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2507 25th St
B- Composite 68.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

2507 25th St · Nitro, WV 25143
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,256 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1917 ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Hardwood Flooring, Large Kitchen, Open Floorplan Ranch Style Home Built In 1917 Available. Features Include: 4 Bedrooms, 1 Bath, approximately 1,200 Sf and More. This Will Go Quick. A Few Cosmetic Touches Will Transform This Home. Make An Offer Today.

Key facts

  • Built 1917
  • Listed 25 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 5.2% in Nitro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#97 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,001 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
15.29%
Cash-on-cash
32.14%
DSCR
2.43
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,840
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2922 29th St 0.13mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,281 (+2%) 20mo $215,000 $168 68
3608 36th St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,416 (+13%) 1mo $189,900 $134 56
3981 39th St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (-6%) 1mo $166,000 $140 51
103 Bailes Dr 0.55mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,391 (+11%) 2mo $40,000 $29 46
2116 21st St 0.32mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,077 (-14%) 11mo $183,000 $170 45
1526 15th St 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (-5%) 23mo $183,000 $154 45
1328 13th St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,090 (-13%) 9mo $168,500 $155 40
3613 36th St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,409 (+12%) 21mo $159,500 $113 40
1422 W 14th St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,350 (+8%) 22mo $167,500 $124 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.5%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$15,489
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$46,271
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25143

Home prices YoY
-19.2%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,237 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,268/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$394

Break-even live

Break-even rent $739
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $428 -5% $411 +0% $394 +5% $377 +10% $360
Rent -10% $296 -5% $345 +0% $394 +5% $443 +10% $491
Rate -1.0pp $424 -0.5pp $409 base $394 +0.5pp $378 +1.0pp $362

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,900 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 4 DOM
  18. 2026-05-26
    listed $59,900 Active
  19. 2020-02-24
    listed $20,600
  20. 2019-12-16
    listed $69,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,268 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,268 · $189/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,845
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$2,268
− Insurance
−$966
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,188
− Management
−$1,188
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$4,138
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$993
After-tax cash flow
$3,731/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — Nitro

Score
67/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#10940

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nitro, WV
Population (ZIP)
9,185

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.75%
Current HPI
205.6038
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $59,900 FSBO.com
  • 2020-02-24 Listed $20,600 KVBOR
  • 2019-12-16 Listed $69,900 KVBOR

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,268 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…