528 4th St · Washington Court House, OH
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.05%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$66,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Corner lot, hosts this two bedroom home with living room, kitchen, dining area. Affordable living
Key facts
- 4,530 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 20 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 4,530 square feet (about 0.104 acres); Residential zoning; No subdivision
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Interior features: Carpet and linoleum flooring; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($835 rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $65k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.5% in Washington Court House — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#191 in OH, #2,912 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Washington Court House City (town): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #409 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 71 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($65k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 65% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.43%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,577
- List price
- $66,000
- Delta
- -54.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523 5th St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 814 (-3%) | 5mo | $145,700 | $179 | 84 |
| 231 W Elm St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 859 (+3%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $180 | 70 |
| 319 Mcelwain St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 849 (+2%) | 5mo | $131,500 | $155 | 68 |
| 832 John St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 927 (+11%) | 11mo | $169,000 | $182 | 58 |
| 1110 Vine St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+15%) | 7mo | $152,000 | $158 | 56 |
| 907 Sycamore St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 940 (+12%) | 23mo | $75,000 | $80 | 52 |
| 329 E Elm St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+15%) | 21mo | $160,000 | $167 | 49 |
| 804 Columbus Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 892 (+7%) | 12mo | $151,000 | $169 | 49 |
| 611 Willard St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+3%) | 24mo | $157,500 | $182 | 47 |
| 914 S North St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 952 (+14%) | 15mo | $184,900 | $194 | 45 |
| 415 Florence St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+15%) | 2mo | $189,900 | $198 | 39 |
| 130 W Ohio Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 946 (+13%) | 11mo | $154,941 | $164 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $3,462
- Equity at exit
- $9,841
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $21,248
- Equity at exit
- $5,706
Cash invested: $18,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43160
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $835 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$346
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $765/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$175
- Net cashflow
- $222
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,500
- Closing costs
- $1,980
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 W Paint St Unit 1 Washington Court House, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 11 Residence Dr Washington Court House, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $969 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 99 Summit Ln Washington Court House, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $620 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 140 Summit Ln Washington Court House, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $603 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $66,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $66,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $66,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $66,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $66,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $66,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $66,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $66,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricestatusdays on market $66,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Pending 76-char remark
-
2026-04-30$40,000 Active 76-char remark
-
2021-06-23soldstatus $58,000
-
2021-06-21soldstatus $58,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
Corner lot, hosts this two bedroom home with living room, kitchen, dining area. Affordable living
-
2021-06-14status Pending
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
Corner lot, hosts this two bedroom home with living room, kitchen, dining area. Affordable living
-
2021-05-19historical Contingent Finance and Inspection
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
Corner lot, hosts this two bedroom home with living room, kitchen, dining area. Affordable living
-
2021-03-10$62,750 Active
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
Corner lot, hosts this two bedroom home with living room, kitchen, dining area. Affordable living
-
2020-08-03historical
-
2019-07-05$64,500
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2019-07-02$64,500 Active
-
2014-12-04historical
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2013-10-07$40,000
-
2002-05-08soldstatus $48,000
-
2000-04-10soldstatus $38,000
-
1996-08-28soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $765 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $897 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$132/yr (+$11/mo · 17.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,697
- − Property taxes
- −$765
- − Insurance
- −$330
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$802
- − Management
- −$802
- − Depreciation
- −$1,920
- Taxable income
- $1,704
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$409
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington Court House City
- NCES district ID
- 3910011
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,060
- Composite
- 44.77/100
- National rank
- #2747
- State rank
- #409 of 656 in OH
Livability — Washington Court House
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #191
- US rank
- #2912
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Washington Court House, OH
- County
- Fayette · 25,566 people
- City population
- 21,966
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,966
- Household income
- $57,475
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6.5
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,616 people
- By 2030
- 26,760 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 24,789 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 22,550 · -18.3%
- By 2075
- 16,893 · -38.8%
- By 2100
- 11,246 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.1) · D 22.1% · R 77.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -55.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.1 2020: R+51.5 2016: R+47.1 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+23.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -228.13%
- Current HPI
- 240.7307
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+312.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Relisted — SVAR
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $66,000 SVAR
- 2026-05-08 Pending — SVAR
- 2026-04-30 Listed $40,000 SVAR
- 2021-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2021-06-21 Sold (MLS) $58,000 CBRMLS
- 2021-06-14 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2021-05-19 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2021-03-10 Listed $62,750 CBRMLS
- 2020-08-03 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2019-07-05 Listed $64,500 SVAR
- 2019-07-02 Listed $64,500 CBRMLS
- 2014-12-04 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2013-10-07 Listed $40,000 CBRMLS
- 2002-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2000-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1996-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $765 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…