2012-02-07soldstatus
-
2012-02-07soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $643 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $643 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,442
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,905
- − Property taxes
- −$643
- − Insurance
- −$170
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,475
- − Management
- −$1,475
- − Depreciation
- −$989
- Taxable income
- $11,785
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,828
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,789/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Divide County 1
- NCES district ID
- 3805160
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,720
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #10182
- State rank
- #121 of 169 in ND
Livability — Crosby
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #7199
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crosby, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,369
Population outlook (Divide County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,235 people
- By 2030
- 3,697 · +14.3%
- By 2040
- 4,763 · +47.2%
- By 2050
- 5,975 · +84.7%
- By 2075
- 9,534 · +194.7%
- By 2100
- 12,784 · +295.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 36% Slovak 6% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Divide
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.4) · D 21.2% · R 76.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.7pp toward R · 2008: -14.7pp · 2024: -55.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.4 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
-13.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $43,000 GNMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $50,000 GNMLS
- 2025-10-17 Sold (MLS) — GNMLS
- 2025-09-18 Pending — GNMLS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $24,900 GNMLS
- 2025-09-05 Listed $29,900 GNMLS
- 2025-06-06 Price Changed $29,900 GNMLS
- 2025-05-14 Price Changed $34,900 GNMLS
- 2025-05-02 Price Changed $39,900 GNMLS
- 2025-04-16 Price Changed $44,900 GNMLS
- 2025-04-02 Price Changed $49,900 GNMLS
- 2024-04-26 Listed $1 GNMLS
- 2012-02-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-02-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $643 · -52.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…