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913 Gary St
B Composite 73.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$80,000

913 Gary St · Greenway, MN 55716
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,550 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 142 Days on market
Built 1910 0.28 ac lot ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a unique property with lots of charm, located on a large corner lot that is mostly fenced. the commercial space has hardwood floors, high ceilings with tin and crown molding, plus a large attached cold storage of approximately 1,500 sq ft. The current use of the commercial space has been as living quarters. Upper level has been used as a 3 bedroom apartment. This is a Rehab/fixer upper project. Personal property and rubbish shall remain.

Key facts

  • Large corner lot
  • High ceilings
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

LARGE CORNER LOTHARDWOOD FLOORSHIGH CEILINGSTIN AND CROWN MOLDINGLARGE ATTACHED COLD STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $534 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Greenway Public School District (rural): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #196 of 301 in MN (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Itasca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Itasca County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
14.30%
Cash-on-cash
28.60%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$43,618
Equity at exit
$35,971
10-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
5.80×
Total profit
$107,593
Equity at exit
$55,436

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55716

Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,282 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$26 /mo · $312/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$534

Break-even live

Break-even rent $606
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 142 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 141 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $80,000 Active 140 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $80,000 Active 139 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $80,000 Active 137 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $80,000 Active 136 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $80,000 Active 133 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $80,000 Active 132 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 131 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $80,000 Active 130 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 127 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 126 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 125 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 124 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 123 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    status Active 450-char remark
    Show marketing remark (450 chars)

    This is a unique property with lots of charm, located on a large corner lot that is mostly fenced. the commercial space has hardwood floors, high ceilings with tin and crown molding, plus a large attached cold storage of approximately 1,500 sq ft. The current use of the commercial space has been as living quarters. Upper level has been used as a 3 bedroom apartment. This is a Rehab/fixer upper project. Personal property and rubbish shall remain.

  17. 2026-05-11
    price $80,000 450-char remark
    Show marketing remark (450 chars)

    This is a unique property with lots of charm, located on a large corner lot that is mostly fenced. the commercial space has hardwood floors, high ceilings with tin and crown molding, plus a large attached cold storage of approximately 1,500 sq ft. The current use of the commercial space has been as living quarters. Upper level has been used as a 3 bedroom apartment. This is a Rehab/fixer upper project. Personal property and rubbish shall remain.

  18. 2026-05-05
    historical 450-char remark
    Show marketing remark (450 chars)

    This is a unique property with lots of charm, located on a large corner lot that is mostly fenced. the commercial space has hardwood floors, high ceilings with tin and crown molding, plus a large attached cold storage of approximately 1,500 sq ft. The current use of the commercial space has been as living quarters. Upper level has been used as a 3 bedroom apartment. This is a Rehab/fixer upper project. Personal property and rubbish shall remain.

  19. 2026-01-20
    listed $92,500 Active 450-char remark
    Show marketing remark (450 chars)

    This is a unique property with lots of charm, located on a large corner lot that is mostly fenced. the commercial space has hardwood floors, high ceilings with tin and crown molding, plus a large attached cold storage of approximately 1,500 sq ft. The current use of the commercial space has been as living quarters. Upper level has been used as a 3 bedroom apartment. This is a Rehab/fixer upper project. Personal property and rubbish shall remain.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$312 · $26/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$604 · $50/mo
Expected delta
+$292/yr (+$24/mo · 93.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,384
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$312
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,231
− Management
−$1,231
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$5,402
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,297
After-tax cash flow
$5,111/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greenway Public School District
NCES district ID
2709480
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$46,178
Composite
37.01/100
National rank
#4520
State rank
#196 of 301 in MN

Livability — Greenway

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet, MN
Population (ZIP)
219

Population outlook (Itasca County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,885 people
By 2030
45,890 · +0.0%
By 2040
45,171 · -1.6%
By 2050
43,946 · -4.2%
By 2075
40,950 · -10.8%
By 2100
34,909 · -23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Native American 10% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Portuguese 4% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Itasca

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.2) · D 39.1% · R 59.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.1pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -20.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.2 2020: R+16.8 2016: R+16.5 2012: D+9.9 2008: D+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $80,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $92,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $312 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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