475 North Maple #20 · Saline, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$56,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, , and . This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Built 2025
- Listed 182 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $57k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.9% vs local median 2.1% in Saline — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#67 in MI, #1,442 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Saline Area Schools (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #20 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 996 units permitted in Washtenaw County in 2024 (492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $393 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washtenaw County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 183 days — a 12% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 183 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 84.37%
- DSCR
- 4.75
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 84.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $62,152
- Equity at exit
- $8,484
- IRR
- 88.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.17×
- Total profit
- $146,104
- Equity at exit
- $4,920
Cash invested: $15,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48176
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,916 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$298
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$71 /mo · $854/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $1,120
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,225
- Closing costs
- $1,707
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 S Harris St Saline, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,700 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 814 Claudine Ct Saline, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1436 | $2,999 | $2.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 135 W Michigan Ave Saline, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,400 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 801 Valley Cir Dr Saline, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $1,360 | $1.54 | 13d | 12 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-15price $56,900 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, , and . This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-04-14price $59,900 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, , and . This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-03-18status Active 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, , and . This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-03-12historical 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, , and . This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-02-27price $62,400 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, , and . This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-02-01price $69,400 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, , and . This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2026-01-06price $69,900 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, , and . This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
-
2025-11-17$78,400 Active 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Your brand new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as community events, , and . This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,187
- − Property taxes
- −$854
- − Insurance
- −$284
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,839
- − Management
- −$1,839
- − Depreciation
- −$1,655
- Taxable income
- $13,329
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,199
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saline Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2630660
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $96,722
- Composite
- 59.23/100
- National rank
- #939
- State rank
- #20 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saline
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #1442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saline, MI
- County
- Washtenaw County · 306,860 people
- City population
- 23,451
- Metro
- Ann Arbor, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,451
- Household income
- $114,206
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 315.0
Population outlook (Washtenaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 402,878 people
- By 2030
- 424,104 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 464,633 · +15.3%
- By 2050
- 504,728 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 614,463 · +52.5%
- By 2100
- 676,181 · +67.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washtenaw
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.4) · D 71.0% · R 26.6% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 44.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.4 2020: D+46.6 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+36.0 2008: D+41.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.08%
- Current HPI
- 192.5282
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ann Arbor, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-27.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $56,900 Zillow
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $59,900 Zillow
- 2026-03-18 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-12 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $62,400 Zillow
- 2026-02-01 Price Changed $69,400 Zillow
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $69,900 Zillow
- 2025-11-17 Listed $78,400 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…