Duplex
16204 NE 18th Ct · North Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$625,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
A must see duplex, each side has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, updated including new roof in November 2021, ideal for investor or owner who wants to live in one side and rent the other. It will easily rent for $2500 each side and the CAP rate will be 7%. Easy to show on a lockbox
Key facts
- Built-in bbq grill
- Built 1952
- Listed 397 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: 3800
- Financial info: Two units on the property; Units are unfurnished; Reported actual rent for a unit: $2,400
- HOA & community: No HOA information listed
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Hot water included with rent; Water service included with rent; Sewer service included with rent
- Home design: Single-story building; Resale property; Shingle roof; Block construction
- Construction: Built with block construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Quarter- to half-acre lot; On-street parking
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Two-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom per unit
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall furnace; Ceiling fans; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Impact glass windows
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2.0-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $625k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $787/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $625k).
- Recommended offer: $550k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 284 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,168/mo this rent would consume 142% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 2509% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 398 days — a 12% lower offer ($550k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 398 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.80%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-22,048
- Equity at exit
- $93,190
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $28,594
- Equity at exit
- $54,039
Cash invested: $175,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33162
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 284
- Price-to-rent
- 14.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,168 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,278
- Tax from tax record
- −$550 /mo · $6,605/yr
- Insurance
- −$260
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,505
- Net cashflow
- $1,574
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,928 | -5% $1,751 | +0% $1,574 | +5% $1,397 | +10% $1,221 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,008 | -5% $1,291 | +0% $1,574 | +5% $1,857 | +10% $2,141 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,889 | -0.5pp $1,733 | base $1,574 | +0.5pp $1,412 | +1.0pp $1,248 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2.0 | 1 | $7,168 |
| #1 | 2.0 | 1 | $3,584 |
| #2 | 2.0 | 1 | $3,584 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,168 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $156,250
- Closing costs
- $18,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $625,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $625,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $625,000 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $625,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $625,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $625,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $625,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $625,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $625,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $625,000 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $625,000 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $625,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $625,000 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $625,000
-
2025-12-03price $633,000
-
2025-11-19status Active
-
2025-09-29historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-07-03status Active
-
2025-06-12historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-05-16$649,000 Active
-
2023-09-08soldstatus $585,000
-
2023-08-25soldstatus $585,000 Closed 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
A must see duplex, each side has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, updated including new roof in November 2021, ideal for investor or owner who wants to live in one side and rent the other. It will easily rent for $2500 each side and the CAP rate will be 7%. Easy to show on a lockbox
-
2023-08-07status Pending 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
A must see duplex, each side has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, updated including new roof in November 2021, ideal for investor or owner who wants to live in one side and rent the other. It will easily rent for $2500 each side and the CAP rate will be 7%. Easy to show on a lockbox
-
2023-06-01$739,000 Active 273-char remark
Show marketing remark (273 chars)
A must see duplex, each side has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, updated including new roof in November 2021, ideal for investor or owner who wants to live in one side and rent the other. It will easily rent for $2500 each side and the CAP rate will be 7%. Easy to show on a lockbox
-
2022-08-01historical
-
2022-03-07$459,000 Active
-
2022-02-17historical
-
2021-12-07price $439,000
-
2021-10-05price $409,000
-
2021-08-17$439,000 Active
-
2003-09-29soldstatus $164,000
-
1999-10-08soldstatus $98,000
-
1977-11-01soldstatus $40,000
-
1972-10-01soldstatus $37,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,605 · $550/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,605 · $550/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $86,016
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,010
- − Property taxes
- −$6,605
- − Insurance
- −$3,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,881
- − Management
- −$6,881
- − Depreciation
- −$18,182
- Taxable income
- $9,332
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,240
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,652/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 90,324
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,606
- Household income
- $60,692
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2509.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% White 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 31% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 35% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -445.57%
- Current HPI
- 596.6178
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.59%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+1566.7% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $625,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $633,000 MARMLS
- 2025-11-19 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2025-09-29 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2025-07-03 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2025-06-12 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2025-05-16 Listed $649,000 MARMLS
- 2023-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $585,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-25 Sold (MLS) $585,000 MARMLS
- 2023-08-07 Pending — MARMLS
- 2023-06-01 Listed $739,000 MARMLS
- 2022-08-01 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2022-03-07 Listed $459,000 MARMLS
- 2022-02-17 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2021-12-07 Price Changed $439,000 MARMLS
- 2021-10-05 Price Changed $409,000 MARMLS
- 2021-08-17 Listed $439,000 MARMLS
- 2003-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $164,000 Public Records
- 1999-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
- 1977-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1972-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,605 · -12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…