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70200 Dillon Rd #334
B- Composite 68.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.7/15.0

$59,900

70200 Dillon Rd #334 · Desert Edge, CA 99241
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 525 sqft · Manufactured · 192 Days on market
Built 2007 Good condition $114/sqft · 15% above area Est $52k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover charming, low-maintenance living in this move-in ready park model tiny home located in the sought-after 55+ community of Caliente Springs in Desert Hot Springs. Designed with vaulted ceilings, abundant natural light, and a smart layout, the home offers a first-floor primary bedroom plus a spacious loft perfect for guests, a reading nook, office, yoga space, or cozy den. The bright living area flows to an efficient kitchen with generous cabinetry, while the sun-filled front room provides ideal flex space for dining, hobbies, or work. Outside, enjoy easy-care landscaping, a private driveway, and storage shed. Caliente Springs delivers a true resort lifestyle with a Pro Shop, 9-hole golf course, driving range, pickleball and tennis courts, bocce ball, shuffleboard, horseshoes, dog park, walking trails, community laundry, and mineral hot spring pools and spas. The clubhouse features community rooms, a library, fitness room, billiards, and restrooms. Community-led activities include yoga and yogalates, water aerobics, quilting and sewing, handwork groups, game nights (Euchre, Rummy, Canasta, Mah Jongg, Pinochle), sound therapies, rock painting, GaiQi Gong, Waterball, and moreall just minutes from Palm Springs. Big lifestyle living with small-footprint ease!

Key facts

  • Efficient kitchen
  • Storage shed
  • Spacious loft

Tags

FIRST-FLOOR PRIMARY BEDROOMSPACIOUS LOFTEFFICIENT KITCHENSUN-FILLED FRONT ROOMEASY-CARE LANDSCAPINGSTORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.3% vs local median 14.8% in Desert Edge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, commute D-.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 192 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 192 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.10%
Cap rate
27.34%
Cash-on-cash
75.18%
DSCR
4.34
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$52,000
List price
$59,900
Delta
15.19%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
70200 Dillon Rd #527 0.32mi 2/1.0 525 (0%) 13mo $55,000 $105 74
70200 Dillon Rd #654 0.33mi 2/1.0 550 (+5%) 3mo $97,500 $177 74
70200 Dillon Rd #6 0.06mi 2/1.0 580 (+10%) 13mo $79,500 $137 68
70200 Dillon Rd #324 0.06mi 1/1.0 (-1) 570 (+9%) 12mo $76,000 $133 68
70200 Dillon Rd #215 0.06mi 1/1.0 (-1) 600 (+14%) 4mo $65,000 $108 65
70200 Dillon Rd #416 0.33mi 1/1.0 (-1) 550 (+5%) 8mo $48,000 $87 65
70200 Dillon Rd #605 0.06mi 1/1.0 (-1) 600 (+14%) 5mo $97,500 $163 64
70200 Dillon Rd #320 0.32mi 1/1.0 (-1) 550 (+5%) 10mo $50,000 $91 63
70200 Dillon Rd #446 0.17mi 2/1.5 600 (+14%) 4mo $75,000 $125 63
70200 Dillon Rd #36 0.06mi 1/1.0 (-1) 600 (+14%) 8mo $65,000 $108 62
70200 Dillon Rd #97 0.33mi 1/1.0 (-1) 600 (+14%) 4mo $20,500 $34 52
17850 Corkill Rd #31 0.47mi 2/1.0 600 (+14%) 5mo $25,000 $42 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
79.7%
Equity multiple
5.42×
Total profit
$74,165
Equity at exit
$26,934
10-year hold
IRR
79.2%
Equity multiple
11.15×
Total profit
$170,280
Equity at exit
$41,508

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 99241

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,854 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$389
Net cashflow
$1,051

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
70875 Dillon Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 720 $2,200 $3.06 44d 1 0.68mi
69360 Poolside Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 648 $1,800 $2.78 2d 1 0.92mi
15935 Mary Cir Desert Hot Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,350 $2.45 18d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 192 DOM
  2. 2026-01-30
    price $59,900 1281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1281 chars)

    Discover charming, low-maintenance living in this move-in ready park model tiny home located in the sought-after 55+ community of Caliente Springs in Desert Hot Springs. Designed with vaulted ceilings, abundant natural light, and a smart layout, the home offers a first-floor primary bedroom plus a spacious loft perfect for guests, a reading nook, office, yoga space, or cozy den. The bright living area flows to an efficient kitchen with generous cabinetry, while the sun-filled front room provides ideal flex space for dining, hobbies, or work. Outside, enjoy easy-care landscaping, a private driveway, and storage shed. Caliente Springs delivers a true resort lifestyle with a Pro Shop, 9-hole golf course, driving range, pickleball and tennis courts, bocce ball, shuffleboard, horseshoes, dog park, walking trails, community laundry, and mineral hot spring pools and spas. The clubhouse features community rooms, a library, fitness room, billiards, and restrooms. Community-led activities include yoga and yogalates, water aerobics, quilting and sewing, handwork groups, game nights (Euchre, Rummy, Canasta, Mah Jongg, Pinochle), sound therapies, rock painting, GaiQi Gong, Waterball, and moreall just minutes from Palm Springs. Big lifestyle living with small-footprint ease!

  3. 2025-11-20
    listed $65,000 Active 1281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1281 chars)

    Discover charming, low-maintenance living in this move-in ready park model tiny home located in the sought-after 55+ community of Caliente Springs in Desert Hot Springs. Designed with vaulted ceilings, abundant natural light, and a smart layout, the home offers a first-floor primary bedroom plus a spacious loft perfect for guests, a reading nook, office, yoga space, or cozy den. The bright living area flows to an efficient kitchen with generous cabinetry, while the sun-filled front room provides ideal flex space for dining, hobbies, or work. Outside, enjoy easy-care landscaping, a private driveway, and storage shed. Caliente Springs delivers a true resort lifestyle with a Pro Shop, 9-hole golf course, driving range, pickleball and tennis courts, bocce ball, shuffleboard, horseshoes, dog park, walking trails, community laundry, and mineral hot spring pools and spas. The clubhouse features community rooms, a library, fitness room, billiards, and restrooms. Community-led activities include yoga and yogalates, water aerobics, quilting and sewing, handwork groups, game nights (Euchre, Rummy, Canasta, Mah Jongg, Pinochle), sound therapies, rock painting, GaiQi Gong, Waterball, and moreall just minutes from Palm Springs. Big lifestyle living with small-footprint ease!

  4. 2025-09-08
    historical
  5. 2025-04-15
    status Active
  6. 2025-04-09
    listed $65,000 Active
  7. 2025-04-09
    historical
  8. 2024-05-30
    historical
  9. 2024-05-08
    listed $64,900 Active
  10. 2024-04-04
    historical
  11. 2024-03-15
    historical
  12. 2024-03-14
    listed $49,500 Active
  13. 2024-03-12
    status Active
  14. 2024-02-21
    status Pending
  15. 2024-02-08
    price $49,500
  16. 2024-01-13
    listed $59,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,248
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,780
− Management
−$1,780
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$12,393
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,974
After-tax cash flow
$9,634/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This move-in ready park model tiny home in Caliente Springs offers a charming, low-maintenance lifestyle with modern amenities and a resort-like community setting.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace air filters regularly — Maintains HVAC efficiency and air quality
  • Both Upgrade landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace air filters regularly — Maintains HVAC efficiency and air quality
  • Both Upgrade landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Desert Edge

Score
68/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#9953

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Desert Edge, CA

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Not yet ingested

Political lean
Race & ethnicity
Common origin
Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.7% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $59,900 TheMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $65,000 TheMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2025-04-15 Relisted GPSMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $65,000 GPSMLS
  • 2024-05-30 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2024-05-08 Listed $64,900 GPSMLS
  • 2024-04-04 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2024-03-15 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2024-03-14 Listed $49,500 GPSMLS
  • 2024-03-12 Relisted GPSMLS
  • 2024-02-21 Pending GPSMLS
  • 2024-02-08 Price Changed $49,500 GPSMLS
  • 2024-01-13 Listed $59,500 GPSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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