24531 Homestead Rd · Anchorage, AK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$498,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming ranch-style home features open kitchen with quartz countertops & stainless steel appliances. It boasts vaulted ceilings, luxury vinyl plank flooring, & numerous updates . With 3 bedrooms & 3 baths, there is also a bonus room that can serve as 4th bedroom. The open-concept living space is perfect for entertaining plus private, spacious yard. Seller to close once school is out. and inviting. Additionally, there is a large shed for all your outdoor equipment. The location offers easy access for commuting and provides beautiful mountain views
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Bonus room
- Vaulted ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $498k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($942/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $420k (15.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $420k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Chugiak Elementary (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C+, #25 of 156 statewide, top 18%, 448 students, 17% FRL); Mirror Lake Middle School (math 39% / reading 53%, grade D+, #10 of 36 statewide, top 26%, 563 students, 21% FRL); Chugiak High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #17 of 61 statewide, top 32%, 905 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools average 19% FRL vs 38% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.68%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $450,330
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24531 Homestead Rd | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 | 1,766 (0%) | 0mo | $498,000 | $282 | 98 |
| 21305 Settlers Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,781 (+1%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $121 | 84 |
| 21049 Sparkle Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,629 (-8%) | 7mo | $503,000 | $309 | 77 |
| 21132 Meadow Lake Dr | 0.33mi | 3/3.0 | 1,768 (+0%) | 13mo | $450,000 | $255 | 72 |
| 21412 Settlers Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,656 (-6%) | 8mo | $219,900 | $133 | 71 |
| 24450 Park Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,660 (-6%) | 19mo | $450,000 | $271 | 58 |
| 21137 Frosty Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 2,000 (+13%) | 22mo | $480,000 | $240 | 54 |
| 22415 Miller Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 2,016 (+14%) | 17mo | $275,000 | $136 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-75,757
- Equity at exit
- $74,253
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-59,775
- Equity at exit
- $43,058
Cash invested: $139,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alaska
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99567
- Home prices YoY
- -4.7%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,612
- Tax from tax record
- −$420 /mo · $5,045/yr
- Insurance
- −$208
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$882
- Net cashflow
- $79
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $360 | -5% $219 | +0% $79 | +5% $-62 | +10% $-203 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-253 | -5% $-87 | +0% $79 | +5% $244 | +10% $410 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $329 | -0.5pp $205 | base $79 | +0.5pp $-51 | +1.0pp $-182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $124,500
- Closing costs
- $14,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19452 Sullins Dr Chugiak, AK | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2617 | $4,200 | $1.60 | 46d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-21status Pending
-
2026-03-14status Active
-
2026-03-03status Pending
-
2026-02-26$498,000 Active
-
2019-04-23soldstatus
-
2019-02-27$350,000
-
2009-11-23$330,000
-
1997-10-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,045 · $420/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,486 · $457/mo
- Expected delta
- +$441/yr (+$37/mo · 8.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,896
- − Property taxes
- −$5,045
- − Insurance
- −$2,490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,032
- − Management
- −$4,032
- − Depreciation
- −$14,487
- Taxable loss
- −$7,582
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,820
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,762/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anchorage School District
- NCES district ID
- 0200180
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,447
- Composite
- 37.0/100
- National rank
- #4523
- State rank
- #6 of 21 in AK
Livability — Anchorage
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anchorage, AK
- City population
- 218,117
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,739
Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,993 people
- By 2030
- 321,771 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 335,493 · +6.5%
- By 2050
- 352,799 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 414,771 · +31.7%
- By 2100
- 474,485 · +50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Native American 5% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
- 2016→2024 swing
- +27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.74%
- Current HPI
- 279.3784
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+50.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-21 Pending — AKMLS
- 2026-03-14 Relisted — AKMLS
- 2026-03-03 Pending — AKMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $498,000 AKMLS
- 2019-04-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-02-27 Listed $350,000 AKMLS
- 2009-11-23 Listed $330,000 AKMLS
- 1997-10-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,045 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…