34 N Halloway St · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity or first time home buyer opportunity. 2 bedroom, 1 bath aluminum ranch. Currently rented for $600.00 per month.
Key facts
- 7,344 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Residential lot (approximately 145 x 48)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (approximately 10 x 10 and 10 x 11)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Total of 3 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($836 rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.94%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $67,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 S Halloway St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 747 (+4%) | 13mo | $37,000 | $50 | 75 |
| 28 S Plaza Ave | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 682 (-5%) | 18mo | $45,000 | $66 | 73 |
| 38 N Hatfield St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+7%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $78 | 64 |
| 3620 W 2nd St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 772 (+7%) | 11mo | $50,000 | $65 | 64 |
| 524 Crestmore Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 786 (+9%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $95 | 55 |
| 4213 Edison St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 20mo | $67,500 | $94 | 53 |
| 50 Gramont Ave | 0.42mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 804 (+12%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $143 | 49 |
| 409 N Upland Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (+14%) | 15mo | $93,000 | $113 | 48 |
| 56 Lorenz Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 792 (+10%) | 3mo | $142,000 | $179 | 46 |
| 300 Burleigh Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 812 (+13%) | 21mo | $87,500 | $108 | 41 |
| 614 Crestmore Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 616 (-14%) | 15mo | $40,000 | $65 | 36 |
| 225 N Ardmore Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+13%) | 21mo | $20,000 | $25 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-258
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $18,461
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $836 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $358/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $183
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $228 | -5% $206 | +0% $183 | +5% $161 | +10% $139 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $117 | -5% $150 | +0% $183 | +5% $216 | +10% $249 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $223 | -0.5pp $203 | base $183 | +0.5pp $163 | +1.0pp $142 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3627 Delphos Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $625 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 41 N Marion St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $925 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 322 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $850 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2525 Lakeview Ave Unit 5 Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2525 Germantown St Unit C Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2525 Germantown St Unit A Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $700 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $950 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1903 W Grand Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 466-char remark
-
2026-06-03$79,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $358 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $795 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$437/yr (+$36/mo · 122.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,030
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$358
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$802
- − Management
- −$802
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $949
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,972/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+61.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $79,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-10-28 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2021-10-26 Sold (MLS) $56,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-10-26 Sold (MLS) $56,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-09-13 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2021-09-07 Listed $59,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-06-24 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2021-06-24 Price Changed $59,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-05-28 Listed $49,000 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $358 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…