62 Bayview Dr · Paxton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.5/10.0
$85,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your vision to this 3-bed, 2-bath 1960s home! Offering 1,697 sq ft, this property is a blank canvas resting on a sprawling, nearly half-acre lot. Located just minutes from Paxton and the FL/AL state line, it's a prime project for a buyer ready to customize. The home requires repairs and may not qualify for most traditional financing. This makes it an ideal opportunity for a cash buyer or someone using a renovation loan to build equity and create their dream home.
Key facts
- 0.42 acre lot
- Built 1963
- Listed 231 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No subdivision (None)
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well for water; Public sewer
- Home design: Traditional style; Single-story
- Construction: Built in 1963; Metal roof; Construction includes block and vinyl/wood trim siding
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 105' x 173'; County road frontage on a paved road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor (approx. sizes: 12' x 12'; 12' x 10'; 10' x 10')
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling; Window/Wall AC
- Interior features: Living room located on the first floor; Kitchen located on the first floor; Total of 5 rooms
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $951 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $76k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#861 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $86k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.43%
- DSCR
- 3.11
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $276,611
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23203 N Us Highway 331 | 0.59mi | 3/3.0 | 1,682 (-1%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $163 | 64 |
| 22378 Us Highway 331 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,732 (+2%) | 20mo | $230,000 | $133 | 63 |
| 137 Parker Ln | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,640 (-3%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $192 | 57 |
| 332 Cannon Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,660 (-2%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $114 | 53 |
| 795 Lake Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,656 (-2%) | 11mo | $366,000 | $221 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $46,602
- Equity at exit
- $12,808
- IRR
- 50.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.92×
- Total profit
- $118,448
- Equity at exit
- $7,427
Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32567
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$450
- Tax from tax record
- −$24 /mo · $292/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $951
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,475
- Closing costs
- $2,577
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,900 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,900 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $85,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $92,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $92,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $92,900 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $92,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $92,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $92,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $92,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $92,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $92,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $92,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $92,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $92,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $92,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $92,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $92,900
-
2026-03-18price $99,000
-
2025-11-19price $113,900
-
2025-11-03soldstatus $55,125
-
2025-10-18$119,900 Active
-
2022-10-27historical
-
2022-10-06$139,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $292 · $24/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $713 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$421/yr (+$35/mo · 144.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,812
- − Property taxes
- −$292
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,776
- − Management
- −$1,776
- − Depreciation
- −$2,499
- Taxable income
- $10,612
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,547
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,860/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton
- NCES district ID
- 1201980
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,794
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1634
- State rank
- #10 of 73 in FL
Livability — Paxton
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #861
- US rank
- #22199
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paxton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,820
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,014 people
- By 2030
- 88,120 · +10.1%
- By 2040
- 103,537 · +29.4%
- By 2050
- 117,034 · +46.3%
- By 2075
- 143,901 · +79.8%
- By 2100
- 155,138 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 9% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Romanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.00%
- Current HPI
- 236.47
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-33.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $92,900 ECAR
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $99,000 ECAR
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $113,900 ECAR
- 2025-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $55,125 Public Records
- 2025-10-18 Listed $119,900 ECAR
- 2022-10-27 Listing Removed — NAMLS
- 2022-10-06 Listed $139,990 NAMLS
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $292 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…