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16204 NE 18th Ct Duplex
C+ Composite 61.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$625,000

16204 NE 18th Ct · North Miami Beach, FL 33162
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,375 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 398 Days on market
Built 1952

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

A must see duplex, each side has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, updated including new roof in November 2021, ideal for investor or owner who wants to live in one side and rent the other. It will easily rent for $2500 each side and the CAP rate will be 7%. Easy to show on a lockbox

Key facts

  • Built-in bbq grill
  • Built 1952
  • Listed 397 days

Tags

NEWLY RENOVATED INTERIORSBUILT-IN BBQ GRILL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: 3800
  • Financial info: Two units on the property; Units are unfurnished; Reported actual rent for a unit: $2,400
  • HOA & community: No HOA information listed

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Hot water included with rent; Water service included with rent; Sewer service included with rent
  • Home design: Single-story building; Resale property; Shingle roof; Block construction
  • Construction: Built with block construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Quarter- to half-acre lot; On-street parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Two-bedroom units (each unit has 2 bedrooms)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom per unit
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall furnace; Ceiling fans; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Impact glass windows
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2.0-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $625k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $787/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $625k).
  • Recommended offer: $550k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 284 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,168/mo this rent would consume 142% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 2509% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 398 days — a 12% lower offer ($550k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $550,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 398 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.32%
Cash-on-cash
10.80%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.5%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-22,048
Equity at exit
$93,190
10-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$28,594
Equity at exit
$54,039

Cash invested: $175,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33162

Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
284
Price-to-rent
14.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,168 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,278
Tax from tax record
$550 /mo · $6,605/yr
Insurance
$260
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,505
Net cashflow
$1,574

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,175
Max offer price $625,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,928 -5% $1,751 +0% $1,574 +5% $1,397 +10% $1,221
Rent -10% $1,008 -5% $1,291 +0% $1,574 +5% $1,857 +10% $2,141
Rate -1.0pp $1,889 -0.5pp $1,733 base $1,574 +0.5pp $1,412 +1.0pp $1,248

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,168

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$156,250
Closing costs
$18,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $625,000 Active 398 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $625,000 Active 397 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $625,000 Active 396 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $625,000 Active 395 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $625,000 Active 393 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $625,000 Active 389 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $625,000 Active 388 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $625,000 Active 387 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $625,000 Active 384 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $625,000 Active 383 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $625,000 Active 382 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $625,000 Active 381 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $625,000 Active 380 DOM
  14. 2026-05-13
    price $625,000
  15. 2025-12-03
    price $633,000
  16. 2025-11-19
    status Active
  17. 2025-09-29
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2025-07-03
    status Active
  19. 2025-06-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2025-05-16
    listed $649,000 Active
  21. 2023-09-08
    soldstatus $585,000
  22. 2023-08-25
    soldstatus $585,000 Closed 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    A must see duplex, each side has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, updated including new roof in November 2021, ideal for investor or owner who wants to live in one side and rent the other. It will easily rent for $2500 each side and the CAP rate will be 7%. Easy to show on a lockbox

  23. 2023-08-07
    status Pending 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    A must see duplex, each side has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, updated including new roof in November 2021, ideal for investor or owner who wants to live in one side and rent the other. It will easily rent for $2500 each side and the CAP rate will be 7%. Easy to show on a lockbox

  24. 2023-06-01
    listed $739,000 Active 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    A must see duplex, each side has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath, updated including new roof in November 2021, ideal for investor or owner who wants to live in one side and rent the other. It will easily rent for $2500 each side and the CAP rate will be 7%. Easy to show on a lockbox

  25. 2022-08-01
    historical
  26. 2022-03-07
    listed $459,000 Active
  27. 2022-02-17
    historical
  28. 2021-12-07
    price $439,000
  29. 2021-10-05
    price $409,000
  30. 2021-08-17
    listed $439,000 Active
  31. 2003-09-29
    soldstatus $164,000
  32. 1999-10-08
    soldstatus $98,000
  33. 1977-11-01
    soldstatus $40,000
  34. 1972-10-01
    soldstatus $37,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,605 · $550/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,605 · $550/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$86,016
− Mortgage interest
−$35,010
− Property taxes
−$6,605
− Insurance
−$3,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,881
− Management
−$6,881
− Depreciation
−$18,182
Taxable income
$9,332
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,240
After-tax cash flow
$16,652/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Miami Beach

Score
82/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#1177

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Miami Beach, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
90,324
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
46,606
Household income
$60,692
Rent vs Own
46.5% rent · 53.5% own
Severe rent burden
2509.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% White 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 31% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
29% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 35% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -445.57%
Current HPI
596.6178
Rent YoY
▼ -1.59%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1566.7% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $625,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $633,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2025-07-03 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2025-06-12 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2025-05-16 Listed $649,000 MARMLS
  • 2023-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $585,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-25 Sold (MLS) $585,000 MARMLS
  • 2023-08-07 Pending MARMLS
  • 2023-06-01 Listed $739,000 MARMLS
  • 2022-08-01 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2022-03-07 Listed $459,000 MARMLS
  • 2022-02-17 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2021-12-07 Price Changed $439,000 MARMLS
  • 2021-10-05 Price Changed $409,000 MARMLS
  • 2021-08-17 Listed $439,000 MARMLS
  • 2003-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $164,000 Public Records
  • 1999-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
  • 1977-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1972-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,605 · -12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…