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402 1st St NW
D+ Composite 49.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$34,000

402 1st St NW · Crosby, ND 58730
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,236 sqft · Other public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1917 0.26 ac lot ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this charming home with plenty to offer! Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area—perfect for gatherings. Off the dining room, you'll find a main-floor bedroom featuring a walk-in closet for added convenience. The kitchen, just beyond the dining space, boasts ample storage, including a handy pantry. Upstairs, you'll discover three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Going outside to enjoy the expansive yard, ideal for outdoor activities, along with a one-stall garage for your storage needs. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—contact a realtor today!

Key facts

  • Corner double lot
  • Quiet street
  • Close to parks

Tags

CORNER DOUBLE LOTQUIET STREETCLOSE TO SCHOOLSCLOSE TO PARKSNEWER METAL ROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with 1 parking space; Alley access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane available; Water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available; Natural gas not available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Landscaped yard; Irregular, rectangular lot; Paved city street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Basement with interior entry, unfinished storage space, concrete floor, sump pump, and bath stubbed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $34k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $968 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $34k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#63 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Divide County 1 (rural): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #121 of 169 in ND (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($235 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Divide County population projected at +85% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $32,980 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.52%
Cap rate
40.46%
Cash-on-cash
122.03%
DSCR
6.43
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.91×
Total profit
$65,784
Equity at exit
$15,288
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.53×
Total profit
$147,820
Equity at exit
$23,560

Cash invested: $9,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58730

Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,537 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$178
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $643/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$968

Break-even live

Break-even rent $311
Max offer price $34,000
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,500
Closing costs
$1,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $34,000 Pending 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $34,000 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $34,000 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $34,000 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $34,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-05-04
    price $43,000
  7. 2026-04-16
    listed $50,000 Active
  8. 2025-10-17
    soldstatus Closed 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Check out this charming home with plenty to offer! Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area—perfect for gatherings. Off the dining room, you'll find a main-floor bedroom featuring a walk-in closet for added convenience. The kitchen, just beyond the dining space, boasts ample storage, including a handy pantry. Upstairs, you'll discover three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Going outside to enjoy the expansive yard, ideal for outdoor activities, along with a one-stall garage for your storage needs. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—contact a realtor today!

  9. 2025-09-18
    status Pending 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Check out this charming home with plenty to offer! Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area—perfect for gatherings. Off the dining room, you'll find a main-floor bedroom featuring a walk-in closet for added convenience. The kitchen, just beyond the dining space, boasts ample storage, including a handy pantry. Upstairs, you'll discover three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Going outside to enjoy the expansive yard, ideal for outdoor activities, along with a one-stall garage for your storage needs. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—contact a realtor today!

  10. 2025-09-05
    price $24,900 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Check out this charming home with plenty to offer! Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area—perfect for gatherings. Off the dining room, you'll find a main-floor bedroom featuring a walk-in closet for added convenience. The kitchen, just beyond the dining space, boasts ample storage, including a handy pantry. Upstairs, you'll discover three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Going outside to enjoy the expansive yard, ideal for outdoor activities, along with a one-stall garage for your storage needs. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—contact a realtor today!

  11. 2025-09-05
    listed $29,900 Active 651-char remark
    Show marketing remark (651 chars)

    Check out this charming home with plenty to offer! Upon entering, you're welcomed by a spacious living room, seamlessly flowing into the dining area—perfect for gatherings. Off the dining room, you'll find a main-floor bedroom featuring a walk-in closet for added convenience. The kitchen, just beyond the dining space, boasts ample storage, including a handy pantry. Upstairs, you'll discover three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. Going outside to enjoy the expansive yard, ideal for outdoor activities, along with a one-stall garage for your storage needs. Don't miss out on this fantastic opportunity—contact a realtor today!

  12. 2025-06-06
    price $29,900
  13. 2025-05-14
    price $34,900
  14. 2025-05-02
    price $39,900
  15. 2025-04-16
    price $44,900
  16. 2025-04-02
    price $49,900
  17. 2024-04-26
    listed $1 Active
  18. 2012-02-07
    soldstatus
  19. 2012-02-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$643 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$643 · $54/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,442
− Mortgage interest
−$1,905
− Property taxes
−$643
− Insurance
−$170
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,475
− Management
−$1,475
− Depreciation
−$989
Taxable income
$11,785
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,828
After-tax cash flow
$8,789/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Divide County 1
NCES district ID
3805160
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,720
Composite
34.4/100
National rank
#10182
State rank
#121 of 169 in ND

Livability — Crosby

Score
71/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#7199

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crosby, ND
Population (ZIP)
1,369

Population outlook (Divide County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,235 people
By 2030
3,697 · +14.3%
By 2040
4,763 · +47.2%
By 2050
5,975 · +84.7%
By 2075
9,534 · +194.7%
By 2100
12,784 · +295.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 36% Slovak 6% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Divide

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.4) · D 21.2% · R 76.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-40.7pp toward R · 2008: -14.7pp · 2024: -55.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.4 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.8% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $43,000 GNMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $50,000 GNMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Sold (MLS) GNMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Pending GNMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Price Changed $24,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $29,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-06-06 Price Changed $29,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-05-14 Price Changed $34,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $39,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-04-16 Price Changed $44,900 GNMLS
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $49,900 GNMLS
  • 2024-04-26 Listed $1 GNMLS
  • 2012-02-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-02-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $643 · -52.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…