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2952 Pima Ln
D Composite 40.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.4/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,000

2952 Pima Ln · Fort Worth, TX 76119
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,620 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 2007 4,312 sqft lot $127/sqft · 19% below area Est $252k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome Home to a beautifully maintained home offering comfort, functionality, and convenience in Fort Worth. This inviting property features a spacious open-concept layout with abundant natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere throughout. The well-appointed kitchen flows seamlessly into the main living area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for families, guests, or a home office setup. Step outside to a private backyard perfect for relaxing, gatherings, or future customization. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and schools, this home offers easy access to everything Fort Worth has to offer. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Private backyard
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENPRIVATE BACKYARDEASY ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-183 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (15.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (11.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
  • Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,703 (15.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
5.22%
Cash-on-cash
-3.82%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$252,027
List price
$205,000
Delta
-18.66%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1205 E Morningside Dr 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+8%) 6mo $324,000 $185 64
1404 Glen Garden Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,402 (-14%) 5mo $225,000 $160 64
1248 E Mulkey St 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,723 (+6%) 3mo $255,000 $148 59
3209 New York Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,524 (-6%) 8mo $237,500 $156 59
1508 Sierra Estate Trl 0.26mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,818 (+12%) 3mo $245,000 $135 58
1212 E Jessamine St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,497 (-8%) 2mo $250,000 $167 54
1616 E Robert St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-11%) 3mo $235,000 $163 52
1253 E Jessamine St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,751 (+8%) 2mo $260,000 $148 52
2212 Briardale Rd 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,462 (-10%) 2mo $240,000 $164 52
1124 E Mulkey St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,425 (-12%) 9mo $199,900 $140 48
910 E Mulkey St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,474 (-9%) 6mo $235,000 $159 48
912 Judd St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,413 (-13%) 10mo $275,900 $195 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.6%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-50,053
Equity at exit
$30,566
10-year hold
IRR
-42.3%
Equity multiple
-0.37×
Total profit
$-78,604
Equity at exit
$17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76119

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,824 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$463 /mo · $5,556/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$-183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,055
Max offer price $172,703
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-67 -5% $-125 +0% $-183 +5% $-241 +10% $-299
Rent -10% $-327 -5% $-255 +0% $-183 +5% $-111 +10% $-39
Rate -1.0pp $-80 -0.5pp $-131 base $-183 +0.5pp $-236 +1.0pp $-290

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2920 Pima Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1540 $1,800 $1.17 14d 1 0.09mi
1516 Chama Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1625 $1,700 $1.05 25d 1 0.25mi
1516 Chama Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,695 $1.27 21d 1 0.25mi
1037 Colvin St Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,500 $1.37 20d 1 0.48mi
1108 E Robert St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,825 $1.26 22d 1 0.49mi
1429 E Robert St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,350 $1.29 22d 1 0.54mi
2705 Belzise Ter Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1160 $1,450 $1.25 44d 1 0.62mi
1229 E Harvey Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1684 $2,175 $1.29 5d 1 0.84mi
2701 Stuart Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 3.0 2104 $1,800 $0.86 44d 1 0.88mi
1327 E Baltimore Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1426 $1,650 $1.16 25d 1 1.03mi
1224 Elva Warren St Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1584 $2,000 $1.26 44d 1 1.06mi
2124 Belzise Ter Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1869 $1,945 $1.04 20d 1 1.09mi
2104 Daniel St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,675 $1.16 44d 1 1.09mi
2120 Belzise Ter Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1869 $1,945 $1.04 25d 1 1.10mi
2108 Belzise Ter Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1869 $1,950 $1.04 44d 1 1.11mi
823 E Arlington Ave Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1720 $2,350 $1.37 25d 1 1.12mi
2100 Belzise Ter Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1869 $2,045 $1.09 5d 1 1.13mi
642 E Harvey Ave Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1755 $2,099 $1.20 44d 1 1.14mi
2837 Hemphill St Unit 203 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1297 $1,875 $1.45 21d 1 1.24mi
2837 Hemphill St Unit 202 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1297 $1,800 $1.39 21d 1 1.25mi
2201 Sims Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,650 $1.41 44d 1 1.27mi
958 E Allen Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 3.0 1568 $4,300 $2.74 44d 1 1.29mi
2901 Travis Ave Fort Worth, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,340 $1.37 25d 5 1.31mi
3329 Hemphill St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1425 $2,950 $2.07 44d 1 1.33mi
1516 E Maddox Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1485 $1,895 $1.28 22d 1 1.33mi
2932 Travis Ave Unit 2932 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,700 $1.06 21d 1 1.36mi
2344 Linda Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1679 $1,850 $1.10 44d 1 1.36mi
4800 Dunlap Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1705 $2,150 $1.26 7d 1 1.37mi
4800 Dunlap Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1705 $2,150 $1.26 20d 1 1.37mi
4800 Dunlap Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1706 $2,150 $1.26 4d 1 1.37mi
2640 Berryhill Dr Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 1478 $1,299 $0.88 25d 1 1.37mi
1701 Belzise Ter Fort Worth, TX 4.0 4.5 2234 $2,800 $1.25 7d 1 1.37mi
1511 Illinois Ave Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,500 $1.39 44d 1 1.38mi
1601 Daniel St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1869 $1,795 $0.96 5d 1 1.38mi
2256 Old Leonard St Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1899 $2,400 $1.26 45d 1 1.39mi
2216 Old Leonard St Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 2053 $2,500 $1.22 44d 1 1.41mi
1925 Saint Louis Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1219 $1,695 $1.39 44d 1 1.45mi
205 E Fogg St Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1350 $2,100 $1.56 44d 1 1.46mi
1920 Saint Louis Ave Fort Worth, TX 4.0 3.0 1484 $1,745 $1.18 44d 1 1.48mi
504 E Mason St Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,650 $1.66 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $205,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $205,000 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $205,000 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $205,000 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $205,000 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,000 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $205,000 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $205,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $205,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,000 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $205,000 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 66 DOM
  14. 2026-04-15
    price $225,000 765-char remark
    Show marketing remark (765 chars)

    Welcome Home to a beautifully maintained home offering comfort, functionality, and convenience in Fort Worth. This inviting property features a spacious open-concept layout with abundant natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere throughout. The well-appointed kitchen flows seamlessly into the main living area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for families, guests, or a home office setup. Step outside to a private backyard perfect for relaxing, gatherings, or future customization. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and schools, this home offers easy access to everything Fort Worth has to offer. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike

  15. 2026-04-15
    price $22,500 765-char remark
    Show marketing remark (765 chars)

    Welcome Home to a beautifully maintained home offering comfort, functionality, and convenience in Fort Worth. This inviting property features a spacious open-concept layout with abundant natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere throughout. The well-appointed kitchen flows seamlessly into the main living area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for families, guests, or a home office setup. Step outside to a private backyard perfect for relaxing, gatherings, or future customization. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and schools, this home offers easy access to everything Fort Worth has to offer. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike

  16. 2026-03-26
    listed $235,000 Active 765-char remark
    Show marketing remark (765 chars)

    Welcome Home to a beautifully maintained home offering comfort, functionality, and convenience in Fort Worth. This inviting property features a spacious open-concept layout with abundant natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere throughout. The well-appointed kitchen flows seamlessly into the main living area, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. Generously sized bedrooms provide flexibility for families, guests, or a home office setup. Step outside to a private backyard perfect for relaxing, gatherings, or future customization. Conveniently located near major highways, shopping, dining, and schools, this home offers easy access to everything Fort Worth has to offer. A great opportunity for homeowners or investors alike

  17. 2018-06-18
    soldstatus
  18. 2018-04-17
    soldstatus
  19. 2007-10-15
    soldstatus 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    First time home buyers, this one is for you! Great floorplan for your growing family and entertaining your friends. Features include 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths. Buyers should verify all measurements, schools and amenities.

  20. 2007-10-12
    historical 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    First time home buyers, this one is for you! Great floorplan for your growing family and entertaining your friends. Features include 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths. Buyers should verify all measurements, schools and amenities.

  21. 2007-08-31
    listed $97,875 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    First time home buyers, this one is for you! Great floorplan for your growing family and entertaining your friends. Features include 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths. Buyers should verify all measurements, schools and amenities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,556 · $463/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,556 · $463/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,883
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$5,556
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,751
− Management
−$1,751
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable loss
−$5,646
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,355
After-tax cash flow
$-839/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Worth ISD
NCES district ID
4819700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$42,109
Composite
19.61/100
National rank
#8753
State rank
#742 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
52,974
Household income
$51,267
Rent vs Own
45.3% rent · 54.7% own
Severe rent burden
2221.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% Black 36% Two or more races 26% White 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 44%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.04%
Current HPI
336.7941
Rent YoY
▼ -1.61%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $225,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $22,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $235,000 NTREIS
  • 2018-06-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-04-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-10-15 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2007-10-12 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2007-08-31 Listed $97,875 NTREIS

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,556 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…