513 Azalea Rd · Wylie, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$193,490
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
New homes in Princeton, TX! Welcome to Arbor Trails! This gorgeous new Express homes community is located in Collin County, Branch , Princeton area off CR 437. DR Horton, your new home builder, we offer 3 different plans in Arbor Trails ranging from a 2 2.5 1 1,130 sq ft to a 4 2.5 1 that's 1,549 sq ft.
Key facts
- 3,572 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 2026
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Green energy/efficiency features include 12-inch+ attic insulation, HVAC, thermostat, and energy-efficient windows
- Financial info: No second mortgage reported; Loan type: Treat As Clear
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA with semi-annual fee of $250 (includes management fees); HOA managed by Neighborhood Managment
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with 11' width and 20' length; Covered parking space
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Municipal Utility District; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single family residence (residential); Two levels; Property is not attached; Subdivision: Arbor Trails North
- Construction: New construction — incomplete (year built 2026); Frame and siding construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Smart home features present
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Concrete, curbs, and sidewalk; Underground utilities
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Electric range; Breakfast room on level 1 (10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 2 (12 x 13); Second bedroom on level 2 (10 x 11)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (3 total)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Appliances include disposal (utility connections implied)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $193k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($339/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (7.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $178k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.0% in Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Princeton ISD (suburban): math 51% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #188 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mayfield El (609 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 56% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 1404 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.63%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,303
- List price
- $193,490
- Delta
- -10.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 713 Sandhill Crane Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,189 (+5%) | 6mo | $185,924 | $156 | 74 |
| 812 Sandhill Crane Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,189 (+5%) | 5mo | $204,249 | $172 | 71 |
| 902 Sandhill Crane Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,189 (+5%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $160 | 69 |
| 228 Tall Cedar Way | 0.75mi | 2/2.5 | 1,101 (-3%) | 1mo | $209,620 | $190 | 60 |
| 6507 Glade St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,266 (+12%) | 2mo | $209,999 | $166 | 60 |
| 6513 Waterfall Ln | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,099 (-3%) | 1mo | $219,000 | $199 | 60 |
| 6422 Willet Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,266 (+12%) | 4mo | $201,949 | $160 | 58 |
| 6506 Longspur Ln | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,266 (+12%) | 6mo | $209,349 | $165 | 56 |
| 6517 Glade St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,266 (+12%) | 3mo | $206,999 | $164 | 54 |
| 6728 Teal Cir | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,268 (+12%) | 0mo | $239,999 | $189 | 49 |
| 6804 Haines Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+12%) | 6mo | $204,774 | $163 | 42 |
| 5711 Bristle Leaf Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,255 (+11%) | 6mo | $180,625 | $144 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-34,725
- Equity at exit
- $28,850
- IRR
- -19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-47,886
- Equity at exit
- $16,729
Cash invested: $54,177 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75407
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 1404
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,782 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,015
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$242 /mo · $2,902/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $28
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,372
- Closing costs
- $5,805
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 Sandhill Crane Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 6222 Sandpiper Ln Unit NA Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 7d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 623 Linden Rd Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1419 | $1,650 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 724 Wagtail Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $1,675 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 724 Wagtail Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $1,675 | $1.23 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 803 Wagtail Dr , TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $1,605 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 812 Sandhill Crane Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1309 | $1,850 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 6018 Primrose Rd , TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1484 | $1,800 | $1.21 | 3d | 5 | 0.27mi |
| 6102 Pinion Trl , TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1419 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 6225 Kingfisher Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $1,625 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 416 Finch CIR Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 6313 Kingfisher Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1360 | $1,650 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 914 Sandhill Crane Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1189 | $1,775 | $1.49 | 7d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 911 Sandhill Crane Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1360 | $1,575 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 910 Wood Stork Way Princeton, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1022 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 19d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 241 Boxberry Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,725 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 402 Harvest St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $1,665 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 935 Sandhill Crane Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1189 | $1,999 | $1.68 | 19d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 613 Holleman Dr , TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $2,000 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 545 Holleman Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 926 Wood Stork Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1285 | $1,700 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 538 Montclair Ave Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,775 | $1.41 | 10d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 214 Wheatgrass Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,699 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 134 Harvest St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,825 | $1.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5847 Rock Maple Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,785 | $1.21 | 7d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5847 Rock Maple Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,785 | $1.21 | 17d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 143 Plumcove Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1376 | $2,150 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 6561 Alfalfa St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,599 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5836 Crystal Water Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $1,799 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 6550 August Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,695 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 6744 Teal Cir Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,790 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 6445 Middlebury Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,649 | $1.30 | 7d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5808 Cherry Hollow Way Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,749 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 6751 Highlands St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,639 | $1.16 | 17d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 228 Rubylace Dr Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 206 Sunflower St Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,475 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6203 Holly Spring Rd , TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1130 | $1,595 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6114 Holly Spring Rd , TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1351 | $1,550 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6114 Holly Spring Rd , TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1130 | $1,675 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 318 Mahogany Ln Princeton, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $193,490 Pending 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $193,490 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $193,490 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-13$213,490 Active 1024-char remark
-
2026-05-08$213,490 Active 304-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,838
- − Property taxes
- −$2,902
- − Insurance
- −$967
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,710
- − Management
- −$1,710
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$5,629
- Taxable loss
- −$2,884
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$692
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,031/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern kitchen, well-maintained bathrooms, and a solid foundation. Potential value-adding updates include painting, landscaping, and smart home technology.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
- Both Add a smart home system — A smart home system can increase convenience and add value to the property.
- Both Install energy-efficient windows — Energy-efficient windows can reduce energy costs and improve the home's value.
- Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and add value to the property.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Add a smart home system — A smart home system can increase convenience and add value to the property. ↑
- Both Install energy-efficient windows — Energy-efficient windows can reduce energy costs and improve the home's value. ↑
- Both Add a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and add value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Princeton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835850
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,827
- Composite
- 42.44/100
- National rank
- #3226
- State rank
- #188 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wylie
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #419
- US rank
- #8623
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collin County · 1,159,394 people
- City population
- 69,325
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,171
- Household income
- $100,037
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 368.0
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.99%
- Current HPI
- 238.9373
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.02%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-9.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-24 Price Changed $193,490 NTREIS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $213,490 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…