805 Marcy St · Ottawa, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,320 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 50 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Property is not currently leased; Possession at closing
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with space for 2 vehicles (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 61 x 120; Lot under 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (8 x 15)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (master bedroom on the second level; two additional bedrooms on the second level: 8 x 13 and 10 x 11)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.1% in Ottawa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IL, #3,175 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities D.
- Ottawa Twp Hsd 140 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #545 of 919 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 205 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 82 units permitted in LaSalle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- LaSalle County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $130k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.50%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $241,472
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721 Adams St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-4%) | 3mo | $186,599 | $124 | 85 |
| 760 Guthrie St | 0.10mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,518 (-3%) | 4mo | $209,000 | $138 | 77 |
| 618 Fort St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,494 (-5%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $141 | 76 |
| 529 Christie St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,610 (+3%) | 1mo | $268,500 | $167 | 74 |
| 845 Hitt St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (+0%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $156 | 73 |
| 1131 Briar Ct | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,546 (-1%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $178 | 73 |
| 753 Fort St | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,650 (+5%) | 7mo | $295,000 | $179 | 72 |
| 1403 James Ct | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (-1%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $190 | 67 |
| 1405 James Ct | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,624 (+4%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $154 | 61 |
| 1436 Catherine St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,588 (+1%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $142 | 58 |
| 537 2nd Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,471 (-6%) | 6mo | $142,900 | $97 | 55 |
| 601 Arch St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,446 (-8%) | 2mo | $173,500 | $120 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-7,781
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $15,714
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61350
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,768 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$248 /mo · $2,979/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $155,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $155,000
-
2026-04-29$164,900 Active
-
2010-02-10status Pending
-
2010-01-22status Reactivated
-
2009-11-11status Pending
-
2009-10-30New
-
2009-08-21historical
-
2009-04-11status
-
2009-04-10historical
-
2009-04-09price
-
2009-04-09status
-
2009-04-08historical
-
2008-10-07
-
2003-03-11soldstatus $130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,979 · $248/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,249 · $271/mo
- Expected delta
- +$270/yr (+$22/mo · 9.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,219
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$2,979
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,698
- − Management
- −$1,698
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $878
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$211
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,044/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ottawa Twp Hsd 140
- NCES district ID
- 1730330
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,828
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #12528
- State rank
- #545 of 919 in IL
Livability — Ottawa
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #3175
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ottawa, IL
- County
- La Salle County · 41,676 people
- City population
- 23,713
- Metro
- Ottawa, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,713
- Household income
- $77,921
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 628.0
Population outlook (LaSalle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,080 people
- By 2030
- 104,196 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 97,413 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 90,294 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 76,252 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 61,339 · -42.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · LaSalle
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.5) · D 40.1% · R 58.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: 11.1pp · 2024: -18.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.5 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+14.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+11.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.46%
- Current HPI
- 183.6833
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ottawa, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+19.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $155,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Listed $164,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-10 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-22 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-11 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-10-30 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-21 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-11 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-10 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-09 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-09 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-04-08 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-07 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,979 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…