310 N 4th St · Elkville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$42,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't be fooled by the outside of this one! There are three spacious bedrooms on a SLAB foundation and no stairs to be found. The appliances stay, there is a shed in the backyard for extra storage, and there is alley access to the driveway.
Key facts
- Slab foundation
- Shed in the backyard
- 4,700 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($926 rent vs $42k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,123 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime D-.
- Elverado CUSD 196 (rural): math 25% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #418 of 919 in IL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $511 of equity ($290 loan paydown + $221 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.55%
- DSCR
- 2.58
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $82,368
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 W Main St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,051 (-0%) | 2mo | $73,160 | $70 | 79 |
| 503 S 6th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,126 (+7%) | 1mo | $88,000 | $78 | 53 |
| 701 E Board St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 918 (-13%) | 9mo | $82,500 | $90 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $22,078
- Equity at exit
- $13,310
- IRR
- 40.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.66×
- Total profit
- $54,804
- Equity at exit
- $16,918
Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62932
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $926 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$220
- Tax from tax record
- −$146 /mo · $1,747/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $348
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $372 | -5% $360 | +0% $348 | +5% $336 | +10% $325 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $275 | -5% $312 | +0% $348 | +5% $385 | +10% $422 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $370 | -0.5pp $359 | base $348 | +0.5pp $337 | +1.0pp $326 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,500
- Closing costs
- $1,260
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-23status Pending
-
2026-01-22soldstatus Closed
-
2026-01-09status Pending
-
2026-01-07status Active
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2026-01-06status Pending
-
2026-01-06status Active
-
2026-01-05status Pending
-
2025-12-21historical
-
2025-12-08price
-
2025-10-30$42,000 Active
-
2025-10-30Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,747 · $146/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,747 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,114
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,353
- − Property taxes
- −$1,747
- − Insurance
- −$210
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$889
- − Management
- −$889
- − Depreciation
- −$1,222
- Taxable income
- $3,805
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$913
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,267/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elverado CUSD 196
- NCES district ID
- 1713860
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,241
- Composite
- 32.2/100
- National rank
- #10962
- State rank
- #418 of 919 in IL
Livability — Elkville
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1123
- US rank
- #21198
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elkville, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,178
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,093 people
- By 2030
- 59,628 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 59,495 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 58,811 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 57,683 · -2.4%
- By 2100
- 55,337 · -6.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 96.1674
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Sold (MLS) — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-09 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-21 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Listed $42,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,747 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…