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1681 Lafayette Blvd
C+ Composite 62.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

1681 Lafayette Blvd · Lincoln Park, MI 48146
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,771 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1931 3,920 sqft lot Est $175k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

TENANT OCCUPIED! Traditional Lincoln Park home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Gorgeous hardwood floors in the entire home. Enclosed back yard. 2 car garage of the street. Tenant has been there since 2019, currently paying $1,432.56, month to month.

Key facts

  • Enclosed back yard
  • Hardwood floors
  • 3,920 sq ft lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSENCLOSED BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.5% in Lincoln Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,720 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
  • Lincoln Park School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #440 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 25 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $118k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $150,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.48%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,329
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1382 Euclid St 0.20mi 5/2.0 1,797 (+2%) 6mo $169,900 $95 84
2119 Fort Park Blvd 0.30mi 5/1.5 1,715 (-3%) 16mo $259,900 $152 66
1519 Fort Park Blvd 0.24mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,587 (-10%) 2mo $137,000 $86 62
2858 Fort Park Blvd 0.64mi 5/2.0 1,886 (+6%) 0mo $175,000 $93 59
1458 Cicotte Ave 0.37mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,592 (-10%) 4mo $145,000 $91 58
1558 College Ave 0.54mi 5/2.0 1,600 (-10%) 2mo $200,000 $125 57
1366 Fort Park Blvd 0.36mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (-5%) 18mo $145,000 $86 54
1267 Fort Park Blvd 0.48mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-10%) 7mo $174,000 $109 51
1053 Garfield Ave 0.59mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,980 (+12%) 1mo $150,000 $76 43
2933 Fort Park Ave 0.72mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,563 (-12%) 1mo $206,000 $132 39
1167 Garfield Ave 0.49mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,552 (-12%) 16mo $154,000 $99 36
880 White Ave 0.73mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,968 (+11%) 7mo $206,000 $105 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,481
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
9.0%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$32,684
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48146

Home prices YoY
-32.7%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
154
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,929 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$376 /mo · $4,509/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$271

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,586
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $358 -5% $315 +0% $271 +5% $227 +10% $183
Rent -10% $118 -5% $194 +0% $271 +5% $347 +10% $423
Rate -1.0pp $349 -0.5pp $310 base $271 +0.5pp $231 +1.0pp $190

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1872 Champaign Rd Lincoln Park, MI 4.0 2.0 2325 $2,300 $0.99 11d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2025-12-11
    status Pending 251-char remark
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED! Traditional Lincoln Park home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Gorgeous hardwood floors in the entire home. Enclosed back yard. 2 car garage of the street. Tenant has been there since 2019, currently paying $1,432.56, month to month.

  2. 2025-12-11
    status Pending 251-char remark
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED! Traditional Lincoln Park home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Gorgeous hardwood floors in the entire home. Enclosed back yard. 2 car garage of the street. Tenant has been there since 2019, currently paying $1,432.56, month to month.

  3. 2025-12-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED! Traditional Lincoln Park home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Gorgeous hardwood floors in the entire home. Enclosed back yard. 2 car garage of the street. Tenant has been there since 2019, currently paying $1,432.56, month to month.

  4. 2025-10-13
    listed $155,000 Active 251-char remark
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED! Traditional Lincoln Park home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Gorgeous hardwood floors in the entire home. Enclosed back yard. 2 car garage of the street. Tenant has been there since 2019, currently paying $1,432.56, month to month.

  5. 2025-10-13
    listed $155,000 Active 251-char remark
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED! Traditional Lincoln Park home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Gorgeous hardwood floors in the entire home. Enclosed back yard. 2 car garage of the street. Tenant has been there since 2019, currently paying $1,432.56, month to month.

  6. 2025-10-13
    listed $155,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (251 chars)

    TENANT OCCUPIED! Traditional Lincoln Park home with 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Gorgeous hardwood floors in the entire home. Enclosed back yard. 2 car garage of the street. Tenant has been there since 2019, currently paying $1,432.56, month to month.

  7. 2021-06-17
    soldstatus $118,000
  8. 2021-06-07
    soldstatus $2,432,347
  9. 2019-11-13
    soldstatus $118,000
  10. 2019-03-14
    soldstatus $69,000
  11. 2019-03-08
    status Pending
  12. 2019-03-08
    status Pending
  13. 2019-03-08
    soldstatus $69,000 Sold
  14. 2019-03-08
    soldstatus $69,000 Closed
  15. 2019-02-13
    historical
  16. 2019-02-13
    listed $79,900 Active
  17. 2019-02-13
    listed $79,900 Active
  18. 2019-02-13
    historical
  19. 2019-02-08
    status Active
  20. 2019-02-01
    historical
  21. 2019-01-25
    historical
  22. 2019-01-23
    listed $89,900 Active
  23. 2019-01-23
    listed $89,900 Active
  24. 2019-01-23
    historical
  25. 2018-11-29
    price $119,900
  26. 2018-11-28
    price $119,900
  27. 2018-11-28
    status Active
  28. 2018-11-28
    status Active
  29. 2018-07-10
    historical
  30. 2018-07-10
    historical
  31. 2018-06-29
    status Active
  32. 2018-06-25
    historical
  33. 2018-06-15
    status Active
  34. 2018-06-12
    historical
  35. 2018-05-15
    listed $129,900 Active
  36. 2018-05-15
    listed $129,900 Active
  37. 2016-04-14
    price $55,080
  38. 2016-04-07
    soldstatus $49,000 Sold
  39. 2016-04-07
    soldstatus $49,000 Closed
  40. 2016-03-12
    status Pending
  41. 2016-03-10
    price $55,080
  42. 2016-03-02
    historical
  43. 2016-03-01
    listed $61,200 Active
  44. 2016-02-09
    price $61,200
  45. 2015-12-23
    listed $68,000 Active
  46. 2009-07-25
    historical
  47. 2009-07-25
    historical
  48. 2009-03-23
    soldstatus $79,900
  49. 2009-02-13
    soldstatus $79,900
  50. 2008-11-21
    listed $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,509 · $376/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,509 · $376/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,148
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$4,509
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,852
− Management
−$1,852
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$968
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$232
After-tax cash flow
$3,016/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln Park School District
NCES district ID
2621600
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,486
Composite
19.93/100
National rank
#8678
State rank
#440 of 540 in MI

Livability — Lincoln Park

Score
80/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#1720

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lincoln Park, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
39,257
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,257
Household income
$58,616
Rent vs Own
31.2% rent · 68.8% own
Severe rent burden
1142.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 17% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
222.8545
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+146.0% since first listed
65 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-11 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $155,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $155,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
  • 2021-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $2,432,347 Public Records
  • 2019-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
  • 2019-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2019-03-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-03-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2019-03-08 Sold (MLS) $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-03-08 Sold (MLS) $69,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-02-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-02-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-02-13 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-02-13 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-02-08 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2019-02-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-01-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-01-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-01-23 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-01-23 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-11-29 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-28 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2018-11-28 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-28 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-07-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-29 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-15 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-05-15 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-05-15 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2016-04-14 Price Changed $55,080 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-04-07 Sold (MLS) $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-04-07 Sold (MLS) $49,000 REALCOMP
  • 2016-03-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2016-03-10 Price Changed $55,080 REALCOMP
  • 2016-03-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-03-01 Listed $61,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2016-02-09 Price Changed $61,200 REALCOMP
  • 2015-12-23 Listed $68,000 REALCOMP
  • 2009-07-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-07-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
  • 2009-02-13 Sold (MLS) $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-11-21 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-11-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-08-18 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-04-29 Sold (MLS) $17,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-04-29 Sold (MLS) $17,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-04-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-02-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-01-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-01-21 Listed $18,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-01-21 Listed $18,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-29 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-29 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-29 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-29 Listed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-08-29 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 1995-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,509 · -13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…