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24934 Pot Bunker #3716
C- Composite 53.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

24934 Pot Bunker #3716 · Long Neck, DE 19966
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,365 sqft · Townhouse · 296 Days on market
Built 2006 Good condition $112/sqft · 28% below area Est $367k · 28% under $321/mo HOA · 11% of rent ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

🏡 Looking for an elegant and inviting home in the sought-after community of Baywood? This 3BR, 2.5BA, beauty offers the perfect mix of comfort, style, and resort-inspired living—ideal for year-round residents or weekend retreat seekers! ✨ The main level features tile flooring, a flexible den/office with half bath, and a double-sided fireplace that warms both the living and dining rooms—perfect for cozy nights in or entertaining guests. 🍳 The beautiful eat-in kitchen offers plenty of counter space and cabinetry, while the formal dining room provides a lovely setting for special occasions (or can double as a quiet reading nook). You’ll love the ample storage throughout, incl

Key facts

  • $321 HOA
  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $265k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.2% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 865 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 296 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $233,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 296 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
6.70%
Cash-on-cash
1.46%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$367,409
List price
$265,000
Delta
-27.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32447 Back Nine Way #3765 0.11mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,468 (+4%) 5mo $260,000 $105 78
24954 Pot Bunker Way #3711 0.04mi 3/2.5 2,465 (+4%) 24mo $340,000 $138 72
24960 Pot Bunker 0.05mi 4/— (+1) 2,700 (+14%) 0mo $335,000 $124 69
32427 Back Nine Way #3759 0.09mi 3/3.5 2,700 (+14%) 16mo $430,000 $159 55
32346 Apron Way #3719 0.03mi 3/3.5 2,700 (+14%) 22mo $385,000 $143 52
24950 Pot Bunker #3712 0.03mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,700 (+14%) 19mo $420,000 $156 50
25006 Pot Bunker Way #3702 0.14mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,700 (+14%) 14mo $480,000 $178 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-36,961
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-23,819
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19966

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
865
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,839 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax est. 1.5%
$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$321
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$596
Net cashflow
$90

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,725
Max offer price $265,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
32814 Greens Way #3160 Millsboro, DE 4.0 3.5 3300 $3,200 $0.97 43d 1 0.36mi
24850 Rivers Edge Rd Millsboro, DE 3.0 2.5 2069 $2,300 $1.11 43d 1 1.08mi
24201 Hammerhead Dr Millsboro, DE 3.0 3.0 1751 $3,200 $1.83 13d 1 1.36mi
24209 Hammerhead Dr Millsboro, DE 2.0 2.0 1751 $2,350 $1.34 43d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$321 · $3,852/yr

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $265,000 Active 296 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $265,000 Active 295 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $265,000 Active 294 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $265,000 Active 293 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $265,000 Active 291 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $265,000 Active 290 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $265,000 Active 288 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $265,000 Active 287 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $265,000 Active 286 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $265,000 Active 285 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $265,000 Active 280 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $265,000 Active 279 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 278 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $265,000 Active 277 DOM
  15. 2026-03-23
    price $265,000
  16. 2025-10-14
    price $280,000
  17. 2025-08-27
    listed $294,000 Active
  18. 2025-08-04
    historical $294,000
  19. 2025-07-31
    historical
  20. 2025-06-12
    price $310,000
  21. 2025-05-16
    price $315,000
  22. 2025-02-25
    listed $320,000 Active
  23. 2022-03-18
    soldstatus $295,000 Closed
  24. 2022-01-04
    status Pending
  25. 2021-07-01
    listed $310,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,063
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$3,975
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,725
− Management
−$2,725
− HOA
−$3,852
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable loss
−$3,092
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$742
After-tax cash flow
$1,824/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This townhouse is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It has a good curb appeal and is ready for minor cosmetic updates to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Replace the flooring — Replacing the flooring can improve the home's rental value by providing a more comfortable and attractive living space for tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Rental Replace the flooring — Replacing the flooring can improve the home's rental value by providing a more comfortable and attractive living space for tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River School District
NCES district ID
1000680
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$53,838
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#6620
State rank
#14 of 26 in DE

Livability — Long Neck

Score
69/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#8720

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sussex County · 82,708 people
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
35,884
Household income
$78,305
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
464.0

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.26%
Current HPI
268.5609
Rent YoY
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-14.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $265,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $280,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-27 Listed $294,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-04 Coming Soon $294,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-12 Price Changed $310,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-05-16 Price Changed $315,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-25 Listed $320,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-03-18 Sold (MLS) $295,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-01-04 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-07-01 Listed $310,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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