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215 23rd St Duplex
B+ Composite 79.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

215 23rd St · Watervliet, NY 12189
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,592 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1910 2,613 sqft lot $85/sqft · 47% below area Est $417k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great owner occupied. Needs a little TLC. This is an estate..sold 'as is' condition. Good Condition

Key facts

  • Two-family home
  • Convenient location
  • Laundry hookups

Tags

TWO-FAMILY HOMELAUNDRY HOOKUPSCONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual property tax listed
  • Financial info: Two-unit property; Tenants pay hot water, heat, electricity, and gas; Owner pays water

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex; Living area approximately 2,592
  • Construction: Stone construction; Rubber roof
  • Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Lot approximately 0.06 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total (one full bath on the 1st level, one full bath on the 2nd level); Unit 1: 1 full bath; Unit 2: 1 full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Heating available; Electric and natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $634/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $220k).
  • Recommended offer: $213k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 5.9% in Watervliet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#51 in NY, #786 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D.
  • Watervliet City School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #524 of 590 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,654/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1224% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $147k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $213,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.21%
Cash-on-cash
24.70%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$417,345
List price
$220,000
Delta
-47.29%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2344 Broadway 0.13mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,582 (-0%) 5mo $215,000 $83 84
610 23rd St 0.21mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,620 (+1%) 8mo $292,000 $111 77
1834 6th Ave 0.26mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,680 (+3%) 3mo $250,000 $93 75
2315 3rd Ave 0.05mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,334 (-10%) 6mo $221,100 $95 71
902 19th St 0.39mi 6/2.5 (+1) 2,560 (-1%) 2mo $250,000 $98 71
1525 6th Ave 0.44mi 5/2.0 2,464 (-5%) 2mo $240,000 $97 70
804 25th St 0.35mi 6/3.5 (+1) 2,688 (+4%) 6mo $308,455 $115 62
153 2nd St 0.66mi 5/2.0 2,640 (+2%) 7mo $350,000 $133 60
1624 3rd Ave 0.28mi 5/3.0 2,957 (+14%) 2mo $330,000 $112 57
1316 5th Ave 0.64mi 5/2.0 2,346 (-10%) 5mo $280,000 $119 50
1801 9th Ave 0.46mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,244 (-13%) 2mo $340,000 $152 46
1235 5th Ave 0.70mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,328 (-10%) 6mo $290,000 $125 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$58,984
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
4.52×
Total profit
$216,621
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12189

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,654 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$373 /mo · $4,478/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$767
Net cashflow
$1,268

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,049
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 60%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,654

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17 State St Troy, NY 4.0 1.0–1.5 1810 $3,635 $2.01 14d 7 0.54mi
150 2nd St Troy, NY 4.0 1.5 2442 $3,000 $1.23 21d 1 0.69mi
904 Peoples Ave Troy, NY 4.0 1.0 1800 $645 $0.36 19d 1 1.03mi
51 14th St Unit 2 Troy, NY 4.0 2.0 2000 $725 $0.36 19d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $220,000 Pending 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $220,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $220,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $220,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    price $220,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-05-17
    price $250,000 662-char remark
  16. 2026-05-09
    listed $270,000 Active 662-char remark
  17. 2017-06-12
    soldstatus $147,000 Closed (Final Sale) 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    Great owner occupied. Needs a little TLC. This is an estate..sold 'as is' condition. Good Condition

  18. 2017-03-30
    status Pend (Under Cntr) 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    Great owner occupied. Needs a little TLC. This is an estate..sold 'as is' condition. Good Condition

  19. 2017-03-27
    listed $159,000 New 100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (100 chars)

    Great owner occupied. Needs a little TLC. This is an estate..sold 'as is' condition. Good Condition

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,478 · $373/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,478 · $373/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,848
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$4,478
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,508
− Management
−$3,508
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable income
$12,531
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,007
After-tax cash flow
$12,210/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Watervliet City School District
NCES district ID
3630210
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,276
Composite
34.23/100
National rank
#5261
State rank
#524 of 590 in NY

Livability — Watervliet

Score
84/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#786

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living B+ Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Watervliet, NY
County
Albany County · 196,626 people
City population
18,656
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
18,656
Household income
$65,276
Rent vs Own
60.3% rent · 39.7% own
Severe rent burden
1224.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.16%
Current HPI
273.8109
Rent YoY
▲ 6.61%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+38.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-31 Price Changed $220,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $250,000 Global MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $270,000 Global MLS
  • 2017-06-12 Sold (MLS) $147,000 Global MLS
  • 2017-03-30 Pending Global MLS
  • 2017-03-27 Listed $159,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+15.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,478 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…