32458 County Road 665 · Waverly, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home offers a peaceful setting with a wooded backdrop while still being conveniently located near a main road for easy access. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides plenty of outdoor space and room for future possibilities. The home features a full basement, private well, septic system, vinyl siding exterior, and forced-air heat. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property offers a great opportunity to add your own personal touches and make it your own.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1939
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water
- Home design: Traditional single-family residence; One-story (single family home — living area listed)
- Construction: Built in 1939; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Foundation includes a full basement
- Exterior features: 1.0-acre lot; Well water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (approx. 16 x 14.1)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (approx. 14.2 x 12); Bedroom 2 (approx. 17 x 11); Bedroom 3 (approx. 13.5 x 10.2)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (primary bathroom approx. 5.3 x 8.9)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.6% in Waverly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in MI, #805 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Bangor Public Schools (Van Buren) (rural): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #472 of 540 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Van Buren County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Van Buren County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 37y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $90k implies a 414% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.78%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $338,092
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -73.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41615 M 43 | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,677 (+9%) | 2mo | $400,000 | $239 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $15,926
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $53,283
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49079
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,457 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,972/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $478
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
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2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-05pricedays on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This home offers a peaceful setting with a wooded backdrop while still being conveniently located near a main road for easy access. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides plenty of outdoor space and room for future possibilities. The home features a full basement, private well, septic system, vinyl siding exterior, and forced-air heat. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property offers a great opportunity to add your own personal touches and make it your own.
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,900 Active 28 DOM
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This home offers a peaceful setting with a wooded backdrop while still being conveniently located near a main road for easy access. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides plenty of outdoor space and room for future possibilities. The home features a full basement, private well, septic system, vinyl siding exterior, and forced-air heat. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property offers a great opportunity to add your own personal touches and make it your own.
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2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-13price $104,900 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This home offers a peaceful setting with a wooded backdrop while still being conveniently located near a main road for easy access. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides plenty of outdoor space and room for future possibilities. The home features a full basement, private well, septic system, vinyl siding exterior, and forced-air heat. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property offers a great opportunity to add your own personal touches and make it your own.
-
2026-05-13price $104,900 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This home offers a peaceful setting with a wooded backdrop while still being conveniently located near a main road for easy access. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides plenty of outdoor space and room for future possibilities. The home features a full basement, private well, septic system, vinyl siding exterior, and forced-air heat. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property offers a great opportunity to add your own personal touches and make it your own.
-
2026-05-13price $104,900
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This home offers a peaceful setting with a wooded backdrop while still being conveniently located near a main road for easy access. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides plenty of outdoor space and room for future possibilities. The home features a full basement, private well, septic system, vinyl siding exterior, and forced-air heat. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property offers a great opportunity to add your own personal touches and make it your own.
-
2026-05-04$109,900 Active 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This home offers a peaceful setting with a wooded backdrop while still being conveniently located near a main road for easy access. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides plenty of outdoor space and room for future possibilities. The home features a full basement, private well, septic system, vinyl siding exterior, and forced-air heat. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property offers a great opportunity to add your own personal touches and make it your own.
-
2026-05-04$109,900 Active 486-char remark
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This home offers a peaceful setting with a wooded backdrop while still being conveniently located near a main road for easy access. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides plenty of outdoor space and room for future possibilities. The home features a full basement, private well, septic system, vinyl siding exterior, and forced-air heat. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property offers a great opportunity to add your own personal touches and make it your own.
-
2026-05-04$109,900 Active
Show marketing remark (486 chars)
This home offers a peaceful setting with a wooded backdrop while still being conveniently located near a main road for easy access. Situated on a generous lot, the property provides plenty of outdoor space and room for future possibilities. The home features a full basement, private well, septic system, vinyl siding exterior, and forced-air heat. With solid bones and a functional layout, this property offers a great opportunity to add your own personal touches and make it your own.
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2009-02-26soldstatus $17,500
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2009-02-26soldstatus $17,500
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2008-11-13$19,900
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2008-11-13$19,900
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1999-12-23soldstatus $69,000
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1999-12-23soldstatus $69,000
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1999-10-26$69,000
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1999-10-26$69,000
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1989-09-11$32,900
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1989-09-11$32,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,972 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,972 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,486
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,972
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,399
- − Management
- −$1,399
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $4,616
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,108
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,627/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bangor Public Schools (Van Buren)
- NCES district ID
- 2603870
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,050
- Composite
- 16.63/100
- National rank
- #9174
- State rank
- #472 of 540 in MI
Livability — Waverly
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #39
- US rank
- #805
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 32,029
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,364
Population outlook (Van Buren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,479 people
- By 2030
- 68,693 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,093 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 55,232 · -22.7%
- By 2075
- 40,786 · -42.9%
- By 2100
- 27,785 · -61.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Buren
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.1) · D 41.7% · R 56.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.9pp toward R · 2008: 8.8pp · 2024: -15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.1 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+13.9 2012: D+0.5 2008: D+8.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.46%
- Current HPI
- 164.7191
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+173.3% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $94,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $94,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $99,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $104,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $104,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $104,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $109,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-02-26 Sold (MLS) $17,500 REALCOMP
- 2009-02-26 Sold (MLS) $17,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-11-13 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-11-13 Listed $19,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-12-23 Sold (MLS) $69,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-12-23 Sold (MLS) $69,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-10-26 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-10-26 Listed $69,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1989-09-11 Listed $32,900 REALCOMP
- 1989-09-11 Listed $32,900 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,972 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…