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21616 Lanse St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 42.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,650

21616 Lanse St · St. Clair Shores, MI 48081
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,131 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1956 5,663 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful Ranch for rent. New Paint and Carpet throughout. Great Home with larger Kitchen and all new appliances.

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listed by MiRealSource
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction; 1,092 above-grade finished area; 800 below-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 110 (0.13 acres); Subdivision: Lanse Creuse Gardens; Located north of Martin Rd and east of Harper

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Full basement; 3 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $1,650 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$236,379) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $2k).
  • Cap rate 761.6% vs local median 4.2% in St. Clair Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Lake Shore Public Schools (Macomb) (suburban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #334 of 540 in MI (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $50 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $462 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 14 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,650

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
80.55%
Cap rate
761.64%
Cash-on-cash
2697.67%
DSCR
121.03
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$236,379
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
29010 Taylor St 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,143 (+1%) 1mo $197,000 $172 86
22411 Lanse St 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,111 (-2%) 3mo $226,300 $204 72
22016 Visnaw St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,032 (-9%) 7mo $263,000 $255 66
21221 Gordon Rd 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,064 (-6%) 3mo $254,900 $240 65
22623 Barton St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,160 (+3%) 2mo $200,000 $172 59
27941 Florence St 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,062 (-6%) 9mo $223,700 $211 56
22319 Gordon Rd 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,286 (+14%) 8mo $305,000 $237 51
28008 Elba St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,285 (+14%) 1mo $269,000 $209 49
28004 Roy St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,290 (+14%) 7mo $269,900 $209 48
22416 Furton St 0.63mi 3/1.5 986 (-13%) 1mo $167,000 $169 46
28113 Shock St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,089 (-4%) 7mo $145,000 $133 46
28806 Jane St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,041 (-8%) 6mo $224,500 $216 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
143.64×
Total profit
$65,902
Equity at exit
$246
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
309.76×
Total profit
$142,645
Equity at exit
$143

Cash invested: $462 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48081

Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,329 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$9
Tax est. 1.5%
$2 /mo · $25/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$1,039

Break-even live

Break-even rent $14
Max offer price $1,650
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$412
Closing costs
$50
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21540 Saint Gertrude St #12 Saint Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.5 871 $1,200 $1.38 24d 1 0.07mi
22412 Milner St Saint Clair Shores, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $2,000 $1.89 1d 1 0.88mi
30600 Little Mack Ave Roseville, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 900 $1,210 $1.34 1d 6 1.20mi
26324 Harper Ave Unit 6 St Clair Shores, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,345 $1.22 24d 1 1.30mi
26324 Harper Unit 4 St Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,195 $1.71 24d 1 1.30mi
27881 O Neil Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,300 $1.00 24d 1 1.33mi
27547 O Neil Roseville, MI 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,350 $1.33 4d 1 1.37mi
31635 Couchez St St Clair Shores, MI 2.0 1.5 1015 $1,600 $1.58 43d 1 1.42mi
19236 Florida St Roseville, MI 2.0 1.0 1160 $1,700 $1.47 1d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-05-26
    listed $1,650 Active
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    Beautiful Ranch for rent. New Paint and Carpet throughout. Great Home with larger Kitchen and all new appliances.

  2. 2026-05-26
    listed $1,650 Active 113-char remark
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    Beautiful Ranch for rent. New Paint and Carpet throughout. Great Home with larger Kitchen and all new appliances.

  3. 2015-08-06
    soldstatus $95,175 Sold 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Make it yours! Terrific St Clair Shores brick ranch with 3 bedrooms. Open layout with dining area in kitchen and door wall leading to backyard. Finished basement with full bathroom. Freshly painted with new carpet. Conveniently located across from elementary school. This is a Fannie Mae property.

  4. 2015-08-06
    soldstatus $95,175 Closed
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Make it yours! Terrific St Clair Shores brick ranch with 3 bedrooms. Open layout with dining area in kitchen and door wall leading to backyard. Finished basement with full bathroom. Freshly painted with new carpet. Conveniently located across from elementary school. This is a Fannie Mae property.

  5. 2015-08-06
    soldstatus $95,175
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Make it yours! Terrific St Clair Shores brick ranch with 3 bedrooms. Open layout with dining area in kitchen and door wall leading to backyard. Finished basement with full bathroom. Freshly painted with new carpet. Conveniently located across from elementary school. This is a Fannie Mae property.

  6. 2015-07-17
    historical 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Make it yours! Terrific St Clair Shores brick ranch with 3 bedrooms. Open layout with dining area in kitchen and door wall leading to backyard. Finished basement with full bathroom. Freshly painted with new carpet. Conveniently located across from elementary school. This is a Fannie Mae property.

  7. 2015-07-14
    status Pending
  8. 2015-06-14
    listed $94,900 Active 297-char remark
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Make it yours! Terrific St Clair Shores brick ranch with 3 bedrooms. Open layout with dining area in kitchen and door wall leading to backyard. Finished basement with full bathroom. Freshly painted with new carpet. Conveniently located across from elementary school. This is a Fannie Mae property.

  9. 2015-06-14
    listed $94,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Make it yours! Terrific St Clair Shores brick ranch with 3 bedrooms. Open layout with dining area in kitchen and door wall leading to backyard. Finished basement with full bathroom. Freshly painted with new carpet. Conveniently located across from elementary school. This is a Fannie Mae property.

  10. 2015-06-14
    listed $94,900
    Show marketing remark (297 chars)

    Make it yours! Terrific St Clair Shores brick ranch with 3 bedrooms. Open layout with dining area in kitchen and door wall leading to backyard. Finished basement with full bathroom. Freshly painted with new carpet. Conveniently located across from elementary school. This is a Fannie Mae property.

  11. 2015-06-12
    historical
  12. 2015-06-12
    historical
  13. 2015-05-08
    price $99,900
  14. 2015-05-08
    price $99,900
  15. 2015-04-30
    status Active
  16. 2015-04-30
    status Active
  17. 2015-04-02
    status Pending
  18. 2015-04-02
    historical
  19. 2015-03-26
    price $104,900
  20. 2015-03-25
    price $104,900
  21. 2015-03-09
    status Active
  22. 2015-03-09
    status Active
  23. 2015-02-20
    historical
  24. 2015-02-20
    status Pending
  25. 2015-02-12
    listed $107,100 Active
  26. 2015-02-12
    listed $107,100 Active
  27. 2012-11-05
    historical
  28. 2012-06-26
    listed $80,000
  29. 2000-08-30
    soldstatus $143,000
  30. 2000-06-26
    soldstatus $143,000
  31. 2000-05-30
    historical
  32. 2000-05-03
    listed $145,000
  33. 1996-04-16
    soldstatus $100,000
  34. 1996-02-23
    soldstatus $100,000
  35. 1996-01-13
    historical
  36. 1996-01-10
    listed $98,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,949
− Mortgage interest
−$92
− Property taxes
−$25
− Insurance
−$8
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,276
− Management
−$1,276
− Depreciation
−$48
Taxable income
$13,224
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,174
After-tax cash flow
$9,289/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Shore Public Schools (Macomb)
NCES district ID
2632670
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$53,782
Composite
27.32/100
National rank
#6993
State rank
#334 of 540 in MI

Livability — St. Clair Shores

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Clair Shores, MI
City population
58,217
Population (ZIP)
20,254

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -271.01%
Current HPI
206.6455
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.3% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $1,650 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $1,650 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-08-06 Sold (MLS) $95,175 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-08-06 Sold (MLS) $95,175 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-08-06 Sold (MLS) $95,175 REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-17 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-06-14 Listed $94,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-06-14 Listed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-06-14 Listed $94,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-06-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-06-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-05-08 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-05-08 Price Changed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-04-30 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-04-30 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2015-04-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-04-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-03-26 Price Changed $104,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-03-25 Price Changed $104,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-03-09 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2015-03-09 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-02-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-02-20 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-02-12 Listed $107,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-02-12 Listed $107,100 REALCOMP
  • 2012-11-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-06-26 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
  • 2000-06-26 Sold (MLS) $143,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-05-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2000-05-03 Listed $145,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-04-16 Sold (MLS) $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 1996-01-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1996-01-10 Listed $98,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,512 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…