841 NE 207th Ln Unit 3-201 · Ives Estates, FL
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.03%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Freshly painted 3-bedroom, 2-bath condo located in the desirable Monterey One Condo community. This spacious unit features a functional layout with bright living areas, comfortable bedrooms, and plenty of natural light throughout. Washer and dryer conveniently located inside the unit. Centrally located near major highways, shopping, dining, and schools. Great opportunity for both homeowners and investors. Move-in ready and easy to show!
Key facts
- $150 HOA
- Garage
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association-maintained pool
- Financial info: Pets allowed; Lease considered
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee (listed; amounts vary); Association covers amenities, recreation facilities and trash; Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; Garage with 1 car space
- Utilities: Association pool
- Home design: 2 stories; Attached property; Entry on level 2; Resale
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Balcony; Fruit trees; Open balcony/patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level; Second-floor entry
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Blinds on windows; Living/dining room; Separate shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.6% in Ives Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#191 in FL, #3,061 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,641/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $230k implies a 290% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.80%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-21,110
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-15,882
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33179
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 572
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,641 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$270 /mo · $3,239/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$555
- Net cashflow
- $365
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $495 | -5% $430 | +0% $365 | +5% $300 | +10% $234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $156 | -5% $260 | +0% $365 | +5% $469 | +10% $573 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $481 | -0.5pp $423 | base $365 | +0.5pp $305 | +1.0pp $244 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4410 SW 39th St Unit 4410 West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $2,700 | $2.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5100 SW 41st St Pembroke Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 815 | $1,799 | $2.21 | 4d | 4 | 0.59mi |
| 5100 SW 41st St Pembroke Park, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 815 | $1,750 | $2.15 | 20d | 3 | 0.59mi |
| 3874 SW 48th Ave #3874 Pembroke Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,150 | $2.26 | 8d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3826 SW 48th Ave Unit 3826 Pembroke Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3826 SW 48th Ave Unit 3826 Pembroke Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3856 SW 48th Ave #3856 Pembroke Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,150 | $2.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3828 SW 48th Ave Unit D27 Hollywood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3842 SW 48th Ave Hollywood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3610 SW 39th Ave West Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $3,600 | $3.11 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3610 SW 39th Ave Unit 3610 West Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $3,600 | $3.11 | 8d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3838 SW 48th Ave Unit 3838 Pembroke Park, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 966 | $2,200 | $2.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5525 SW 41st St Hollywood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $2,145 | $2.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3926 SW 52nd Ave Unit E5 Hollywood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1335 | $2,500 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5085 SW 37th St Unit 5085 West Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $3,200 | $2.51 | 15d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5085 SW 37th St West Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1276 | $3,200 | $2.51 | 6d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3830 SW 31st Dr West Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1419 | $2,900 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3840 SW 52nd Ave Hollywood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1264 | $2,650 | $2.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4141 SW 32nd Dr West Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $2,700 | $2.58 | 8d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4141 SW 32nd Dr West Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $2,700 | $2.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3700 SW 52nd Ave Hollywood, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,446 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5440 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,900 | $2.47 | 8d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5440 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,900 | $2.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5460 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $2,350 | $2.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5540 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $2,000 | $2.60 | 11d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3721 SW 54th Ave West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $2,100 | $2.73 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4331 SW 31st Dr West Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $3,350 | $2.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5510 SW 38th St Unit 5510 West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $2,250 | $2.74 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5510 SW 38th St Unit 5510 West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $2,250 | $2.74 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5510 SW 38th St West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $2,250 | $2.63 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5721 SW 41st St West Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $2,650 | $3.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4111 SW 33rd St West Park, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $3,000 | $2.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4628 SW 32nd Dr West Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $2,800 | $2.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5710 SW 38th St West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $2,400 | $2.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3720 SW 32nd Ave West Park, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1100 | $3,850 | $3.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3830 SW 31st St West Park, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1419 | $2,850 | $2.01 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 112 Newton Rd West Park, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $3,090 | $2.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4030 SW 28th St West Park, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,400 | $3.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4011 SW 28th St West Park, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $3,850 | $2.97 | 6d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4011 SW 28th St #4011 West Park, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $4,500 | $3.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-10price $230,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $235,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$235,000 Active
-
1989-05-11soldstatus $59,000
-
1983-12-01soldstatus $54,444
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,239 · $270/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,239 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 3% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,695
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,239
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,536
- − Management
- −$2,536
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable income
- $860
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$206
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,170/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ives Estates
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #191
- US rank
- #3061
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ives Estates, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 51,591
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,591
- Household income
- $65,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3123.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -608.34%
- Current HPI
- 328.1733
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+331.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $235,000 MARMLS
- 1989-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 1983-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,444 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,239 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…