9042 E Olive Ln S · Sun Lakes, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
Key facts
- 6,922 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $219k).
- Recommended offer: $193k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.8% in Sun Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#135 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, cost of living D.
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242) (suburban): math 49% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #31 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $130k; list at $219k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→10/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.71%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $250,000
- List price
- $219,000
- Delta
- -12.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9101 E Sun Lakes Blvd S | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-3%) | 2mo | $233,400 | $162 | 89 |
| 9015 E Citrus Ln S | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,430 (-4%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $174 | 86 |
| 9205 E Sun Lakes Blvd | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,508 (+1%) | 2mo | $199,900 | $133 | 84 |
| 26245 S Lakeview Dr | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,441 (-3%) | 2mo | $324,000 | $225 | 83 |
| 9254 E Cactus Ln S | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (-5%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $155 | 75 |
| 9241 E Cactus Ln S | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,354 (-9%) | 2mo | $274,900 | $203 | 69 |
| 9039 E Fairway Blvd | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,522 (+2%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $154 | 66 |
| 9328 E Sun Lakes Blvd S | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (+5%) | 3mo | $338,000 | $216 | 65 |
| 9324 E Cactus Ln S | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 | 1,626 (+9%) | 3mo | $234,000 | $144 | 65 |
| 25635 S Country Club Dr | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-8%) | 2mo | $203,777 | $149 | 60 |
| 9409 E Navajo Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,345 (-10%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $167 | 56 |
| 8943 E Ohio Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,362 (-8%) | 2mo | $307,250 | $226 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.4% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-17,263
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-1,241
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85248
- Home prices YoY
- -23.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,271 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $692/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$154
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $343
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $467 | -5% $405 | +0% $343 | +5% $281 | +10% $219 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $163 | -5% $253 | +0% $343 | +5% $432 | +10% $522 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $453 | -0.5pp $398 | base $343 | +0.5pp $286 | +1.0pp $228 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9022 E Citrus Ln S Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,750 | $1.51 | 19d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 9119 E Citrus Ln S Sun Lakes, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 9111 E Olive Ln N Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 26618 S Maricopa Pl Sun Lakes, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 9348 E Sun Lakes Blvd N Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 9334 E Sun Lakes Blvd N Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $2,000 | $1.62 | 5d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 9107 E Fairway Blvd Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1313 | $3,900 | $2.97 | 1d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9517 E Navajo Pl Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $1,975 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9554 E Fairway Blvd Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $2,100 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 25424 S Wyoming Ave Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,795 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 8934 E Minnesota Ave Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,950 | $2.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 8931 E Copper Valley Ln Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,650 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 25231 S Papago Pl Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $4,000 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 9438 E Michigan Ave Sun Lakes, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $4,000 | $2.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 9714 E Sherwood Way Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1823 | $4,000 | $2.19 | 1d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 9635 E Palomino Pl Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1792 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 9647 E Palomino Pl Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $1,900 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 26646 S New Town Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $3,000 | $2.18 | 1d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 25246 S Glenburn Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $3,000 | $2.17 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 25246 S Glenburn Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $3,200 | $2.31 | 11d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 26621 S Lakemont Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 26625 S Lakemont Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $4,000 | $2.35 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 25826 S Cedarcrest Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1823 | $3,950 | $2.17 | 1d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 26011 S Lancewood Ct Sun Lakes, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1823 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 9746 E Coopers Hawk Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $4,500 | $2.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 9746 E Coopers Hawk Dr Unit 1546352P Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $3,066 | $1.97 | 13d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 25115 S Golfview Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $3,500 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 25111 S Golfview Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $4,200 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9635 E Rocky Lake Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $2,500 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 26001 S Beech Creek Dr Sun Lakes, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1823 | $2,400 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $154 · $1,848/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $219,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Pending 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
-
2026-04-16price $219,000 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
-
2026-03-23price $227,000 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
-
2026-02-17price $229,000 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
-
2026-01-30price $230,000 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
-
2026-01-12price $232,000 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
-
2026-01-05price $234,000 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
-
2025-12-04price $239,000 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
-
2025-11-07price $245,000 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
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2025-10-16$250,000 Active 628-char remark
Show marketing remark (628 chars)
Welcome to this well maintained home in the heart of Sun Lakes! One of the only properties in this price range with a garage and a pet friendly fence! It's there, just waiting for your personal touches! Upgraded kitchen with Corian countertops and large pantry. Remodeled walk-in shower off the owner's suite. Full 2 car length garage and large utility room with workbench or parking for a golf cart. Large screened-in patio and fenced yard. Enjoy this active adult (55+) community of Sun Lakes Country Club throws many events, has a library, rec room, amenities such as pickleball, pools and spas. So much fun to be had by all!
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2005-06-29soldstatus $130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $692 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,445 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$753/yr (+$63/mo · 108.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 4 d/yr ≥112°F today · 10 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,253
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$692
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,180
- − Management
- −$2,180
- − HOA
- −$1,848
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable income
- $618
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$148
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,964/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242)
- NCES district ID
- 0401870
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,048
- Composite
- 47.54/100
- National rank
- #2268
- State rank
- #31 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Sun Lakes
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #135
- US rank
- #16572
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sun Lakes, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 37,461
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,095
- Household income
- $94,495
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1107.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.23%
- Current HPI
- 265.2743
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.40%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+68.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — ARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $219,000 ARMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $227,000 ARMLS
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $229,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $230,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $232,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $234,000 ARMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $239,000 ARMLS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $245,000 ARMLS
- 2025-10-16 Listed $250,000 ARMLS
- 2005-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $692 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…